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Kazuma Okamoto or Drake Baldwin

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Kazuma Okamoto

Kazuma Okamoto

3BToronto Blue Jays TOR
Drake Baldwin

Drake Baldwin

CAtlanta Braves ATL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Okamoto over Baldwin

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kazuma Okamoto

Kazuma Okamoto’s massive power surge transforms him into a fantasy cornerstone

Okamoto has been an absolute force at the plate lately, slashing .381/.480/.857 with three home runs and nine RBI over his last six games. While the third-place Blue Jays (39-42) are currently navigating a three-game losing streak, their everyday third baseman has been a massive bright spot, carrying an elite 1.337 OPS over the last week. His solidified role in the heart of the order is paying dividends for fantasy managers as he continues to combine historic power with the gold-glove defense he showcased earlier this season.

The recent tear has significantly elevated his season-long profile, pushing his recent batting average well past his career baseline of .241. While the .381 clip from the past week is certain to regress, the power looks entirely legitimate; he has already produced 18 home runs in just 79 games this year. Earlier stance adjustments—moving back in the batter’s box to better handle outside pitches—appear to have unlocked a much higher floor for his contact rate, suggesting his current breakout is more than just a hot streak.

Toronto finishes the week at home with three games against the Rangers, offering several exploitable matchups for the hot-hitting slugger. Okamoto will face Nathan Eovaldi (4.24 ERA) and Kumar Rocker (4.14 ERA), both of whom have shown vulnerability this season, before a Sunday finale against Cal Quantrill. Given his current torrid stretch and the high-leverage opportunities he sees hitting behind Vladimir Guerrero Jr., he is a locked-in option for all lineups. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Kazuma Okamoto
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Baldwin over Okamoto

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Drake Baldwin

All-Star Catcher Navigates Post-Injury Slump Amidst Secure Everyday Role

State of the Union: It has been a difficult stretch for the All-Star finalist, who is currently mired in a 0-for-22 slump with 14 strikeouts over the last seven days. Despite the hitless streak and the first-place Braves currently riding a four-game losing skid, he remains the undisputed primary starter behind the plate with Sean Murphy still sidelined. His role is solidified by a breakout first half that saw him recently crush a 473-foot home run shortly after returning from an oblique strain.

Under the Hood: While the recent .071 batting average over the last two weeks is jarring, our models suggest significant positive regression is coming to align with his .262 season projection and .269 career average. The power remains legitimate, as evidenced by his 14 homers in just 56 games, and his 90-RBI projection suggests he will remain a middle-of-the-order force once his timing fully returns. This cold spell appears to be a temporary adjustment period following his stint on the injured list rather than a long-term decline.

The Week Ahead & Verdict: Atlanta concludes the week with a three-game series in San Francisco. Baldwin faces a favorable matchup tonight against Trevor McDonald and his 4.93 ERA, followed by a much tougher test against ace Logan Webb on Saturday. The week ends against veteran lefty Robbie Ray. While the strikeouts are high, the volume at a thin catcher position is too valuable to bench, especially given his elite run-scoring and RBI potential in this high-powered lineup. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Drake Baldwin
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Performance Kazuma Okamoto
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.391385.4620.82606
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.3024129.3880.651012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Drake Baldwin
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.000001.0870.00006
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.057113.1080.143010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Kazuma Okamoto
OWN
87%
+9.28 compared to last week
START
84%
+18.66 compared to last week
OWN/START Drake Baldwin
OWN
98%
-1.84 compared to last week
START
81%
-6.73 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Kazuma Okamoto
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Drake Baldwin
2nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Kazuma Okamoto

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 6th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 135th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.324
  • Ranked 185th in batting average with 0.251
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 164th with 0.333
  • Top 50 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 48th with 0.513
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 68th with 0.846
  • Top 20 in RBI and is currently ranked 17th with 42
  • Top 100 in runs scored and is currently ranked 90th with 31
  • Top 25 in HRs and is currently ranked 21st with 14
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.241, OBP: +0.324, HRs: +19, RBI: +53, Runs: +43, Wlks: +32, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Drake Baldwin

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: C DH . However, he plays C most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 3rd among C's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 22nd.
  • The current leader among C's is William Contreras
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off. Either he isn't an every day player or he is coming back from an injury of some sort. I suggest checking out his news page to get a closer look.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 341st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.254
  • Ranked 307th in batting average with 0.220
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 215th with 0.316
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 122nd with 0.450
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 147th with 0.766
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 295th in RBI with 14
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 290th in runs scored with 13
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.006, OBP: +0.007, HRs: +5, RBI: +13, Runs: +23, Wlks: +7, Stls: +1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Kazuma Okamoto

No Injury Reported

Injury Drake Baldwin

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Kazuma Okamoto
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS HOUBraydon FisherW 4-2
Jun 23VS HOULogan VanWeyL 7-9
Jun 24VS HOUSteven OkertL 1-3
Jun 25VS TEXMacKenzie GoreL 5-6
Jun 26VS TEXNathan EovaldiL 4-5
Jun 27VS TEXPeyton GrayL 4-7
Jun 28VS TEXKumar Rocker
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.391385.4620.82606
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Drake Baldwin
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@SDMichael KingL 1-0
Jun 23@SDMason MillerL 7-6
Jun 24@SDJP SearsL 5-2
Jun 26@SFDylan LeeW 1-3
Jun 27@SFLogan WebbL 5-0
Jun 28@SFRobbie Ray
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.087113.1600.21707
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Kazuma Okamoto
11.91
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Drake Baldwin
13.85
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Kazuma Okamoto
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 TOR 80 71 19 43 53 0 32 .241 .324 .473 239
ON PACE 156 138 37 83 103 0 62 .241 .324 .473 466
3-YEAR AVG . . . 0
Career 80 71 19 43 53 0 32 .241 .324 .473
Career Drake Baldwin
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 ATL 122 108 19 56 80 0 38 .269 .337 .466 416
2026 ATL 57 59 14 42 39 1 25 .269 .355 .489 212
ON PACE 114 118 28 84 78 2 50 .269 .355 .489 424
3-YEAR AVG 122 108 19 56 80 0 38 .269 .337 .466 416
Career 179 167 33 98 119 1 63 .269 .343 .474
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled