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Kyle Leahy or Shane Bieber

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Kyle Leahy

Kyle Leahy

SPSt. Louis Cardinals STL
Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber

SPToronto Blue Jays TOR
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Leahy over Bieber

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kyle Leahy

Leahy provides rotation stability for St. Louis following a brilliant scoreless start

Leahy is finding his rhythm as a back-end starter for the third-place Cardinals, who currently sit at 42-36 in the standings. He is coming off a gem on June 23 where he tossed 6.1 scoreless innings against Arizona, lowering his ERA over the last 14 days to a respectable 3.68. He has solidified his role as the number five starter for a St. Louis squad looking to gain ground in the NL Central.

Despite the recent scoreless outing, our models suggest some regression may be looming given his 1.53 season WHIP. While his 0.82 WHIP over the last week was elite, his career stats and our season projection of a 1.35 WHIP indicate he typically deals with more traffic on the basepaths. Fantasy managers should enjoy the current ratio stabilization but remain wary of the high hit rate he has allowed throughout most of the 2026 campaign.

Because Leahy already pitched earlier this week on Tuesday, he is not lined up for a second start during the current scoring period. The Cardinals wrap up their week at home against the Marlins, where the lineup will face effective starters like Max Meyer, who carries a 2.80 ERA. Since his volume for the week is already exhausted, he can be safely moved to the bench for the remaining games. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Kyle Leahy
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bieber over Leahy

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Shane Bieber

Shane Bieber looks to shake off rust in upcoming start for the sliding Blue Jays

After rejoining the rotation on June 23, Bieber struggled in his first start back, yielding nine hits and four runs in only 3.2 innings of work. The third-place Blue Jays, currently on a three-game losing streak, have elevated him to the role of staff anchor with Max Scherzer sidelined on the injured list. Despite the poor results in his debut, his command was present as he did not issue a single walk during the outing.

While his recent 11.25 ERA is inflated by a single performance, our models suggest a return to his established baseline where he consistently produces a sub-1.20 WHIP. His season projection of a 3.47 ERA aligns more closely with his career norms than his recent blow-up, indicating that the elevated hit rate is likely a temporary byproduct of his injury layoff. Expect his strikeout rate to climb back toward his projected 190-K pace as his arm strength returns.

Bieber is scheduled for a second start this week on June 28 against Texas, facing right-hander Cal Quantrill. Quantrill has been solid with a 3.73 ERA and 1.28 WHIP, but Bieber remains the superior fantasy option due to his elite ceiling and rotation security. Given the lack of walks in his previous start and the need for innings in the Toronto rotation, he should be treated as a reliable fantasy asset. Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Shane Bieber
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Performance Kyle Leahy
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000320.821
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.230-1001031.072
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Shane Bieber
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
11.250-000202.811
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
11.250-000202.811
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Kyle Leahy
OWN
11%
+2.98 compared to last week
START
 
6%
+2.95 compared to last week
OWN/START Shane Bieber
OWN
62%
+2.12 compared to last week
START
24%
+19.1 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Kyle Leahy
39th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Shane Bieber
90th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Kyle Leahy

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 39th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 68th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 127th in WHIP with 1.46
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 62nd with 3.68
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 70th with 17
  • Currently ranked 116th in wins with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.8 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +3, WHIP: +0.189, ERA: +0.996, K's: +28, Walks: +13
Breakdown Shane Bieber

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 91st among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 244th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: EVEN, WHIP: +2.81, ERA: +11.25, K's: +2, Walks: EVEN
Next Up Health Check
Injury Kyle Leahy

No Injury Reported

Injury Shane Bieber

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Kyle Leahy
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS ARIAndre PallanteW 3-2
Jun 23VS ARIKevin GinkelL 3-4
Jun 24VS ARIRyan ThompsonL 4-9
Jun 25VS ARI
Jun 26VS MIAMax MeyerL 0-4
Jun 27VS MIAJohn KingL 1-5
Jun 28VS MIATyler Phillips
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.240-100551.442
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Shane Bieber
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS HOUBraydon FisherW 4-2
Jun 23VS HOULogan VanWeyL 7-9
Jun 24VS HOUSteven OkertL 1-3
Jun 25VS TEXMacKenzie GoreL 5-6
Jun 26VS TEXNathan EovaldiL 4-5
Jun 27VS TEXPeyton GrayL 4-7
Jun 28VS TEXKumar Rocker
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
11.250-000202.811
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Kyle Leahy
6.37
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Shane Bieber
9.62
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Kyle Leahy
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 STL 3 1.2 58 2 5 0 0-1 21.61 5.4 10.8 -8
2024 STL 33 44.0 695 33 10 1 1-1 4.5 1.14 6.8 88
2025 STL 62 78.2 1350 80 28 1 4-2 3.43 1.37 9.2 187
2026 STL 15 76.1 1267 62 28 0 5-4 4.24 1.51 7.3 135
ON PACE 30 155 2565 125 56 0 10-8 4.24 1.51 7.3 273
3-YEAR AVG 33 40 701 38 14 1 2-1 4.2 1.35 8.4 89
Career 113 196.0 3370 177 71 0 0-0 4.22 1.44 8.1
Career Shane Bieber
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2018 CLE 20 110.0 1805 118 23 0 11-5 4.66 1.38 9.7 285
2019 CLE 34 212.0 3332 259 40 0 15-8 3.31 1.06 11 624
2020 CLE 13 82.0 1343 129 23 0 8-2 2.3 0.95 14.2 289
2021 CLE 16 98.1 1559 134 33 0 7-4 3.11 1.19 12.3 283
2022 CLE 32 206.0 2982 207 39 0 13-8 2.93 1.05 9 542
2023 CLE 21 125.2 1954 107 34 0 6-6 3.87 1.26 7.7 271
2024 CLE 2 12.0 166 20 1 0 2-0 0 0.92 15 55
2025 TOR 12 59.0 955 55 13 0 6-3 3.66 1.15 8.4 142
2026 TOR 1 3.2 75 2 0 0 0-0 9.82 2.45 4.9 1
ON PACE 1 7 146 3 0 0 0-0 9.82 2.45 4.9 1
3-YEAR AVG 12 65 1025 61 16 0 5-3 3.53 1.19 8.3 156
Career 151 901.2 14171 1031 206 0 0-0 3.38 1.15 10.3
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled