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J.T. Ginn or Ryan Helsley

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
J.T. Ginn

J.T. Ginn

SPOakland Athletics ATH
Ryan Helsley

Ryan Helsley

RPBaltimore Orioles BAL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Ginn over Helsley

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook J.T. Ginn

Ginn solidifies rotation spot with strong ratios ahead of division matchup

Ginn has been a reliable mid-rotation staple for the second-place Athletics, who are currently sitting at 38-40. Over his last two starts, he has posted a solid 3.24 ERA, though a high 1.62 WHIP warns of potential traffic trouble. With rotation-mate Luis Severino on the injured list, Ginn's starting role is completely secure.

While our rest-of-season model projects a 4.25 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, Ginn has comfortably outshone those marks this year with a stellar 3.26 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 80.1 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is slightly concerning, but his actual career-best form suggests his success is largely sustainable as a solid depth arm.

Ginn is scheduled for one start this week, a Friday road matchup against the division-rival Angels. He will face righty Walbert Urena, who has been tough with a 2.41 ERA, making run support premium. Given his strong performance, Ginn is a viable option in most leagues. Weekly verdict: Start.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News J.T. Ginn
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Helsley over Ginn

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ryan Helsley

Ryan Helsley Struggles in Return from IL; Fantasy Managers Should Exercise Caution This Week

Since returning from the injured list due to elbow inflammation, Ryan Helsley has struggled to find his footing, posting a bloated 30.00 ERA and 5.00 WHIP over his first two appearances. He suffered a heartbreaking blown save against the Dodgers on June 20 following a defensive misplay. His fourth-place Orioles (37-42) need him to stabilize the late innings, but he is currently shaking off significant rust as he works his way back into a steady high-leverage role.

Despite his brutal recent outings, our season projections remain optimistic, calling for 28 saves and a 3.52 ERA over 64.0 innings. This is a pitcher who locked down 48 saves with a 2.10 ERA as recently as 2024. While his current 5.53 ERA on the year is alarming, his 13.42 K/9 indicates his raw stuff remains elite, making his recent blowups look like a post-injury fluke rather than a permanent decline.

The Orioles embark on a six-game slate this week, starting with three games against the Angels followed by three home matchups against the Nationals. While these opponents are beatable, our models project a difficult week ahead for Helsley with a projected 9.08 ERA as he refines his control. Fantasy managers should play it safe and sit him until he proves his elbow is completely sound and his command returns.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Ryan Helsley
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Performance J.T. Ginn
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.241-100851.622
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.762-1001381.713
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Ryan Helsley
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
30.000-100225.002
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
30.000-100225.002
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START J.T. Ginn
OWN
62%
+0.33 compared to last week
START
38%
-10.9 compared to last week
OWN/START Ryan Helsley
OWN
73%
-4.91 compared to last week
START
57%
+46.1 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus J.T. Ginn
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Ryan Helsley
14th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown J.T. Ginn

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 24th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 76th
  • Top 35 in ERA and is currently ranked 34th with 3.02
  • He walks a lot of batters and is currently ranked 6th with 27
  • Top 100 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 92nd with 56
  • Top 50 in wins and is currently ranked 37th with 5
  • Top 75 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 72nd with 61.0
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +2, WHIP: -0.199, ERA: -2.392, K's: +46, Walks: +28
Breakdown Ryan Helsley

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 14th among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 326th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in saves and is currently ranked 83rd
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -3, L: +3, WHIP: +0.206, ERA: +1.543, K's: -15, Walks: -3
Next Up Health Check
Injury J.T. Ginn

No Injury Reported

Injury Ryan Helsley

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups J.T. Ginn
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23@SFRobbie Ray
Jun 24@SFTyler Mahle
Jun 25@SFLanden Roupp
Jun 26@LAAWalbert Urena
Jun 27@LAAReid Detmers
Jun 28@LAASam Aldegheri
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.120-2001540.992
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Ryan Helsley
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@LAASam Aldegheri
Jun 23@LAA
Jun 24@LAAJose Soriano
Jun 26VS WASAndrew Alvarez
Jun 27VS WASFoster Griffin
Jun 28VS WASZack Littell
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating J.T. Ginn
9.24
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Ryan Helsley
9.54
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career J.T. Ginn
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 OAK 8 34.0 515 29 9 0 1-1 4.24 1.32 7.7 62
2025 ATH 23 88.0 1575 99 31 0 4-7 5.22 1.39 10.1 159
2026 ATH 17 80.1 1306 73 35 0 5-4 3.25 1.24 8.2 187
ON PACE 35 167 2712 151 72 0 10-8 3.25 1.24 8.2 389
3-YEAR AVG 16 60 1045 64 20 0 3-4 5.02 1.38 9.4 110
Career 48 200.0 3396 201 75 0 0-0 4.32 1.34 9.1
Career Ryan Helsley
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2019 STL 29 39.2 656 40 13 0 2-0 2.72 1.21 9.1 96
2020 STL 15 11.2 225 14 9 2 0-1 4.63 1.46 10.8 38
2021 STL 51 49.0 805 47 27 1 6-3 4.41 1.37 8.6 104
2022 STL 51 63.0 935 90 20 19 8-1 1.71 0.75 12.9 308
2023 STL 33 32.0 608 52 17 14 3-3 1.97 1.19 14.6 169
2024 STL 64 65.1 917 78 22 48 7-4 2.07 1.1 10.7 413
2025 STL 58 56.0 979 63 25 21 3-4 4.82 1.55 10.1 202
2026 BAL 14 12.1 224 17 9 7 0-3 5.11 1.62 12.4 45
ON PACE 28 25 459 34 18 14 0-6 5.11 1.62 12.4 91
3-YEAR AVG 52 50 835 64 21 28 4-4 3.04 1.29 11.4 261
Career 315 322.0 5349 401 142 0 0-0 3.16 1.23 11.2
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ARI @LAC
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BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
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CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
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Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @STL 07:45 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Andre Pallante
ATL @SD 10:10 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Michael King
BAL @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Sam Aldegheri
BOS @COL 08:40 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Ryan Feltner
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Kodai Senga
CHW vs CLE 07:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
CIN vs MIL 07:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Brandon Woodruff
DET vs NYY 06:10 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Gerrit Cole
HOU @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Hunter Brown
Shane Bieber
KC @TB 06:40 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Drew Rasmussen
LAD @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Zebby Matthews
MIA vs TEX 06:40 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kumar Rocker
PHI @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
Foster Griffin
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