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Outlook Grant Holmes
Struggling Holmes Set for Two-Start Week with First-Place Braves
The first-place Braves are navigating a heavily depleted rotation with Spencer Strider and Spencer Schwellenbach sidelined on the injured list, locking Grant Holmes into the number two starter role. Unfortunately, the right-hander has hit a rough patch, posting a 10.38 ERA and 2.50 WHIP over his last two starts (5.2 innings) and a 5.74 ERA over the last 30 days. Despite the recent blowups, he remains a key piece of Atlanta's rotation as they protect their division lead in the NL East.
While his recent 1.76 WHIP over the past month is highly concerning, our models expect positive regression, projecting a 3.93 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over 87.0 rest-of-season innings. This aligns closer to his solid career ERAs of 3.72 in 2024 and 4.12 in 2025, suggesting his current 1.44 season WHIP is a temporary setback. With a strong strikeout rate that has yielded 61 Ks in 66.8 innings so far, his underlying skills should stabilize once his walk rate resolves.
Holmes is lined up as a two-start pitcher this week, starting on Monday against Michael King and the Padres, and wrapping up Sunday against Robbie Ray and the Giants. Both matchups are on the road, with San Diego presenting a tough challenge while San Francisco represents a more volatile opponent. If you are looking for strikeout volume and wins, he represents a viable Two-Start Stream, but conservative managers in shallower formats may want to bench him until his ratios recover.
Updated 12 hrs ago
