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Curtis Mead or Manny Machado

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead

1BWashington Nationals WAS
Manny Machado

Manny Machado

3BSan Diego Padres SD
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mead over Machado

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead’s elite power surge continues to anchor the Nationals' lineup despite a dip in batting average.

Mead has been a consistent power source for the fourth-place Nationals, launching three home runs over his last seven games. While the 41-41 club is looking to snap a three-game losing streak, Mead has solidified his role as the starting third baseman and a primary run producer in the middle of the order. He continues to see everyday playing time, especially against right-handed pitching, where he has been most effective this season.

Although his batting average has dipped to .146 over the last fortnight, the underlying power output remains elite with four homers in his last 12 starts. This boom-or-bust profile is a significant pivot from his earlier career marks, as he has already surpassed our season projection of 10 home runs by reaching 14 before July. While the .223 season average is a slight categorical drag, his .476 slugging percentage suggests the power is legitimate.

The Nationals finish the week with a three-game series against the Orioles. Mead draws a favorable matchup today against Trevor Rogers, who carries a 5.48 ERA and 1.40 WHIP, followed by tougher tests against Brandon Young and Kyle Bradish. Given the volume of home runs he is providing and his secure spot in the batting order, he should remain in lineups for those chasing home runs and RBIs. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Curtis Mead
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Machado over Mead

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Manny Machado

Manny Machado is shaking off a cold start with a massive power surge for the surging Padres.

Machado has been the offensive catalyst for the second-place Padres during their current three-game win streak, slashing .261/.370/.609 with two home runs and seven RBI over the last week. While his season-long batting average is still recovering from a deep freeze, he remains the undisputed anchor at third base for a San Diego club that currently holds a 42-37 record. Recent game-winning hits and exit velocities north of 109 mph confirm he has regained his elite form.

Under the hood, the superstar is finally producing like the asset managers drafted, as his 14-day OPS of .902 far exceeds his early-season production. While he is currently trailing our .267 projected average and 23-homer baseline, his recent multi-homer games and high-leverage success suggest a significant second-half correction is in progress. Our models expect his counting stats to climb rapidly as he regresses toward his established career norms of 30 homers and 90-plus RBI.

The Padres finish the week with three critical home games against the first-place Dodgers. While facing Yoshinobu Yamamoto and his 2.65 ERA is a daunting task, Machado should capitalize on matchups against Roki Sasaki and Emmet Sheehan, both of whom have ERAs over 4.75 and WHIPs near 1.30. Given his current hot streak and consistent role in the heart of the lineup, he is a definitive Start across all fantasy formats.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Manny Machado
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Performance Curtis Mead
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.148353.1480.48107
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.1714105.2270.463012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Manny Machado
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.263124.4400.52606
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.214286.3530.452012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Curtis Mead
OWN
31%
+1.29 compared to last week
START
22%
-0.32 compared to last week
OWN/START Manny Machado
OWN
97%
-0.4 compared to last week
START
87%
+0.17 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Curtis Mead
29th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Manny Machado
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Curtis Mead

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B 3B . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 29th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 21st.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 380th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.236
  • Ranked 238th in batting average with 0.239
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 139th with 0.341
  • Top 75 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 65th with 0.497
  • Top 100 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 77th with 0.838
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 315th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 118th in RBI with 29
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 155th in runs scored with 28
  • Top 75 in HRs and is currently ranked 71st with 11
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.023, OBP: -0.018, HRs: +11, RBI: +31, Runs: +23, Wlks: +16, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Manny Machado

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 3B DH . However, he plays 3B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 8th among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 18th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Junior Caminero
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 462nd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.158
  • Ranked 436th in batting average with 0.160
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 434th with 0.234
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 274th with 0.366
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 350th with 0.600
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 122nd in RBI with 27
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 241st in runs scored with 20
  • Top 100 in HRs and is currently ranked 81st with 10
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.8 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.11, OBP: -0.082, HRs: +1, RBI: -4, Runs: -14, Wlks: +5, Stls: -7,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Curtis Mead

No Injury Reported

Injury Manny Machado

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Curtis Mead
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS PHIFoster GriffinW 4-1
Jun 23VS PHIOrion KerkeringL 9-14
Jun 24VS PHISeth JohnsonL 4-5
Jun 25VS PHIOrion KerkeringL 5-10
Jun 26@BALTrevor RogersL 3-1
Jun 27@BALClayton BeeterW 3-4
Jun 28@BALKyle Bradish
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.161355.2350.452010
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Manny Machado
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS ATLMichael KingW 1-0
Jun 23VS ATLMason MillerW 7-6
Jun 24VS ATLJP SearsW 5-2
Jun 26VS LADWalker BuehlerW 7-1
Jun 27VS LADYoshinobu YamamotoL 3-15
Jun 28VS LADEmmet Sheehan
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.192244.3440.50008
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Curtis Mead
8.32
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Manny Machado
12.71
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Curtis Mead
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 TB 26 23 1 12 6 0 7 .258 .327 .348 59
2024 TB 38 29 1 10 7 2 6 .238 .282 .287 70
2025 TB 86 56 3 25 18 5 15 .233 .298 .321 168
2026 WAS 68 47 14 36 39 3 27 .222 .321 .467 230
ON PACE 131 90 27 69 75 5 52 .222 .321 .467 443
3-YEAR AVG 50 36 2 16 10 2 9 .239 .299 .317 99
Career 218 155 19 83 70 10 55 .234 .307 .365
Career Manny Machado
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2012 BAL 51 49 7 24 26 2 9 .257 .289 .429 126
2013 BAL 156 189 14 88 71 6 29 .283 .314 .427 429
2014 BAL 79 88 10 36 28 2 19 .279 .324 .419 187
2015 BAL 162 181 35 102 86 20 70 .286 .359 .502 561
2016 BAL 157 189 37 105 96 0 48 .295 .345 .534 531
2017 BAL 156 163 33 81 95 9 50 .259 .310 .471 484
2018 BAL 162 188 37 84 107 12 70 .297 .367 .538 573
2019 SD 155 150 32 81 84 5 65 .256 .333 .462 447
2020 SD 66 72 18 47 50 6 27 .287 .351 .558 255
2021 SD 150 153 28 91 106 12 61 .275 .342 .487 603
2022 SD 150 168 32 96 97 9 66 .288 .360 .520 587
2023 SD 138 140 30 75 91 3 50 .258 .319 .462 502
2024 SD 159 167 30 81 108 11 45 .269 .317 .464 570
2025 SD 162 170 28 92 97 14 57 .272 .335 .459 589
2026 SD 79 54 14 38 43 1 36 .187 .276 .381 234
ON PACE 158 108 28 76 86 2 72 .187 .276 .381 468
3-YEAR AVG 153 159 29 83 99 9 51 .267 .324 .462 554
Career 1982 2121 385 1121 1185 112 702 .273 .333 .479
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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