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Emerson Hancock or Luinder Avila

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Emerson Hancock

Emerson Hancock

SPSeattle Mariners SEA
Luinder Avila

Luinder Avila

SPKansas City Royals KC
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Hancock over Avila

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Emerson Hancock

Emerson Hancock Navigating Rough Patch as Mariners Defend AL West Lead

Hancock has hit a significant speed bump lately, posting a bloated 10.88 ERA over his last two starts while allowing 13 hits in just 9.1 innings. Despite these struggles, the 27-year-old remains a key part of the rotation for the first-place Mariners, who currently sit at 41-41 and are looking to hold off division rivals. While recent news highlights his unique lower arm slot as a source of deception, his command has wavered in June, leading to more traffic on the base paths than seen earlier this spring.

Comparing his recent slide to his 2026 season totals, there is reason for optimism that a rebound is coming. On the year, Hancock maintains a solid 3.63 ERA and an elite 1.03 WHIP across 15 starts, which is far better than his career baseline. Our models project him to settle in with a 4.43 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP for the remainder of the season, suggesting that while he may not maintain his early-season dominance, he is certainly better than his current cold streak implies.

The Mariners are currently in the midst of a road trip through Pittsburgh and Cleveland to close out the week. According to the scheduled rotation turns, Hancock is not slated to take the mound before this scoring period concludes on June 28, with the team leaning on Logan Gilbert and George Kirby for the final matchups. Because he will not provide any innings or strikeout production for the rest of the week, fantasy managers should keep him on the bench. Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Emerson Hancock
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Avila over Hancock

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Luinder Avila

Avila Rebounds with Dominant Outing as He Anchors Depleted Royals Rotation

Avila has shown significant signs of life lately, posting a 1.80 ERA with six strikeouts over five innings in his most recent start. Despite the fifth-place Royals holding a 34-48 record, the 24-year-old has solidified his role as the number two starter in the rotation with Cole Ragans and Kris Bubic both sidelined on the injured list.

While his 5.20 ERA and 1.66 WHIP on the season are concerning, a disastrous mid-June start where he failed to escape the first inning heavily skews those numbers. Our projection expects a more stable 4.25 ERA and 1.39 WHIP moving forward, as his elite 10.8 K/9 over the last week aligns with the high-ceiling strikeout potential he flashed during his 2025 campaign.

As a two-start pitcher this week, Avila follows up his victory against Tampa Bay with a favorable Sunday matchup against the White Sox. Facing Anthony Kay and a Chicago lineup currently struggling for consistency, Avila’s projected 9.1 strikeouts and 3.24 ERA for the period make him a priority play in most formats. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Luinder Avila
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Performance Emerson Hancock
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
10.880-200821.652
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Luinder Avila
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.801-000641.401
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.762-0001151.082
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Emerson Hancock
OWN
87%
-7.74 compared to last week
START
58%
-21.76 compared to last week
OWN/START Luinder Avila
OWN
 
6%
+4.41 compared to last week
START
 
4%
+2.94 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Emerson Hancock
56th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Luinder Avila
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Emerson Hancock

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 56th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 68th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 35 in WHIP and is currently ranked 29th with 1.06
  • Top 100 in ERA and is currently ranked 77th
  • Currently ranked 102nd in wins with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have dipped quite a bit at 6.4.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: EVEN, WHIP: -0.429, ERA: -1.823, K's: +29, Walks: -8
Breakdown Luinder Avila

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 118th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 97th
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +3, WHIP: +1.64, ERA: +5.12, K's: +39, Walks: +27
Next Up Health Check
Injury Emerson Hancock

No Injury Reported

Injury Luinder Avila

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Emerson Hancock
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23@PITGeorge KirbyW 2-3
Jun 24@PITBraxton AshcraftL 11-1
Jun 25@PITBubba ChandlerL 5-1
Jun 26@CLELuis CastilloW 1-3
Jun 27@CLESlade CecconiL 4-3
Jun 28@CLEGavin Williams
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000910.171
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Luinder Avila
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@TBMichael WachaW 1-2
Jun 23@TBLuinder AvilaW 5-12
Jun 24@TBGriffin JaxL 5-3
Jun 25@TBIan SeymourL 13-2
Jun 26@CHWDavid SandlinL 22-1
Jun 27@CHWGrant TaylorL 2-1
Jun 28@CHWAnthony Kay
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.111-0001071.233
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Emerson Hancock
10.60
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Luinder Avila
3.38
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Emerson Hancock
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 SEA 3 12.0 194 6 3 0 0-0 4.5 1.33 4.5 16
2024 SEA 12 60.2 1014 39 19 0 4-4 4.75 1.34 5.8 100
2025 SEA 24 94.0 1498 67 36 0 4-5 4.88 1.39 6.4 148
2026 SEA 15 85.0 1323 81 19 0 5-4 3.6 1.02 8.6 203
ON PACE 28 164 2551 156 36 0 9-7 3.6 1.02 8.6 390
3-YEAR AVG 13 55 902 37 19 0 3-3 4.85 1.37 6 88
Career 54 249.1 4029 193 77 0 0-0 4.44 1.26 7
Career Luinder Avila
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 KC 13 14.0 217 16 6 0 1-1 1.29 0.93 10.3 36
2026 KC 15 42.2 806 39 27 0 3-3 5.06 1.62 8.2 66
ON PACE 28 82 1554 75 52 0 5-5 5.06 1.62 8.2 126
3-YEAR AVG 13 13 217 16 6 0 1-1 1.29 0.93 10.3 36
Career 28 56.2 1023 55 33 0 0-0 4.13 1.45 8.7
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled