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Luinder Avila or Jack Flaherty

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Luinder Avila

Luinder Avila

SPKansas City Royals KC
Jack Flaherty

Jack Flaherty

SPDetroit Tigers DET
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Avila over Flaherty

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Luinder Avila

Avila Rebounds with Dominant Outing as He Anchors Depleted Royals Rotation

Avila has shown significant signs of life lately, posting a 1.80 ERA with six strikeouts over five innings in his most recent start. Despite the fifth-place Royals holding a 34-48 record, the 24-year-old has solidified his role as the number two starter in the rotation with Cole Ragans and Kris Bubic both sidelined on the injured list.

While his 5.20 ERA and 1.66 WHIP on the season are concerning, a disastrous mid-June start where he failed to escape the first inning heavily skews those numbers. Our projection expects a more stable 4.25 ERA and 1.39 WHIP moving forward, as his elite 10.8 K/9 over the last week aligns with the high-ceiling strikeout potential he flashed during his 2025 campaign.

As a two-start pitcher this week, Avila follows up his victory against Tampa Bay with a favorable Sunday matchup against the White Sox. Facing Anthony Kay and a Chicago lineup currently struggling for consistency, Avila’s projected 9.1 strikeouts and 3.24 ERA for the period make him a priority play in most formats. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Luinder Avila
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Flaherty over Avila

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jack Flaherty

High-Strikeout Veteran Seeks Improved Ratios in Staff Anchor Role

Jack Flaherty enters the season as a critical piece of the Detroit rotation, slotting in as a veteran staff anchor following a 2025 campaign where he proved his durability with over 160 innings. At age 30, he has transitioned from his early-career peak into a high-volume strikeout specialist who can carry a fantasy staff in whiffs, even if his ERA has been prone to some volatility. His familiarity with the Tigers' pitching philosophy and a secure rotation slot provide a stable floor for volume that many pitchers in his ADP range lack.

Our projection for the upcoming season highlights his elite swing-and-miss potential, as he is expected to rack up roughly 135 strikeouts over 160.0 innings. While his career has seen fluctuations in efficiency, our data suggests he will settle into a respectable 4.11 ERA with a .1.26 WHIP. Owners should expect significant value in the strikeout category and a healthy total of quality starts, though his win potential may be slightly capped by a Detroit lineup that has struggled to provide consistent run support in recent years.

Fantasy managers should view Flaherty as a high-upside SP3 or SP4. While he may occasionally hurt your ratios, his ability to dominate a game with double-digit strikeouts—a feat he accomplished multiple times last year—makes him a game-changer in head-to-head formats. If he can maintain the improved walk rate seen during his best stretches in 2024, he has the ceiling to finish as a top-30 starter, making him a primary target for those looking to bolster their strikeout totals in the middle rounds of drafts.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Jack Flaherty
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Performance Luinder Avila
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.801-000641.401
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.762-0001151.082
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jack Flaherty
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Luinder Avila
OWN
 
10%
+8.14 compared to last week
START
 
9%
+8.14 compared to last week
OWN/START Jack Flaherty
OWN
38%
+6.86 compared to last week
START
20%
+6.52 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Luinder Avila
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jack Flaherty
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Luinder Avila

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 118th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 90th
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 5.8 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +3, WHIP: +1.64, ERA: +5.12, K's: +39, Walks: +27
Breakdown Jack Flaherty

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 225th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 135th in WHIP with 1.52
  • Currently ranked 135th in ERA with 5.58
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -4, L: -1, WHIP: +0.34, ERA: +0.535, K's: -22, Walks: -1
Next Up Health Check
Injury Luinder Avila

No Injury Reported

Injury Jack Flaherty

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Luinder Avila
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@TBMichael WachaW 1-2
Jun 23@TBLuinder AvilaW 5-12
Jun 24@TBGriffin JaxL 5-3
Jun 25@TBIan SeymourL 13-2
Jun 26@CHWDavid SandlinL 22-1
Jun 27@CHWGrant TaylorL 2-1
Jun 28@CHWAnthony Kay
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.111-0001071.233
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Jack Flaherty
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS NYYFramber ValdezW 5-3
Jun 23VS NYYCarlos RodonL 3-4
Jun 24VS NYYRyan WeathersL 2-4
Jun 25VS HOUTatsuya ImaiL 1-2
Jun 26VS HOUKeider MonteroW 8-0
Jun 27VS HOUAJ BlubaughL 6-8
Jun 28VS HOUHunter Brown
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Luinder Avila
3.24
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jack Flaherty
6.99
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Luinder Avila
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 KC 13 14.0 217 16 6 0 1-1 1.29 0.93 10.3 36
2026 KC 15 42.2 806 39 27 0 3-3 5.06 1.62 8.2 66
ON PACE 28 82 1554 75 52 0 5-5 5.06 1.62 8.2 126
3-YEAR AVG 13 13 217 16 6 0 1-1 1.29 0.93 10.3 36
Career 28 56.2 1023 55 33 0 0-0 4.13 1.45 8.7
Career Jack Flaherty
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2017 STL 6 21.1 358 20 10 0 0-2 6.33 1.55 8.4 31
2018 STL 28 148.2 2587 182 59 0 8-9 3.33 1.12 11 408
2019 STL 36 211.0 3478 253 59 0 12-10 2.9 1 10.8 599
2020 STL 12 53.0 965 65 24 0 4-5 4.58 1.28 11 120
2021 STL 17 79.0 1353 85 26 0 9-2 3.19 1.05 9.7 234
2022 STL 8 35.0 643 32 22 0 2-1 3.86 1.57 8.2 71
2023 STL 30 144.0 2684 149 69 0 8-9 5.06 1.62 9.3 266
2024 DET 33 179.1 3034 209 47 0 14-9 3.76 1.15 10.5 472
2025 DET 34 166.1 3024 200 67 0 8-16 4.71 1.33 10.8 334
2026 DET 15 63.1 1289 78 34 0 1-8 5.54 1.63 11.1 87
ON PACE 29 124 2515 152 66 0 1-15 5.54 1.63 11.1 169
3-YEAR AVG 32 162 2914 186 61 0 10-11 4.45 1.34 10.2 358
Career 219 1094.0 19415 1273 417 0 0-0 4.03 1.26 10.5
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled