Outlook Michael McGreevy
McGreevy looks to steady the ship against Miami after a rocky stretch inflated his recent ratios.
Michael McGreevy has struggled over his last two outings, surrendering seven earned runs across 11.0 innings for a 5.73 ERA. The Cardinals currently hold a 42-36 record and sit third in the NL Central, where McGreevy continues to slot in as the number two starter in the rotation. While he set a career-high with nine strikeouts in May, his recent form shows a dip in dominance with only two punchouts in his most recent appearance.
Beneath the surface, McGreevy’s 3.39 ERA on the season remains impressive, though our models expect some regression toward a 4.12 ERA mark by season's end. His 1.17 WHIP is an asset, but a low 5.79 K/9 rate means he lacks the margin for error found with high-velocity arms. Given his 1.30 WHIP over the last 30 days, his ability to limit baserunners is beginning to show some cracks compared to his elite early-season performance.
Looking at the week ahead, McGreevy has a single scheduled start today at home against the Marlins. He faces a tough mound opponent in Max Meyer, who carries a stellar 2.80 ERA into the matchup. With only one appearance this week and a trending lack of strikeouts, McGreevy is difficult to trust in standard formats until he recaptures his command. Verdict: Sit.
Updated 1 day ago
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Outlook Andre Pallante
Pallante emerges as a reliable rotation stabilizer during a dominant June stretch.
Pallante has been exceptionally sharp over his last 14 days, posting a 2.08 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP across two starts. The third-place Cardinals, currently sitting at 42-36, have benefited greatly from his consistency as he has solidified his role as the number four starter in the rotation. Recent highlights confirm the team has won six of his last seven starts, a testament to the efficient innings he is providing.
Under the hood, Pallante’s recent 3.31 ERA over the last month is outperforming our season projection of 4.31. While his 1.21 current WHIP is a significant improvement over his career norms, our models suggest some regression is likely as his low strikeout rate—currently around 7.07 K/9—leaves him vulnerable to batted-ball luck. He remains more of a ratio stabilizer than a dominant force, though his improved changeup has clearly raised his floor.
Having already dominated Arizona on June 22 with six innings of one-run ball, Pallante is lined up for a second start this week on June 28 at home against Miami. He is scheduled to face Tyler Phillips, who carries a shaky 1.43 WHIP despite a decent ERA. Given the two-start volume and his current rhythm, he is a primary streaming target to close out the week. Verdict: Two-Start Stream.
Updated 1 day ago
