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Willy Adames or Spencer Arrighetti

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Willy Adames

Willy Adames

SSSan Francisco Giants SF
Spencer Arrighetti

Spencer Arrighetti

SPHouston Astros HOU
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Adames over Arrighetti

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Willy Adames

Willy Adames finds his power stroke despite a persistent slide in batting average

Adames has struggled to find consistency at the plate lately, hitting just .154 over his last 14 days and .189 over the past month. Despite the low average, he remains the everyday shortstop for the fourth-place Giants, who currently sit at 33-47 in the NL West standings. He recently celebrated his 1,000th career hit and provided a power spark with a home run on June 25th.

While the contact rates are currently a concern, the power remains legitimate as six of his 13 home runs this season have come in the last 30 days. This recent slump is a significant outlier compared to our projection of a .232 average and his established career norms, suggesting that some positive regression should be expected. His .419 season slugging percentage indicates he is still making authoritative contact when he connects.

The Giants close out the week with a three-game home set against the Braves. Adames faces a challenging stretch against Reynaldo Lopez and Bryce Elder before a daunting matchup against Chris Sale and his elite 2.14 ERA on Sunday. While the remaining matchups are difficult, his secure middle-of-the-order role and significant home run upside keep him in the lineup. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Willy Adames
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Arrighetti over Adames

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Spencer Arrighetti

Arrighetti Looks to Stabilize Ratios in Detroit After Rough June Stretch

Spencer Arrighetti has hit a significant speed bump following his historic May, during which he was named AL Pitcher of the Month. Over his last 14 days, he has struggled to a 7.50 ERA, including a recent six-run outing against Cleveland where he allowed three home runs. Despite these struggles, he remains the number four starter in a rotation thinned by injuries to arms like Cristian Javier. The fourth-place Astros are currently on a three-game win streak as they travel to Detroit.

Looking under the hood, we are seeing regression toward our season projection of a 4.60 ERA. While his 3.16 season ERA is strong, his career 5.05 mark from last season suggests his early dominance was a high-water mark rather than a new baseline. However, his high-strikeout profile remains intact, as evidenced by his 15 punchouts over his last 12 innings. His 1.20 WHIP this year is still a notable improvement over his career 1.46, suggesting better overall control.

Arrighetti is scheduled for a single start this week, taking the mound today, June 26, in Detroit. He faces Keider Montero, who carries a solid 3.79 ERA and 1.03 WHIP but has only started 28% of his appearances this season. Our models project Arrighetti to pitch seven innings with roughly six strikeouts in this matchup. Given the high punchout potential against a Tigers lineup that can be vulnerable and Houston's current momentum, he is a firm fantasy option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Spencer Arrighetti
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Performance Willy Adames
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.286113.3480.52406
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.211225.2500.421011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Spencer Arrighetti
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
24.000-100753.331
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
10.800-3002261.673
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Willy Adames
OWN
75%
-2.81 compared to last week
START
58%
-6.62 compared to last week
OWN/START Spencer Arrighetti
OWN
66%
-18.85 compared to last week
START
44%
-24.88 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Willy Adames
20th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Spencer Arrighetti
73rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Willy Adames

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 21st among SS's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 11th.
  • The current leader among SS's is Bobby Witt Jr.
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 254th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.281
  • Ranked 232nd in batting average with 0.240
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 298th with 0.290
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 122nd with 0.450
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 180th with 0.740
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 404th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 189th in RBI with 25
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 137th in runs scored with 27
  • Top 100 in HRs and is currently ranked 92nd with 10
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.015, OBP: -0.024, HRs: +4, RBI: -4, Runs: -5, Wlks: -19, Stls: -3,
Breakdown Spencer Arrighetti

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 73rd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 66th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 100th
  • Currently ranked 104th in ERA with 4.73
  • He walks a lot of batters and is currently ranked 4th with 28
  • Top 50 in wins and is currently ranked 41st with 4
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +6, L: +3, WHIP: +0.302, ERA: -1.87, K's: +67, Walks: +32
Next Up Health Check
Injury Willy Adames

No Injury Reported

Injury Spencer Arrighetti

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Willy Adames
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23VS ATHRobbie RayW 3-1
Jun 24VS ATHErik MillerW 2-1
Jun 25VS ATHGeoff HartliebL 6-9
Jun 26VS ATLDylan LeeL 1-3
Jun 27VS ATLLogan WebbW 5-0
Jun 28VS ATLChris Sale
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.361246.3950.639010
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Spencer Arrighetti
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@TORBraydon FisherL 4-2
Jun 23@TORLogan VanWeyW 7-9
Jun 24@TORSteven OkertW 1-3
Jun 25@DETTatsuya ImaiW 1-2
Jun 26@DETKeider MonteroL 8-0
Jun 27@DETAJ BlubaughW 6-8
Jun 28@DETJack Flaherty
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
24.000-100753.331
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Willy Adames
10.40
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Spencer Arrighetti
8.57
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Willy Adames
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2018 TAM 84 80 10 43 34 6 30 .278 .346 .406 189
2019 TB 155 141 22 72 54 5 49 .257 .321 .429 341
2020 TB 73 54 7 30 24 3 33 .221 .317 .393 138
2021 TB 139 134 25 74 73 5 54 .263 .333 .479 430
2022 MIL 130 122 30 78 92 6 48 .234 .297 .458 444
2023 MIL 150 125 24 73 81 5 71 .223 .314 .413 449
2024 MIL 164 155 32 94 112 22 75 .250 .330 .457 597
2025 SF 159 133 30 94 87 12 80 .225 .320 .421 514
2026 SF 80 72 13 39 31 1 19 .229 .275 .424 212
ON PACE 158 142 25 77 61 1 37 .229 .275 .424 418
3-YEAR AVG 158 138 29 87 93 13 75 .233 .322 .431 520
Career 1134 1016 193 597 588 65 459 .242 .318 .436
Career Spencer Arrighetti
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 HOU 29 142.2 2505 171 65 0 7-13 4.98 1.44 10.8 279
2025 HOU 7 35.1 618 31 20 0 1-5 5.35 1.42 7.9 42
2026 HOU 13 72.0 1219 75 37 0 7-4 4 1.28 9.4 171
ON PACE 24 138 2323 142 70 0 13-7 4 1.28 9.4 325
3-YEAR AVG 18 87 1562 101 43 0 4-9 5.11 1.45 10.3 161
Career 49 247.2 4342 277 122 0 0-0 4.8 1.4 10.1
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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