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7:20PM • PREVIEW NBC

Adrian Morejon or Michael Petersen

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Adrian Morejon

Adrian Morejon

RPSan Diego Padres SD
Michael Petersen

Michael Petersen

RPMiami Marlins MIA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Morejon over Petersen

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Adrian Morejon

Elite velocity and surging strikeout rates fueling high-leverage dominance

Morejon is currently in peak form, having surrendered just one hit and zero earned runs over his last seven innings of work. The second-place Padres are riding a three-game winning streak, and with bullpen depth tested by the injury to Jeremiah Estrada, Morejon has solidified his role as the primary setup man. His triple-digit fastball remains his calling card, recently helping him navigate jams against the league's top offenses.

Under the hood, the lefty's 2026 campaign is much stronger than his 4.15 ERA suggests. He has maintained an elite 12.7 K/9 and a career-best 7.00 strikeout-to-walk ratio, which is a massive leap forward from his career baseline. While our models projected a 3.39 ERA for the season, his recent performance suggests he is currently pitching well above those expectations and is sustainable as a high-end holds and ratio asset.

The Padres finish the week with three home games against the first-place Dodgers. Morejon will be tested by a potent Los Angeles lineup, though he has favorable matchups against Roki Sasaki and Emmet Sheehan, both of whom carry ERAs near 5.00. Given his ability to provide elite strikeout volume and holds for a contending team, he remains a vital piece of active fantasy rosters. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Adrian Morejon
Loading...
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Petersen over Morejon

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Michael Petersen

Late-Inning Breakout: Petersen Dominating With Elite Strikeout Stuff

Petersen has been electric for the third-place Marlins, posting a stellar 2.90 ERA and 0.65 WHIP over his last six appearances. He has solidified himself as a premier high-leverage setup option in the bullpen, securing 11 holds over the last 30 days while the team currently rides a two-game win streak. His increased usage in critical situations is particularly vital with Andrew Nardi sidelined on the injured list.

While our season data originally expected more ratio volatility with a projected 4.50 ERA, Petersen has significantly improved his command, issuing zero walks over his last 14 days of work. His elite 15.97 K/9 during that recent stretch is supported by a career-best 3.23 K/BB ratio on the season, suggesting his late-career breakout is fueled by genuine mechanical improvements rather than just a streak of good luck.

The week concludes with a three-game road series against the Cardinals, where the Marlins will face a rotation that includes Michael McGreevy and Dustin May. With our projection forecasting nearly two holds and elite strikeout volume for the remainder of the week, Petersen remains a priority asset for managers in leagues that reward holds or those needing to stabilize their ratios. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Michael Petersen
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Performance Adrian Morejon
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-020300.673
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-030800.706
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Michael Petersen
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-030500.944
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.460-030900.966
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Adrian Morejon
OWN
35%
+7.68 compared to last week
START
32%
+6.56 compared to last week
OWN/START Michael Petersen
OWN
11%
+5.99 compared to last week
START
11%
+6.35 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Adrian Morejon
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Michael Petersen
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Adrian Morejon

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 25th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 35 in WHIP and is currently ranked 26th with 0.93
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 73rd with 2.78
  • Top 50 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 47th with 32
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 64th with 4
  • Top 15 in holds and is currently ranked 14th with 9
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: -2, WHIP: +0.146, ERA: +1.224, K's: +16, Walks: +1
Breakdown Michael Petersen

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 74th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 87th
  • Currently ranked 126th in ERA with 3.56
  • Top 75 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 66th with 30
  • He is among the best in holds and is currently ranked 10th with 10
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: +1, WHIP: -0.332, ERA: -1.005, K's: +38, Walks: +11
Next Up Health Check
Injury Adrian Morejon

No Injury Reported

Injury Michael Petersen

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Adrian Morejon
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS ATLMichael KingW 1-0
Jun 23VS ATLMason MillerW 7-6
Jun 24VS ATLJP SearsW 5-2
Jun 26VS LADWalker BuehlerW 7-1
Jun 27VS LADYoshinobu YamamotoL 3-15
Jun 28VS LADEmmet Sheehan
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-020400.754
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Michael Petersen
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS TEXRobby AhlstromL 3-4
Jun 23VS TEXSandy AlcantaraW 6-4
Jun 24VS TEXJohn KingW 4-2
Jun 26@STLMax MeyerW 0-4
Jun 27@STLJohn KingW 1-5
Jun 28@STLKyle Leahy
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-020800.944
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Adrian Morejon
8.52
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Michael Petersen
7.01
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Adrian Morejon
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 SD 5 8.0 154 9 3 0 0-0 10.13 2.25 10.1 7
2020 SD 12 22.0 420 29 6 0 2-3 5.32 1.32 11.9 49
2021 SD 2 6.1 80 3 2 0 0-0 2.84 1.11 4.3 7
2022 SD 26 34.2 557 28 10 1 5-0 4.93 1.18 7.3 86
2023 SD 8 9.0 161 8 5 0 0-0 7 2.11 8 10
2024 SD 62 56.2 1097 72 23 2 3-3 3.34 1.55 11.4 149
2025 SD 78 66.1 1049 72 17 3 14-6 2.44 1.04 9.8 231
2026 SD 38 37.1 655 49 7 1 6-1 3.86 1.13 11.8 126
ON PACE 76 75 1310 98 14 2 12-2 3.86 1.13 11.8 252
3-YEAR AVG 49 43 769 51 15 2 6-3 3.07 1.34 10.4 130
Career 231 231.0 4173 270 73 0 0-0 4.09 1.35 10.5
Career Michael Petersen
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 LAD 16 19.2 363 14 11 0 3-1 5.95 1.63 6.4 34
2025 ATL 15 15.2 327 17 7 0 0-0 4.6 1.6 9.8 32
2026 MIA 33 32.2 574 43 13 1 1-1 3.31 1.1 11.9 88
ON PACE 64 63 1120 83 25 1 1-1 3.31 1.1 11.9 171
3-YEAR AVG 16 17 345 16 9 0 2-1 5.6 1.64 8.2 33
Career 64 65.2 1264 74 31 0 0-0 4.52 1.42 10.1
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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