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Otto Lopez or Kazuma Okamoto

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Otto Lopez

Otto Lopez

SSMiami Marlins MIA
Kazuma Okamoto

Kazuma Okamoto

3BToronto Blue Jays TOR
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lopez over Okamoto

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Otto Lopez

MLB Hit Leader Otto Lopez Remains an Elite Fantasy Asset During Breakout Campaign

Otto Lopez continues his remarkable breakout season, batting .391 over the last seven days and recently becoming the first player in the majors to reach 100 hits this year. The third-place Marlins are currently riding a two-game win streak, with Lopez firmly entrenched as the everyday shortstop and primary table-setter in the lineup. His recent power surge, including a two-run homer on June 24, further cements his high-leverage role despite a back injury to teammate Liam Hicks.

Under the hood, Lopez is vastly outperforming our early-season expectations of a .260 average. While his current .337 mark through 80 games is elite, his career trends suggest some regression toward a more modest .280 baseline is eventually likely. However, his speed is already far ahead of schedule; he has already swiped 16 bases this year, well exceeding his projected full-season total of 10. For now, his high contact rate makes him a safe high-floor option in all formats.

The Marlins finish the week with a three-game series in St. Louis against the Cardinals. Lopez draws favorable matchups against Michael McGreevy (3.35 ERA) and Dustin May, who carries a more vulnerable 4.30 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Given that May and Andre Pallante both allow a fair amount of traffic on the bases, Lopez should have plenty of opportunities to utilize his speed and extend his league lead in hits. He remains a confident Start in all weekly leagues.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Otto Lopez
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Okamoto over Lopez

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kazuma Okamoto

Kazuma Okamoto’s massive power surge transforms him into a fantasy cornerstone

Okamoto has been an absolute force at the plate lately, slashing .381/.480/.857 with three home runs and nine RBI over his last six games. While the third-place Blue Jays (39-42) are currently navigating a three-game losing streak, their everyday third baseman has been a massive bright spot, carrying an elite 1.337 OPS over the last week. His solidified role in the heart of the order is paying dividends for fantasy managers as he continues to combine historic power with the gold-glove defense he showcased earlier this season.

The recent tear has significantly elevated his season-long profile, pushing his recent batting average well past his career baseline of .241. While the .381 clip from the past week is certain to regress, the power looks entirely legitimate; he has already produced 18 home runs in just 79 games this year. Earlier stance adjustments—moving back in the batter’s box to better handle outside pitches—appear to have unlocked a much higher floor for his contact rate, suggesting his current breakout is more than just a hot streak.

Toronto finishes the week at home with three games against the Rangers, offering several exploitable matchups for the hot-hitting slugger. Okamoto will face Nathan Eovaldi (4.24 ERA) and Kumar Rocker (4.14 ERA), both of whom have shown vulnerability this season, before a Sunday finale against Cal Quantrill. Given his current torrid stretch and the high-leverage opportunities he sees hitting behind Vladimir Guerrero Jr., he is a locked-in option for all lineups. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Kazuma Okamoto
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Performance Otto Lopez
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.391145.4400.69616
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.283159.3530.457312
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kazuma Okamoto
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.391385.4620.82606
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.3024129.3880.651012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Otto Lopez
OWN
99%
-0.37 compared to last week
START
92%
-0.44 compared to last week
OWN/START Kazuma Okamoto
OWN
87%
+9.28 compared to last week
START
84%
+18.66 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Otto Lopez
9th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kazuma Okamoto
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Otto Lopez

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 9th among SS's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 2nd.
  • The current leader among SS's is Bobby Witt Jr.
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 35 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.380 and is currently ranked 31st
  • Top 10 in batting average with 0.344 and is currently ranked 9th
  • Top 50 on base percentage and is currently ranked 48th with 0.379
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 89th with 0.474
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 57th with 0.853
  • Top 75 in steals and is currently ranked 69th with 12
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 198th in RBI with 23
  • Top 75 in runs scored and is currently ranked 53rd with 32
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.073, OBP: +0.041, HRs: -2, RBI: -3, Runs: +17, Wlks: -8, Stls: +8,
Breakdown Kazuma Okamoto

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 6th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 135th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.324
  • Ranked 185th in batting average with 0.251
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 164th with 0.333
  • Top 50 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 48th with 0.513
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 68th with 0.846
  • Top 20 in RBI and is currently ranked 17th with 42
  • Top 100 in runs scored and is currently ranked 90th with 31
  • Top 25 in HRs and is currently ranked 21st with 14
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.241, OBP: +0.324, HRs: +19, RBI: +53, Runs: +43, Wlks: +32, Stls: EVEN,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Otto Lopez

No Injury Reported

Injury Kazuma Okamoto

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Otto Lopez
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS TEXRobby AhlstromL 3-4
Jun 23VS TEXSandy AlcantaraW 6-4
Jun 24VS TEXJohn KingW 4-2
Jun 26@STLMax MeyerW 0-4
Jun 27@STLJohn KingW 1-5
Jun 28@STLKyle Leahy
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.313148.3710.53128
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Kazuma Okamoto
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS HOUBraydon FisherW 4-2
Jun 23VS HOULogan VanWeyL 7-9
Jun 24VS HOUSteven OkertL 1-3
Jun 25VS TEXMacKenzie GoreL 5-6
Jun 26VS TEXNathan EovaldiL 4-5
Jun 27VS TEXPeyton GrayL 4-7
Jun 28VS TEXKumar Rocker
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.391385.4620.82606
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Otto Lopez
15.60
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kazuma Okamoto
11.91
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Otto Lopez
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 TOR 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 0
2024 MIA 112 109 6 48 39 19 24 .270 .310 .377 338
2025 MIA 142 134 15 66 77 15 44 .246 .306 .368 477
2026 MIA 81 106 6 51 34 16 16 .332 .372 .473 317
ON PACE 158 206 11 99 66 31 31 .332 .372 .473 618
3-YEAR AVG 85 81 7 38 39 11 23 .257 .308 .372 272
Career 336 349 27 165 150 50 84 .275 .324 .397
Career Kazuma Okamoto
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 TOR 80 71 19 43 53 0 32 .241 .324 .473 239
ON PACE 156 138 37 83 103 0 62 .241 .324 .473 466
3-YEAR AVG . . . 0
Career 80 71 19 43 53 0 32 .241 .324 .473
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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