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Luinder Avila or Kyle Leahy

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Luinder Avila

Luinder Avila

SPKansas City Royals KC
Kyle Leahy

Kyle Leahy

SPSt. Louis Cardinals STL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Avila over Leahy

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Luinder Avila

Avila Tries to Rebound in Depleted Royals Rotation

Avila is coming off a nightmare start where he failed to escape the first inning after allowing nine runs. Despite the blowup and his elevated 7.22 ERA over the last month, his role is secure. The fifth-place Royals are currently decimated by injuries to rotation anchors Seth Lugo, Cole Ragans, and Kris Bubic, locking Avila in as the team's number two starter.

While his 6.33 ERA and 1.85 WHIP on the season are alarming, our projection expects a rest-of-season turnaround toward a 4.25 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. His walk rate remains a critical issue, but some regression toward his solid 2025 career debut is anticipated as his luck evens out.

This week, Avila is scheduled for a single road start on Wednesday against the Nationals. He will match up against Zack Littell, who holds a mediocre 5.32 ERA. While the matchup is beatable, Avila's extreme volatility makes him too dangerous to trust in your lineup. Sit him until he shows signs of stability.

Updated 7 days ago

Latest News Luinder Avila
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Leahy over Avila

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kyle Leahy

Kyle Leahy is lined up for a two-start week at home but carries notable ratio risks.

Kyle Leahy slots in as the number five starter for the second-place Cardinals (41-34). Over his last 30 days, Leahy has struggled with a 5.98 ERA and 1.62 WHIP, though he bounced back in his last outing with a seven-strikeout quality start. With St. Louis dealing with minor injuries to their bullpen, his starting rotation spot remains secure.

Leahy's overall 4.68 ERA and 1.59 WHIP through 14 starts show that his recent struggles are part of a broader trend of allowing too much traffic. Our models expect some positive rest-of-season regression toward a 4.31 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. However, until he limits the hits allowed, he will remain a volatile fantasy option.

This week, Leahy is lined up for two home starts against Arizona and Miami. Tuesday's matchup against Arizona's Eduardo Rodriguez (2.45 ERA) is a tough test, but Sunday's game against Miami's Tyler Phillips presents a much softer landing spot. Because of the volume, he can be utilized as a deep-league stream if you can stomach the potential ratio damage. Verdict: Two-Start Stream.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Kyle Leahy
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Performance Luinder Avila
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.731-000510.771
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
13.281-100541.972
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kyle Leahy
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.500-100711.331
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.730-1001221.552
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Luinder Avila
OWN
 
1%
-0.95 compared to last week
START
 
1%
-0.61 compared to last week
OWN/START Kyle Leahy
OWN
 
9%
+0.81 compared to last week
START
 
4%
+0.23 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Luinder Avila
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kyle Leahy
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Luinder Avila

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 138th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 151st in wins with 2
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +3, WHIP: +1.67, ERA: +5.56, K's: +33, Walks: +23
Breakdown Kyle Leahy

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 79th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 141st in WHIP with 1.61
  • Top 100 in ERA and is currently ranked 87th
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 53rd with 18
  • Currently ranked 107th in wins with 3
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +3, WHIP: +0.154, ERA: +1.248, K's: +27, Walks: +11
Next Up Health Check
Injury Luinder Avila

No Injury Reported

Injury Kyle Leahy

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Luinder Avila
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@TBDrew Rasmussen
Jun 23@TBShane McClanahan
Jun 24@TBGriffin Jax
Jun 25@TBIan Seymour
Jun 26@CHW
Jun 27@CHW
Jun 28@CHWAnthony Kay
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000430.972
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Kyle Leahy
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS ARIMerrill Kelly
Jun 23VS ARIEduardo Rodriguez
Jun 24VS ARI
Jun 25VS ARIZac Gallen
Jun 26VS MIAMax Meyer
Jun 27VS MIA
Jun 28VS MIATyler Phillips
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.200-100232.201
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Luinder Avila
2.45
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kyle Leahy
6.84
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Luinder Avila
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 KC 13 14.0 217 16 6 0 1-1 1.29 0.93 10.3 36
2026 KC 14 37.2 719 33 23 0 2-3 5.5 1.65 7.9 49
ON PACE 29 78 1493 68 47 0 4-6 5.5 1.65 7.9 102
3-YEAR AVG 13 13 217 16 6 0 1-1 1.29 0.93 10.3 36
Career 27 51.2 936 49 29 0 0-0 4.35 1.45 8.5
Career Kyle Leahy
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 STL 3 1.2 58 2 5 0 0-1 21.61 5.4 10.8 -8
2024 STL 33 44.0 695 33 10 1 1-1 4.5 1.14 6.8 88
2025 STL 62 78.2 1350 80 28 1 4-2 3.43 1.37 9.2 187
2026 STL 14 70.0 1182 59 26 0 5-4 4.63 1.57 7.6 119
ON PACE 30 152 2553 127 56 0 10-8 4.63 1.57 7.6 257
3-YEAR AVG 33 40 701 38 14 1 2-1 4.2 1.35 8.4 89
Career 112 192.0 3285 174 69 0 0-0 4.31 1.44 8.2
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @STL 07:45 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Andre Pallante
ATL @SD 10:10 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Michael King
BAL @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Sam Aldegheri
BOS @COL 08:40 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Ryan Feltner
CHC @NYM 07:10 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Kodai Senga
CHW vs CLE 07:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
CIN vs MIL 07:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Brandon Woodruff
DET vs NYY 06:10 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Gerrit Cole
HOU @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Hunter Brown
Shane Bieber
KC @TB 06:40 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Drew Rasmussen
LAD @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Zebby Matthews
MIA vs TEX 06:40 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kumar Rocker
PHI @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
Foster Griffin
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled