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Trevor Larnach or Jake Bauers

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach

LFMinnesota Twins MIN
Jake Bauers

Jake Bauers

1BMilwaukee Brewers MIL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Larnach over Bauers

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach is surging with a 1.010 OPS over the last two weeks, making him a priority fantasy start.

Larnach has been a consistent bright spot for the third-place Twins, who currently hold a 38-44 record and are working to snap a three-game losing streak. Over his last 14 days, the left fielder has been exceptional, batting .371 with two home runs and seven RBI. Our data confirms he is the primary starter in left field, providing much-needed stability to a Minnesota lineup currently navigating several key injuries to the supporting cast.

While our projection forecasted a more modest .247 batting average for the season, Larnach is significantly outperforming that mark with a .276 clip through 66 games. This surge is backed by an improved .373 on-base percentage, which is a notable jump from his career averages. Although his historical data suggests some power volatility may return, his current underlying contact metrics indicate that this high-OBP production is sustainable for the foreseeable future.

The upcoming weekend schedule is incredibly favorable as the Twins host the Rockies for a three-game series. Larnach will match up against a struggling Colorado rotation featuring Tomoyuki Sugano and Ryan Feltner, who both have ERAs near 4.70, and Michael Lorenzen, who carries a bloated 7.33 ERA and 1.87 WHIP. Given these soft matchups and his peak form, he is an easy play to close out the week. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Trevor Larnach
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bauers over Larnach

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jake Bauers

Jake Bauers continues mid-career renaissance with All-Star buzz and elite power metrics

Jake Bauers has maintained his torrid pace over the last week, batting .294 with a massive 1.017 OPS and his team-leading 14th home run. He is a primary contributor for a first-place Milwaukee squad that sits at 49-29 and is currently riding a four-game winning streak. While technically a versatile rotation option at first base and across the outfield, his heavy usage and career-best production have made him an indispensable part of the lineup.

Our data highlights a significant renaissance for Bauers, whose current .271 average and .508 slugging percentage far outpace his career norms of roughly .200. While his high strikeout rate remains a concern, his elite .377 on-base percentage and 14 homers in 69 games suggest this transformation is legitimate. However, our models expect a dip toward a .213 average for the rest of the season, suggesting some regression from this peak is likely.

The Brewers finish the week hosting a divisional series against the Cubs at home. Bauers faces a favorable matchup tonight against Colin Rea, who enters the contest with a 5.14 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. With the Brewers' offense firing on all cylinders and Bauers homering in his most recent game, he remains a high-upside play for managers needing power and runs. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Jake Bauers
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Performance Trevor Larnach
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.412042.4210.64705
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.4622108.4760.718010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jake Bauers
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.278125.4350.55606
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.207126.3950.379011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Trevor Larnach
OWN
20%
+9.38 compared to last week
START
17%
+7.15 compared to last week
OWN/START Jake Bauers
OWN
86%
-2.43 compared to last week
START
73%
-1.22 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Trevor Larnach
91st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jake Bauers
31st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Trevor Larnach

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 91st among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 34th.
  • The current leader among OF's is Juan Soto
  • He is performing amazing in the past 30 days. Will he keep it up?
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 100 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.347 and is currently ranked 84th
  • Top 50 in batting average with 0.299 and is currently ranked 48th
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 77th with 0.363
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 126th with 0.448
  • Top 100 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 97th with 0.811
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 355th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 247th in RBI with 19
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 177th in runs scored with 26
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.035, OBP: +0.059, HRs: -7, RBI: -12, Runs: -5, Wlks: +2, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Jake Bauers

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B LF RF . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 31st among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 16th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 75 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.352 and is currently ranked 73rd
  • Ranked 108th in batting average with 0.273
  • Top 15 on base percentage and is currently ranked 15th with 0.411
  • Top 50 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 41st with 0.520
  • Top 25 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 24th with 0.931
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 167th with 2
  • Top 50 in walks and is currently ranked 48th with 32
  • Top 75 in RBI and is currently ranked 54th with 33
  • Top 100 in runs scored and is currently ranked 87th with 30
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.046, OBP: +0.043, HRs: +9, RBI: +30, Runs: +33, Wlks: +21, Stls: +1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Trevor Larnach

No Injury Reported

Injury Jake Bauers

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Trevor Larnach
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS LADEric LauerL 1-2
Jun 23VS LADJustin WrobleskiL 3-12
Jun 24VS LADShohei OhtaniL 3-4
Jun 26VS COLAndrew MorrisW 9-8
Jun 27VS COLMichael LorenzenL 5-8
Jun 28VS COLRyan Feltner
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.385032.4290.53804
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Jake Bauers
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@CINTrevor MegillW 1-2
Jun 23@CINBrandon SproatW 0-2
Jun 24@CINChad PatrickW 5-6
Jun 26VS CHCJacob MisiorowskiW 6-2
Jun 27VS CHCDavid PetersonL 2-8
Jun 28VS CHCRyan Rolison
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.308286.4190.61508
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Trevor Larnach
8.24
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jake Bauers
11.76
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Trevor Larnach
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2021 MIN 77 55 6 28 25 1 31 .218 .321 .337 147
2022 MIN 49 36 5 20 18 0 16 .225 .292 .394 109
2023 MIN 58 39 8 26 40 1 27 .213 .311 .415 157
2024 MIN 111 92 15 59 52 4 39 .259 .336 .434 334
2025 MIN 142 125 17 61 60 4 53 .250 .325 .403 405
2026 MIN 65 61 5 37 26 2 26 .288 .372 .434 206
ON PACE 125 117 9 71 50 3 50 .288 .372 .434 397
3-YEAR AVG 104 85 13 49 51 3 40 .246 .326 .416 299
Career 502 408 56 231 221 12 192 .245 .328 .404
Career Jake Bauers
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2018 TB 95 65 10 48 48 7 54 .201 .316 .375 233
2019 CLE 114 84 12 46 43 4 44 .226 .311 .371 222
2021 CLE 106 56 4 24 19 5 24 .206 .273 .276 180
2023 NYY 81 49 12 28 30 3 26 .202 .277 .413 176
2024 MIL 106 62 13 43 44 13 31 .201 .285 .370 235
2025 MIL 83 47 8 29 30 8 29 .240 .341 .413 197
2026 MIL 70 64 14 46 48 5 38 .268 .375 .502 261
ON PACE 141 129 28 93 97 10 76 .268 .375 .502 528
3-YEAR AVG 90 53 11 33 35 8 29 .212 .297 .395 203
Career 655 427 73 264 262 45 246 .219 .310 .384
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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