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MacKenzie Gore or Louis Varland

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
MacKenzie Gore

MacKenzie Gore

SPTexas Rangers TEX
Louis Varland

Louis Varland

RPToronto Blue Jays TOR
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Gore over Varland

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook MacKenzie Gore

Gore finds his rhythm as a reliable rotation anchor

MacKenzie Gore has been excellent lately, delivering a 3.60 ERA and a stellar 0.90 WHIP across 20 innings over the last 14 days. He is firmly entrenched as the number two starter for the second-place Rangers, who currently hold a 39-42 record. His importance has grown with Nathan Eovaldi recently sidelined by a knee injury, forcing Gore to step up as a primary leader in the rotation.

His recent production is a notable step up from his 4.15 ERA and 1.28 WHIP career baselines. Our models project him to finish the season with a 4.00 ERA and 140 strikeouts, suggesting his recent hit suppression is sustainable if he maintains this improved command. He is currently pitching with the high-upside dominance many expected when he first entered the league.

Gore already delivered his scheduled start this week, stifling the Blue Jays on June 25 with seven innings of one-run ball to earn the win. With no remaining games on his slate through June 28, fantasy managers can bank those elite ratios and prepare for his next turn. Facing a Toronto lineup that featured a veteran like Kevin Gausman proved Gore can thrive in difficult road environments. Verdict: Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News MacKenzie Gore
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Varland over Gore

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Louis Varland

Varland Emerges as a Lockdown Force in Toronto Bullpen

Varland has been exceptional for the third-place Blue Jays (39-42), who are currently looking to snap a three-game losing streak. Over his last 14 days, he has maintained a stellar 2.54 ERA and a 0.70 WHIP, striking out 12 batters across 7.1 innings of work. Despite being listed as a backup option for the closing role on the depth chart, his 16 saves and recent high-leverage usage confirm he is the preferred ninth-inning arm.

Under the hood, his 1.14 ERA is significantly better than our preseason model's 4.16 projection, but the results are supported by a career-high 13.22 K/9. While some regression toward his career 1.33 WHIP is possible, his emergence as an elite reliever is backed by a significant increase in velocity. He has quickly transitioned from a middle-relief asset to one of the most reliable and dominant closers in the game.

The Blue Jays host the Rangers for three more games to end the week. Facing Texas starters with ERAs hovering over 4.00, such as Nathan Eovaldi and Kumar Rocker, Toronto should find themselves in several tight matchups that favor save opportunities. Our data expects Varland to provide elite ratios and continue his high-strikeout pace through the weekend. He remains a must-start in all formats. Start.

Updated 2 days ago

Latest News Louis Varland
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Performance MacKenzie Gore
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.861-000510.711
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.601-1002150.903
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Louis Varland
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-001211.002
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-0041020.665
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START MacKenzie Gore
OWN
85%
+0.8 compared to last week
START
47%
-15.81 compared to last week
OWN/START Louis Varland
OWN
95%
+2.08 compared to last week
START
94%
+4.96 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus MacKenzie Gore
65th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Louis Varland
12th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown MacKenzie Gore

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 65th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 58th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 77th
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 73rd with 3.99
  • Top 25 in walks and is currently ranked 23rd with 23
  • Top 75 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 61st with 55
  • Currently ranked 107th in wins with 3
  • Top 75 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 72nd with 60.0
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: -2, WHIP: +0.031, ERA: +0.915, K's: -32, Walks: +8
Breakdown Louis Varland

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 13th among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 2nd.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 35 in WHIP and is currently ranked 29th with 0.94
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 17th with 1.30
  • Top 25 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 23rd with 36
  • Currently ranked 122nd in wins with 2
  • He is among the best in saves and is currently ranked 5th with 13
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: -1, WHIP: -0.014, ERA: -0.979, K's: +19, Walks: +3
Next Up Health Check
Injury MacKenzie Gore

No Injury Reported

Injury Louis Varland

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups MacKenzie Gore
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@MIARobby AhlstromW 3-4
Jun 23@MIASandy AlcantaraL 6-4
Jun 24@MIAJohn KingL 4-2
Jun 25@TORMacKenzie GoreW 5-6
Jun 26@TORNathan EovaldiW 4-5
Jun 27@TORPeyton GrayW 4-7
Jun 28@TORShane Bieber
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.861-000510.711
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Louis Varland
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS HOUBraydon FisherW 4-2
Jun 23VS HOULogan VanWeyL 7-9
Jun 24VS HOUSteven OkertL 1-3
Jun 25VS TEXMacKenzie GoreL 5-6
Jun 26VS TEXNathan EovaldiL 4-5
Jun 27VS TEXPeyton GrayL 4-7
Jun 28VS TEXKumar Rocker
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-001211.002
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating MacKenzie Gore
12.10
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Louis Varland
14.03
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career MacKenzie Gore
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 SD 16 72.0 1258 72 37 0 4-4 4.38 1.43 9 135
2023 WAS 27 134.0 2462 151 57 0 7-10 4.5 1.43 10.1 270
2024 WAS 32 164.0 2994 181 65 0 10-12 4.12 1.45 9.9 343
2025 WAS 30 157.1 2818 185 64 0 5-15 4.23 1.37 10.6 314
2026 TEX 17 91.0 1543 97 38 0 5-6 4.05 1.25 9.6 194
ON PACE 33 178 3011 189 74 0 9-11 4.05 1.25 9.6 378
3-YEAR AVG 30 151 2758 172 62 0 7-12 4.29 1.42 10.3 309
Career 122 613.2 11075 686 261 0 0-0 4.28 1.4 10.1
Career Louis Varland
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 MIN 89 79.1 1316 92 25 0 4-4 3.52 1.31 10.4 186
2026 TOR 39 41.2 679 59 12 16 3-2 1.08 1.01 12.7 206
ON PACE 76 81 1325 115 23 31 5-3 1.08 1.01 12.7 402
3-YEAR AVG 89 78 1316 92 25 0 4-4 3.52 1.31 10.4 186
Career 128 121.0 1995 151 37 0 0-0 2.68 1.21 11.2
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @TB 01:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Drew Rasmussen
ATH @LAA 03:15 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Sam Aldegheri
ATL @SF 04:05 EDT EST Chris Sale
Robbie Ray
BAL vs WAS 01:35 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Zack Littell
BOS vs NYY 07:20 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Carlos Rodon
CHC @MIL 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Rolison
Brandon Woodruff
CHW vs KC 02:10 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Luinder Avila
CIN @PIT 01:35 EDT EST Brady Singer
Mitch Keller
CLE vs SEA 01:40 EDT EST Gavin Williams
Emerson Hancock
COL @MIN 02:10 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Connor Prielipp
DET vs HOU 01:40 EDT EST Jack Flaherty
Hunter Brown
LAD @SD 04:10 EDT EST Emmet Sheehan
Michael King
MIA @STL 02:15 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kyle Leahy
NYM vs PHI 01:40 EDT EST Cionel Perez
Jesus Luzardo
TEX @TOR 01:37 EDT EST Kumar Rocker
Shane Bieber
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled