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Luinder Avila or Emmet Sheehan

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Luinder Avila

Luinder Avila

SPKansas City Royals KC
Emmet Sheehan

Emmet Sheehan

SPLos Angeles Dodgers LAD
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Avila over Sheehan

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Luinder Avila

Avila Rebounds with Dominant Outing as He Anchors Depleted Royals Rotation

Avila has shown significant signs of life lately, posting a 1.80 ERA with six strikeouts over five innings in his most recent start. Despite the fifth-place Royals holding a 34-48 record, the 24-year-old has solidified his role as the number two starter in the rotation with Cole Ragans and Kris Bubic both sidelined on the injured list.

While his 5.20 ERA and 1.66 WHIP on the season are concerning, a disastrous mid-June start where he failed to escape the first inning heavily skews those numbers. Our projection expects a more stable 4.25 ERA and 1.39 WHIP moving forward, as his elite 10.8 K/9 over the last week aligns with the high-ceiling strikeout potential he flashed during his 2025 campaign.

As a two-start pitcher this week, Avila follows up his victory against Tampa Bay with a favorable Sunday matchup against the White Sox. Facing Anthony Kay and a Chicago lineup currently struggling for consistency, Avila’s projected 9.1 strikeouts and 3.24 ERA for the period make him a priority play in most formats. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Luinder Avila
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Sheehan over Avila

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Emmet Sheehan

Sheehan battles command issues as he looks to reclaim mid-rotation stability

The first-place Dodgers are riding a three-game win streak, but Sheehan has struggled to keep pace, posting a 10.00 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP over his last two outings. Despite these recent blowups, he remains a mid-rotation staple for Los Angeles, particularly with teammates like Tyler Glasnow and Bobby Miller on the 60-day injured list. His high-strikeout upside is still present, though his command has recently faltered, evidenced by three walks in his last 3.1 innings.

Under the hood, Sheehan’s current 5.53 ERA is a significant regression from the 3.46 mark he posted in 2025. While his recent form is alarming, our models project him to settle toward a more respectable 3.86 ERA and 1.14 WHIP over the rest of the season. His career strikeout-to-walk ratio suggests these recent struggles are likely a temporary mechanical lapse rather than a permanent loss of skills.

Looking at the week ahead, Sheehan is scheduled for a single start this Sunday on the road against the Padres. He will face Michael King, who enters with a strong 3.23 ERA and 1.16 WHIP, making this a difficult matchup for a pitcher struggling with hits allowed. Given that he has surrendered 12 hits over his last 8.1 innings, fantasy managers should exercise caution. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Emmet Sheehan
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Performance Luinder Avila
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.801-000641.401
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.762-0001151.082
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Emmet Sheehan
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
17.420-100433.551
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
10.000-2001241.982
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Luinder Avila
OWN
 
6%
+4.41 compared to last week
START
 
4%
+2.94 compared to last week
OWN/START Emmet Sheehan
OWN
70%
-10.47 compared to last week
START
43%
-16.2 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Luinder Avila
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Emmet Sheehan
46th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Luinder Avila

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 118th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 97th
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +3, WHIP: +1.64, ERA: +5.12, K's: +39, Walks: +27
Breakdown Emmet Sheehan

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 47th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 170th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 109th in WHIP with 1.39
  • Currently ranked 147th in ERA with 5.89
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.8 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +5, WHIP: +0.6, ERA: +3.28, K's: +70, Walks: +20
Next Up Health Check
Injury Luinder Avila

No Injury Reported

Injury Emmet Sheehan

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Luinder Avila
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@TBMichael WachaW 1-2
Jun 23@TBLuinder AvilaW 5-12
Jun 24@TBGriffin JaxL 5-3
Jun 25@TBIan SeymourL 13-2
Jun 26@CHWDavid SandlinL 22-1
Jun 27@CHWGrant TaylorL 2-1
Jun 28@CHWAnthony Kay
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.111-0001071.233
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Emmet Sheehan
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@MINEric LauerW 1-2
Jun 23@MINJustin WrobleskiW 3-12
Jun 24@MINShohei OhtaniW 3-4
Jun 26@SDWalker BuehlerL 7-1
Jun 27@SDYoshinobu YamamotoW 3-15
Jun 28@SDMichael King
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
9.000-000211.501
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Luinder Avila
3.38
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Emmet Sheehan
9.04
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Luinder Avila
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 KC 13 14.0 217 16 6 0 1-1 1.29 0.93 10.3 36
2026 KC 15 42.2 806 39 27 0 3-3 5.06 1.62 8.2 66
ON PACE 28 82 1554 75 52 0 5-5 5.06 1.62 8.2 126
3-YEAR AVG 13 13 217 16 6 0 1-1 1.29 0.93 10.3 36
Career 28 56.2 1023 55 33 0 0-0 4.13 1.45 8.7
Career Emmet Sheehan
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 LAD 14 64.0 1102 68 28 1 4-1 5.06 1.22 9.6 150
2025 LAD 21 78.1 1300 95 27 0 6-3 3.45 1.14 10.9 206
2026 LAD 14 65.1 1185 76 20 0 3-5 5.51 1.35 10.5 132
ON PACE 27 128 2312 148 39 0 5-9 5.51 1.35 10.5 258
3-YEAR AVG 12 47 801 54 18 0 3-1 4.1 1.14 10.1 119
Career 49 205.1 3587 239 75 0 0-0 4.65 1.24 10.5
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled