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MID 6 • Q • • NBC LIVE

Colt Emerson or Jeremy Pena

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Colt Emerson

Colt Emerson

3BSeattle Mariners SEA
Jeremy Pena

Jeremy Pena

SSHouston Astros HOU
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Emerson over Pena

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Colt Emerson

Rookie Phenom Hits a Wall as Strikeouts Mount

Emerson has cooled off significantly after an electric start to his career, batting just .059 with eight strikeouts over his last six games. The first-place Mariners (41-41) continue to lean on the 20-year-old as their primary starter at shortstop while J.P. Crawford shifts to third base to accommodate the rookie. Despite avoiding a recent injury scare, the lack of contact has become a major hurdle as league pitchers adjust to his high-upside profile.

While his six home runs in 32 games highlight elite power potential for his age, the heavy swing-and-miss in his game is catching up to him, evidenced by a career 35% strikeout rate. Our projections suggest a .231 batting average is his likely baseline, implying that while his current .206 career mark is slightly suppressed, he may never be a high-average asset in his freshman year. Fantasy managers should remain patient given his top-prospect pedigree, though a regression from his historic May pace was inevitable.

Seattle finishes the week with three games in Cleveland against a Guardians staff that offers a mixed bag of matchups. Emerson is scheduled to face Joey Cantillo and Slade Cecconi, both of whom carry ERAs above 4.25 and WHIPs over 1.40, before a tougher series finale against Gavin Williams. However, because Emerson has managed just one hit in his last 17 at-bats and our models project a meager .132 average for the week ahead, he belongs on the bench for now. Sit.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Colt Emerson
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Pena over Emerson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jeremy Pena

Jeremy Pena provides elite power and speed production as the Astros attempt to climb the divisional standings.

Pena is blistering hot, batting .364 with two home runs and three steals over the last week. Despite a minor hamstring cramp earlier in the week, he remains the everyday shortstop for a fourth-place Astros team currently riding a three-game win streak. With teammates like Carlos Correa and Nick Allen on the shelf, Houston is leaning heavily on Pena to stabilize the middle of their lineup.

While our season projection anticipated a .278 average and 14 homers, Pena's recent output is mirroring his career-best 2025 campaign. He has already swiped eight bags in just 45 games, putting him on pace to easily shatter our projection of 13 stolen bases. This elite power-speed blend is supported by a robust .353 on-base percentage, suggesting his current hot streak is backed by improved plate discipline.

Houston finishes the week with three games in Detroit. Matchups against Keider Montero (3.79 ERA) and Framber Valdez (3.91 ERA) are neutral for hitters, though Casey Mize and his 3.07 ERA present a tougher challenge on Sunday. Given Pena's massive 1.122 OPS over the last seven days and his ability to contribute across every fantasy category, he is a locked-in Start for the remainder of the week.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Jeremy Pena
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Performance Colt Emerson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.125112.3000.31306
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.147133.2560.235112
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jeremy Pena
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.391035.4620.43537
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.347398.3850.571313
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Colt Emerson
OWN
28%
-13.2 compared to last week
START
17%
-10.4 compared to last week
OWN/START Jeremy Pena
OWN
86%
-0.52 compared to last week
START
79%
-1.32 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Colt Emerson
22nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jeremy Pena
13th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Colt Emerson

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: SS 3B . However, he plays SS most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 22nd among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 25th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Junior Caminero
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 363rd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.246
  • Ranked 362nd in batting average with 0.206
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 300th with 0.292
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 100th with 0.467
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 148th with 0.759
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 357th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 287th in RBI with 17
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 305th in runs scored with 15
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.206, OBP: +0.292, HRs: +7, RBI: +17, Runs: +15, Wlks: +11, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Jeremy Pena

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 14th among SS's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 13th.
  • The current leader among SS's is Bobby Witt Jr.
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 102nd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.337
  • Top 50 in batting average with 0.304 and is currently ranked 39th
  • Top 75 on base percentage and is currently ranked 58th with 0.373
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 98th with 0.467
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 75th with 0.840
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 118th with 7
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 223rd in RBI with 21
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 154th in runs scored with 28
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.03, OBP: -0.02, HRs: -5, RBI: -19, Runs: -15, Wlks: -5, Stls: -7,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Colt Emerson

No Injury Reported

Injury Jeremy Pena

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Colt Emerson
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23@PITGeorge KirbyW 2-3
Jun 24@PITBraxton AshcraftL 11-1
Jun 25@PITBubba ChandlerL 5-1
Jun 26@CLELuis CastilloW 1-3
Jun 27@CLESlade CecconiL 4-3
Jun 28@CLEGavin Williams
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.133112.3160.33305
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Jeremy Pena
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@TORBraydon FisherL 4-2
Jun 23@TORLogan VanWeyW 7-9
Jun 24@TORSteven OkertW 1-3
Jun 25@DETTatsuya ImaiW 1-2
Jun 26@DETKeider MonteroL 8-0
Jun 27@DETAJ BlubaughW 6-8
Jun 28@DETJack Flaherty
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.394166.4440.51539
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Colt Emerson
8.02
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jeremy Pena
12.12
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Colt Emerson
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 SEA 34 22 7 15 17 1 11 .206 .292 .467 90
ON PACE 65 42 13 28 32 1 21 .206 .292 .467 173
3-YEAR AVG . . . 0
Career 34 22 7 15 17 1 11 .206 .292 .467
Career Jeremy Pena
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 HOU 138 139 24 78 65 11 23 .260 .295 .449 429
2023 HOU 160 162 10 82 53 13 44 .263 .321 .374 461
2024 HOU 159 161 15 79 70 20 26 .265 .305 .391 498
2025 HOU 125 150 17 68 62 20 35 .304 .363 .477 472
2026 HOU 46 52 6 33 21 8 15 .292 .357 .438 178
ON PACE 87 99 11 62 40 15 28 .292 .357 .438 339
3-YEAR AVG 148 158 14 76 62 18 35 .275 .328 .410 477
Career 628 664 72 340 271 72 143 .273 .323 .421
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled