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Griffin Jax or Trevor Rogers

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Griffin Jax

Griffin Jax

SPTampa Bay Rays TB
Trevor Rogers

Trevor Rogers

SPBaltimore Orioles BAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jax over Rogers

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Griffin Jax

Griffin Jax thrives in rotation role with elite strikeout production

Jax is excelling for the second-place Rays (45-33), who enter today on a two-game winning streak. Over his last 14 days, he has maintained a dominant 1.20 ERA and 1.07 WHIP while striking out 17 batters across 15 innings of work. He is currently entrenched as the number four starter in the rotation, a role that remains secure with teammates Steven Matz and Ryan Pepiot currently sidelined on the injured list.

Our data projects a 3.36 ERA and 1.10 WHIP for Jax, figures he has actually outperformed during his recent hot stretch. While his season-long 1.37 WHIP indicates some earlier volatility, his high strikeout upside suggests his recent surge is sustainable. As he continues to transition from a hybrid role to a permanent rotation fixture, expect his ratios to stabilize closer to our projected marks as his command remains sharp.

Jax already provided fantasy value this week with a strong five-inning performance against Kansas City on June 24th, where he allowed zero earned runs and struck out seven. With the Rays hosting Arizona this weekend, Jax is not scheduled for a second start this scoring period but remains a priority hold in all formats. He should be kept in lineups for his next turn against the Diamondbacks' rotation. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Griffin Jax
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Rogers over Jax

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor Rogers

Trevor Rogers Rediscovers Ace Form with Dominant June Stretch

Rogers has been sensational lately, highlighted by a seven-inning one-hit masterpiece against the Dodgers. Over his last 14 days, he has delivered a 1.38 ERA and 0.77 WHIP, striking out 10 in 13 innings. The fourth-place Orioles (38-44) needed this stability given the long-term injuries to Chris Bassitt and Zach Eflin. Following an early-season illness, he has reclaimed his spot as the staff anchor in the rotation.

While his 5.51 ERA remains inflated by a poor May, his 3.06 ERA over the last 30 days is a far more accurate reflection of his potential. Our data suggests the pitch-tipping concerns noted earlier this season are resolved. When comparing this stretch to his elite 2025 campaign, it is clear he is returning to his baseline as a high-end starter rather than the ratio risk he appeared to be in April.

The southpaw has one remaining start this week at home against the Nationals. He faces Andrew Alvarez, who has been efficient with a 3.34 ERA, but our models favor Rogers given his current momentum and improved strikeout ability. With our projection calling for over seven innings of work and a WHIP under 0.80 for the outing, he should be in all active lineups. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Trevor Rogers
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Performance Griffin Jax
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000721.401
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.802-0001221.102
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Trevor Rogers
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.481-000700.821
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.412-1001740.793
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Griffin Jax
OWN
51%
+7.64 compared to last week
START
34%
+4.25 compared to last week
OWN/START Trevor Rogers
OWN
58%
+16.21 compared to last week
START
37%
+6.2 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Griffin Jax
68th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Trevor Rogers
89th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Griffin Jax

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 68th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 96th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 61st with 1.21
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 19th with 2.35
  • Currently ranked 141st in wins with 2
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 4.3 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +2, WHIP: +0.064, ERA: -0.933, K's: -7, Walks: +12
Breakdown Trevor Rogers

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 89th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 101st.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 76th
  • Currently ranked 129th in ERA with 5.37
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 96th with 14
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 89th
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 4.9 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +7, WHIP: +0.548, ERA: +3.473, K's: +48, Walks: +21
Next Up Health Check
Injury Griffin Jax

No Injury Reported

Injury Trevor Rogers

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Griffin Jax
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS KCMichael WachaL 1-2
Jun 23VS KCLuinder AvilaL 5-12
Jun 24VS KCGriffin JaxW 5-3
Jun 25VS KCIan SeymourW 13-2
Jun 26VS ARINick MartinezW 6-1
Jun 27VS ARIMichael GroveW 4-2
Jun 28VS ARIMerrill Kelly
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000721.401
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Trevor Rogers
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@LAAKyle BradishW 1-6
Jun 23@LAARyan JohnsonL 5-1
Jun 24@LAAChase SilsethL 7-6
Jun 26VS WASTrevor RogersW 3-1
Jun 27VS WASClayton BeeterL 3-4
Jun 28VS WASZack Littell
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.481-000700.821
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Griffin Jax
9.67
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Trevor Rogers
10.73
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Griffin Jax
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2021 MIN 18 82.0 1394 65 29 0 4-5 6.37 1.35 7.1 117
2022 MIN 61 71.0 1105 76 18 1 7-4 3.3 1.01 9.6 173
2023 MIN 75 64.1 1097 73 19 4 6-10 3.78 1.2 10.2 145
2024 MIN 72 68.2 1068 95 15 10 5-5 2.1 0.9 12.5 240
2025 MIN 73 63.2 1093 99 21 0 1-6 4.38 1.34 14 132
2026 TB 22 51.2 842 53 20 0 3-5 3.31 1.35 9.2 97
ON PACE 44 104 1705 107 40 0 6-10 3.31 1.35 9.2 196
3-YEAR AVG 73 64 1086 89 18 5 4-7 3.52 1.16 12.5 173
Career 321 396.2 6599 461 122 0 0-0 4.02 1.2 10.5
Career Trevor Rogers
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2020 MIA 7 25.2 525 35 9 0 1-2 7.36 1.71 12.3 44
2021 MIA 24 128.0 2084 152 43 0 7-8 2.74 1.16 10.7 317
2022 MIA 20 94.0 1737 92 43 0 4-10 5.65 1.55 8.8 124
2023 MIA 4 18.0 330 19 6 0 1-2 4.5 1.22 9.5 33
2024 MIA 25 122.0 2243 97 56 0 2-11 5.02 1.61 7.2 144
2025 BAL 18 109.2 1627 103 29 0 9-3 1.81 0.9 8.5 325
2026 BAL 15 77.0 1320 61 24 0 5-7 5.14 1.35 7.1 132
ON PACE 28 149 2545 117 46 0 9-13 5.14 1.35 7.1 253
3-YEAR AVG 16 82 1400 73 30 0 4-5 3.56 1.26 7.9 167
Career 113 569.2 9866 559 210 0 0-0 4.14 1.33 8.8
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled