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Troy Melton or Trevor McDonald

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Troy Melton

Troy Melton

SPDetroit Tigers DET
Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald

SPSan Francisco Giants SF
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Melton over McDonald

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Troy Melton

Troy Melton's excellent form continues despite a recent injury scare, making him a reliable option.

After a brief scare with back tightness that cost him a start, Melton bounced back beautifully, posting a 1.50 ERA and 0.67 WHIP over six innings in his last outing. The young right-hander slots in as a mid-rotation staple for the fourth-place Tigers, who are riding a three-game winning streak. Melton has been highly productive since returning from his earlier 60-day injured list stint, showing no lingering signs of physical limitations.

Melton’s excellent 2.60 ERA and 0.96 WHIP across five starts this year represents a step forward from his solid 3.34 ERA in 2025. While his current 5.48 K/9 mark is lower than last season's 7.73 rate, his elite control and ability to limit hard contact make his current run look sustainable. Expect him to remain a reliable ratio stabilizer for the rest of the season.

This week, Melton is scheduled for a single home start on Thursday against the Astros. He will face Tatsuya Imai, who carries a high 6.15 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, making this an incredibly favorable matchup for the Tigers' offense to support their young starter. With his back issues behind him and a weak opposing pitcher on the bump, fantasy managers should confidently lock him into lineups. Verdict: Start.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Troy Melton
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McDonald over Melton

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald Struggles in SF Rotation with Daunting Atlanta Matchup Ahead

Trevor McDonald has hit a rough patch for the fourth-place Giants, who are currently mired in a three-game losing streak. Over his last 14 days, the young righty has compiled a disappointing 10.16 ERA and 2.42 WHIP across 6.2 frames. Despite his recent struggles, he remains in the Giants' starting rotation as the number four starter while Tyler Mahle recovers from a hamstring injury.

While McDonald's 5.25 ERA over the last 30 days is concerning, our models suggest some positive regression toward his projected 4.43 season ERA. His decent strikeout rate highlights some upside, but his career 1.39 WHIP indicates that traffic on the base paths will remain a persistent risk. Fantasy managers should view him as a highly volatile option whose recent struggles are a warning sign of regression.

McDonald is scheduled for just one start this week on June 26 at home against Atlanta. This is a highly unfavorable matchup as he goes head-to-head with ace Chris Sale, who carries an elite 2.14 ERA. Given the tough opponent and McDonald's shaky form, he is a clear Sit for this weekly cycle.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Trevor McDonald
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Performance Troy Melton
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.501-000530.671
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.092-0001031.092
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Trevor McDonald
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
9.000-100132.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
10.160-200562.422
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Troy Melton
OWN
52%
+2.81 compared to last week
START
35%
-1.84 compared to last week
OWN/START Trevor McDonald
OWN
14%
-5.03 compared to last week
START
 
7%
-4.04 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Troy Melton
40th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Trevor McDonald
115th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Troy Melton

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 40th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 101st.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 15 in WHIP and is currently ranked 12th with 0.96
  • Top 20 in ERA and is currently ranked 20th with 2.60
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 58th with 4
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.96, ERA: +2.6, K's: +19, Walks: +9
Breakdown Trevor McDonald

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 115th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 110th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is putting up slightly better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 96th
  • Currently ranked 112th in ERA with 5.14
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 62nd with 18
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.8 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +5, WHIP: +1.35, ERA: +4.98, K's: +42, Walks: +18
Next Up Health Check
Injury Troy Melton

No Injury Reported

Injury Trevor McDonald

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Troy Melton
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS NYYGerrit Cole
Jun 23VS NYYCarlos Rodon
Jun 24VS NYYRyan Weathers
Jun 25VS HOUTatsuya Imai
Jun 26VS HOUSpencer Arrighetti
Jun 27VS HOUKai-Wei Teng
Jun 28VS HOUHunter Brown
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Trevor McDonald
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23VS ATHAaron Civale
Jun 24VS ATHGage Jump
Jun 25VS ATHJeffrey Springs
Jun 26VS ATLChris Sale
Jun 27VS ATLBryce Elder
Jun 28VS ATLGrant Holmes
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.451-000510.971
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Troy Melton
9.62
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Trevor McDonald
6.83
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Troy Melton
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 DET 20 51.2 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
2026 DET 5 31.2 434 19 9 0 4-0 2.56 0.95 5.4 87
ON PACE 10 66 913 39 18 0 8-0 2.56 0.95 5.4 183
3-YEAR AVG 20 51 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
Career 25 83.1 1213 63 28 0 0-0 3.02 1.06 6.8
Career Trevor McDonald
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 SF 1 3.0 39 1 1 0 0-0 0 0.33 3 7
2025 SF 3 15.0 212 14 2 0 1-0 3.6 1.07 8.4 41
2026 SF 9 45.2 759 42 18 0 2-5 4.93 1.34 8.3 72
ON PACE 18 96 1596 88 37 0 4-10 4.93 1.34 8.3 151
3-YEAR AVG 2 9 126 8 2 0 1-0 3 1 8 24
Career 13 63.2 1010 57 21 0 0-0 4.38 1.23 8.1
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Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @STL 07:45 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Andre Pallante
ATL @SD 10:10 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Michael King
BAL @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Sam Aldegheri
BOS @COL 08:40 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Ryan Feltner
CHC @NYM 07:10 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Kodai Senga
CHW vs CLE 07:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
CIN vs MIL 07:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Brandon Woodruff
DET vs NYY 06:10 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Gerrit Cole
HOU @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Hunter Brown
Shane Bieber
KC @TB 06:40 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Drew Rasmussen
LAD @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Zebby Matthews
MIA vs TEX 06:40 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kumar Rocker
PHI @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
Foster Griffin
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