Dominate Fantasy - Sync your team
MLB
NYY
DET
3
5
FINALFINAL
TEX
MIA
4
3
FINALFINAL
KC
TB
2
1
FINALFINAL
PHI
WSH
1
4
BOT 7 • Q • • NBC LIVE
HOU
TOR
2
4
FINALFINAL
MIL
CIN
2
1
FINALFINAL
CHC
NYM
o8.5
112
POSTPONED
CLE
CHW
3
4
BOT 8 • Q • • CHSN LIVE
LAD
MIN
2
1
BOT 9 • Q • • SN LA LIVE
ARI
STL
2
3
TOP 9 • Q • • KTVK LIVE
BOS
COL
2
0
TOP 7 • Q • • KWGN LIVE
BAL
LAA
1
0
TOP 3 • Q • • LIVE
ATL
SD
0
0
TOP 1 • Q • • ESPN LIVE

Nolan Arenado or Denzer Guzman

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado

3BArizona Diamondbacks ARI
Denzer Guzman

Denzer Guzman

3BLos Angeles Angels of Anaheim LAA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Arenado over Guzman

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Nolan Arenado

Veteran Third Baseman Sits in Draft-Day Limbo as Power Declines

Nolan Arenado enters his age-35 season as the projected everyday third baseman for the Diamondbacks. No longer the elite middle-of-the-order force he was in Colorado and St. Louis, the veteran's durability and locked-in lineup spot remain his primary fantasy calling cards. While physical decline is starting to show, he offers a stable playing-time floor at a relatively thin position.

Our models project Arenado to hit around .251 with 12 home runs and 55 RBIs over 509 at-bats. This lines up with a multi-year downward trajectory in his power metrics, dropping from 26 homers in 2023 to 16 in 2024, and then just 12 in 2025. He will provide a neutral-to-slight asset in batting average but offers virtually nothing in terms of stolen bases.

Given his ADP of 219.21, fantasy managers are drafting Arenado as a late-round corner infield option or a depth bat rather than a cornerstone starter. He represents a safe floor play with high-volume counting stats but lacks the ceiling to be a major difference-maker. He is a reasonable target if you need a reliable playing-time stabilizer late in your draft.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Nolan Arenado
Loading...
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Guzman over Arenado

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Denzer Guzman

Guzman's recent home run surge and regular playing time make him an excellent weekly option.

Denzer Guzman is red-hot for the last-place Angels (32-47), batting .308 with three home runs and six RBIs over his last seven games, including homering in three consecutive contests. With key teammates like Anthony Rendon and Yoan Moncada on the injured list, the 22-year-old infielder has seized a regular starting role on the left side of the infield.

While our models project a modest .220 batting average rest-of-season, his stellar Triple-A stint (.336 average) and recent major-league success (.271 average in 12 games) hint at real growth. His high strikeout tendency remains a risk, but his elite category contribution in power makes his current hot streak look more like a breakout than a fluke.

Los Angeles has a six-game home slate, facing Baltimore and Oakland. Guzman gets highly favorable matchups against vulnerable pitchers like Trey Gibson (5.81 ERA) and Jack Perkins (6.60 ERA), while only Oakland's J.T. Ginn (3.25 ERA) presents a stiff challenge. With six straight starts on deck, he is an excellent fantasy option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Denzer Guzman
Loading...
Performance Nolan Arenado
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.190002.2270.19016
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.159012.2290.159212
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Denzer Guzman
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.308366.4000.69207
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.2713117.3270.500112
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Nolan Arenado
OWN
31%
-7.52 compared to last week
START
23%
-11.71 compared to last week
OWN/START Denzer Guzman
OWN
 
7%
+5.13 compared to last week
START
 
5%
+3.68 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Nolan Arenado
26th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Denzer Guzman
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Nolan Arenado

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 27th among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 14th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 214th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.295
  • Ranked 206th in batting average with 0.246
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 121st with 0.351
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 219th with 0.395
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 175th with 0.746
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 286th with 3
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 240th in RBI with 20
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 205th in runs scored with 24
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.005, OBP: +0.013, HRs: -2, RBI: -8, Runs: -4, Wlks: EVEN, Stls: +2,
Breakdown Denzer Guzman

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 36th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 273rd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.278
  • Ranked 128th in batting average with 0.271
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 193rd with 0.327
  • Top 75 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 64th with 0.500
  • Top 100 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 89th with 0.827
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 304th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 364th in RBI with 11
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 451st in runs scored with 7
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.271, OBP: +0.327, HRs: +3, RBI: +11, Runs: +7, Wlks: +4, Stls: +1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Nolan Arenado

No Injury Reported

Injury Denzer Guzman

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Nolan Arenado
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@STLAndre Pallante
Jun 23@STLKyle Leahy
Jun 24@STLMatthew Liberatore
Jun 25@STLMichael McGreevy
Jun 26@TBNick Martinez
Jun 27@TBDrew Rasmussen
Jun 28@TBShane McClanahan
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
..0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Denzer Guzman
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS BALKyle Bradish
Jun 23VS BALShane Baz
Jun 24VS BALTrey Gibson
Jun 26VS ATHJ.T. Ginn
Jun 27VS ATHJack Perkins
Jun 28VS ATHAaron Civale
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.286364.4440.92904
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Nolan Arenado
8.90
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Denzer Guzman
2.98
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Nolan Arenado
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2013 COL 131 130 10 49 52 2 23 .267 .299 .405 289
2014 COL 101 115 15 53 55 2 25 .292 .333 .503 308
2015 COL 157 177 42 97 130 2 34 .287 .323 .575 564
2016 COL 160 181 41 116 133 2 68 .293 .361 .568 621
2017 COL 159 186 37 100 130 3 62 .307 .372 .583 598
2018 COL 155 174 38 104 110 2 73 .295 .371 .559 560
2019 COL 154 184 41 102 118 3 61 .313 .376 .582 583
2020 COL 48 46 8 23 26 0 15 .253 .303 .434 133
2021 STL 156 151 34 80 105 2 49 .256 .313 .497 591
2022 STL 139 153 29 69 97 2 49 .291 .356 .535 568
2023 STL 144 150 26 71 93 3 41 .269 .319 .463 512
2024 STL 151 154 16 70 71 2 44 .268 .322 .390 474
2025 STL 106 93 12 48 52 3 28 .232 .286 .372 340
2026 ARI 72 58 8 32 31 3 23 .239 .320 .387 201
ON PACE 151 122 16 67 65 6 48 .239 .320 .387 422
3-YEAR AVG 134 132 18 63 72 3 38 .259 .311 .412 442
Career 1833 1952 357 1014 1203 31 595 .280 .337 .503
Career Denzer Guzman
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 LAA 13 8 2 4 3 0 1 .190 .209 .357 14
2026 LAA 12 13 3 7 11 1 4 .271 .327 .500 51
ON PACE 24 26 6 14 22 2 8 .271 .327 .500 104
3-YEAR AVG 7 4 1 2 2 0 1 .190 .209 .357 7
Career 25 21 5 11 14 1 5 .233 .274 .433
Think the Start Tool is good? Try this!
  • Optimal Lineups
  • Predictive Analytics Waiver Advice
  • Trade Suggestions & More

RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @STL 07:45 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Andre Pallante
ATL @SD 10:10 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Michael King
BAL @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Sam Aldegheri
BOS @COL 08:40 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Ryan Feltner
CHC @NYM 07:10 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Kodai Senga
CHW vs CLE 07:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
CIN vs MIL 07:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Brandon Woodruff
DET vs NYY 06:10 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Gerrit Cole
HOU @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Hunter Brown
Shane Bieber
KC @TB 06:40 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Drew Rasmussen
LAD @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Zebby Matthews
MIA vs TEX 06:40 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kumar Rocker
PHI @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
Foster Griffin
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled