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Robbie Ray or Brandon Young

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Robbie Ray

Robbie Ray

SPSan Francisco Giants SF
Brandon Young

Brandon Young

SPBaltimore Orioles BAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Ray over Young

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Robbie Ray

Robbie Ray Reclaiming Elite Status Amidst Dominant Scoreless Streak

Ray is in the midst of a spectacular run, punctuated by an eight-inning scoreless gem on Tuesday where he allowed just two hits. Over his last two outings, he has tossed 14.1 innings without allowing an earned run, and our data shows him thriving as the clear number two starter in the rotation. Despite the 33-47 Giants sitting 18.5 games back in the division, Ray's performance is making him a hot commodity in trade rumors.

His 2.43 ERA over the last 30 days is a significant improvement over his 4.10 season mark and aligns more closely with his strong 2025 campaign. While 11 walks over his last 22.2 innings suggest some efficiency risk, his career-long ability to maintain high strikeout volumes makes this recent surge look sustainable. Our models suggest he is returning to the high-strikeout form that defined his 2021 peak.

As a two-start pitcher this week, Ray has already delivered one masterpiece and faces a marquee matchup on Sunday at Oracle Park against the Braves. He is scheduled to duel Chris Sale, who carries an elite 2.14 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. Despite facing one of the league's most difficult opposing pitchers, Ray's current momentum and strikeout upside make him a mandatory fantasy option. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Robbie Ray
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Young over Ray

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Young

Brandon Young has transformed into a reliable rotation anchor for the Orioles, posting a stellar 2.67 ERA over his last five starts.

Young has emerged as a crucial stabilizer for an Orioles rotation recently hampered by injuries to Chris Bassitt and Zach Eflin. Over his last 30 days, he has secured four quality starts with a 1.12 WHIP, most recently holding the Dodgers to just one run over five innings of work. Although Baltimore currently sits in fourth place in the AL East with a 38-44 record and is navigating a two-game losing streak, Young has given the club a chance to win in nearly every appearance.

This 2026 breakout is a massive leap forward from his 6.45 ERA last season, and the underlying improvements support his continued growth. Our data highlights a notable uptick in fastball velocity, with Young consistently hitting 95-96 mph to blow heat past elite hitters like Freddie Freeman. While his seasonal 1.32 WHIP suggests he still works around some traffic, his ability to limit damage is exceptional, having surrendered three or fewer earned runs in 11 of his 12 starts this year.

Looking ahead, Young is set for a home start on June 27 against the Nationals. He faces a tough counterpart in Foster Griffin, who enters with a 3.15 ERA and a low 1.06 WHIP, but the Orioles' right-hander has more than enough momentum to handle the challenge. With our projections eyeing nearly seven innings of work and a sub-3.00 ERA for the remaining matchup this week, he is a clear fantasy asset. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Brandon Young
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Performance Robbie Ray
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000640.751
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000640.751
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Brandon Young
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.701-0001341.602
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.381-1001581.503
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Robbie Ray
OWN
86%
+21.49 compared to last week
START
68%
+25.87 compared to last week
OWN/START Brandon Young
OWN
56%
+9.72 compared to last week
START
46%
+13.88 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Robbie Ray
70th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Brandon Young
116th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Robbie Ray

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 70th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 129th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 131st in WHIP with 1.50
  • Currently ranked 115th in ERA with 5.02
  • Top 10 in walks and is currently ranked 8th with 26
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 75th with 3
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 7.4 PPG. That is great, but how long can he perform at this level? If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -3, L: +3, WHIP: +0.218, ERA: +1.348, K's: -38, Walks: +2
Breakdown Brandon Young

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 116th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 35th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Phenominal stats in the past 30 days. If he can keep it up, then keep him. . otherwise think trade.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 109th in WHIP with 1.39
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 66th with 3.76
  • Top 20 in walks and is currently ranked 16th with 24
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 69th with 4
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +6, L: EVEN, WHIP: -0.689, ERA: -3.777, K's: +46, Walks: +18
Next Up Health Check
Injury Robbie Ray

No Injury Reported

Injury Brandon Young

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Robbie Ray
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23VS ATHRobbie RayW 3-1
Jun 24VS ATHErik MillerW 2-1
Jun 25VS ATHGeoff HartliebL 6-9
Jun 26VS ATLDylan LeeL 1-3
Jun 27VS ATLLogan WebbW 5-0
Jun 28VS ATLChris Sale
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000640.751
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Brandon Young
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@LAAKyle BradishW 1-6
Jun 23@LAARyan JohnsonL 5-1
Jun 24@LAAChase SilsethL 7-6
Jun 26VS WASTrevor RogersW 3-1
Jun 27VS WASClayton BeeterL 3-4
Jun 28VS WASZack Littell
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.390-0001152.072
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Robbie Ray
11.05
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Brandon Young
9.26
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Robbie Ray
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2014 DET 8 27.2 520 19 10 0 1-4 6.83 1.77 6.2 36
2015 ARI 23 125.1 2257 119 49 0 5-12 3.59 1.36 8.6 289
2016 ARI 32 172.0 3176 218 71 0 8-15 4.92 1.49 11.4 407
2017 ARI 28 157.1 2715 218 71 0 15-5 2.97 1.19 12.5 509
2018 ARI 24 121.1 2287 165 70 0 6-2 4.01 1.38 12.2 320
2019 ARI 33 172.0 3064 235 84 0 12-8 4.4 1.36 12.3 443
2020 ARI 14 59.0 1216 79 50 0 2-7 6.71 1.85 12.1 85
2021 TOR 32 194.1 3141 248 53 0 13-7 2.83 1.04 11.5 571
2022 SEA 33 182.0 2923 207 62 0 10-13 4.1 1.23 10.2 405
2023 SEA 1 3.1 92 3 5 0 0-1 13.5 2.7 8.1 -5
2024 SF 7 30.2 568 43 15 0 3-2 4.7 1.14 12.6 82
2025 SF 32 180.0 3069 186 73 0 11-8 3.7 1.23 9.3 434
2026 SF 15 79.0 1432 72 40 0 5-6 4.1 1.37 8.2 155
ON PACE 29 157 2829 142 79 0 9-11 4.1 1.37 8.2 305
3-YEAR AVG 13 71 1243 77 31 0 5-4 4 1.22 9.6 170
Career 282 1490.0 26460 1812 653 0 0-0 4.07 1.32 10.9
Career Brandon Young
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BAL 12 57.2 940 47 22 0 1-7 6.24 1.54 7.3 54
2026 BAL 13 70.0 1145 57 27 0 6-2 3.6 1.36 7.3 164
ON PACE 25 135 2208 109 52 0 11-3 3.6 1.36 7.3 316
3-YEAR AVG 12 56 940 47 22 0 1-7 6.24 1.54 7.3 54
Career 25 127.2 2085 104 49 0 0-0 4.79 1.44 7.3
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled