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Josh Hader or Payton Tolle

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Josh Hader

Josh Hader

RPHouston Astros HOU
Payton Tolle

Payton Tolle

SPBoston Red Sox BOS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Hader over Tolle

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Hader

Hader remains an elite, high-strikeout anchor for fantasy bullpens.

The star left-hander continues to serve as the undisputed anchor at the back of the bullpen for the contending Astros. Over his recent appearances, Hader has locked down crucial saves with his trademark high-velocity fastball and devastating slider. With a healthy Houston squad supporting him, his high-leverage role remains as secure as any in the majors.

Comparing his recent stretch to his career baselines, Hader remains a dominant force whose underlying metrics support his elite status. While high-leverage relievers always face minor variance, his outstanding swinging-strike rate ensures his ERA and WHIP will remain highly advantageous. He is a premier, set-and-forget fantasy asset.

In the week ahead, the Astros have a slate of competitive matchups that should yield several late-game save situations. Fantasy managers can expect plenty of strikeout volume and ratio stabilization as Hader shuts the door on opponents. He is an elite option for the upcoming cycle. Verdict: Start.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Josh Hader
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Tolle over Hader

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Payton Tolle

Tolle Searches for Stability Amid Tough Matchups

Payton Tolle has hit a bit of a rough patch, posting a 5.29 ERA and 1.41 WHIP over his last 14 days, though he slots in as the primary starter for the last-place Red Sox (31-44). Boston’s rotation is heavily depleted with Garrett Crochet on the injured list, securing Tolle's high-volume role. His strikeout numbers have dipped slightly, but his overall position as the rotation's frontrunner remains secure.

Despite the recent hiccup, Tolle's overall 2026 performance of a 3.41 ERA and 1.12 WHIP over 63.4 innings indicates that this rough patch is likely a minor bump rather than a full regression. Our models project him to hover around a 4.00 ERA and 1.24 WHIP for the rest of the year, which is highly serviceable. His strong season-long strikeout-to-walk ratio suggests his underlying skills remain intact.

Tolle is scheduled for just one start this week, a home matchup on June 26 against the division-leading Yankees. He will face Will Warren, who is enjoying a solid campaign with a 3.43 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over 75.3 innings. Given the single-start week against a potent New York offense and his recent ratio struggles, he is best reserved for the bench. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Payton Tolle
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Performance Josh Hader
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.000-003600.673
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.501-004900.336
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Payton Tolle
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.910-200841.272
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.290-3001151.413
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Josh Hader
OWN
94%
+3.42 compared to last week
START
88%
+4.81 compared to last week
OWN/START Payton Tolle
OWN
81%
-1.4 compared to last week
START
69%
+26.61 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Josh Hader
8th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Payton Tolle
17th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Josh Hader

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 9th among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 72nd.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 1st with 0.38
  • Top 15 in ERA and is currently ranked 14th with 1.13
  • Top 25 in saves and is currently ranked 24th with 5
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -4, L: -1, WHIP: -0.382, ERA: -0.718, K's: -40, Walks: -6
Breakdown Payton Tolle

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 18th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 35th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 39th with 1.12
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 46th with 3.41
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 57th with 18
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 90th
  • Decline in numbers lately by 4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +5, WHIP: +1.11, ERA: +3.37, K's: +62, Walks: +18
Next Up Health Check
Injury Josh Hader

No Injury Reported

Injury Payton Tolle

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Josh Hader
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@TORShane Bieber
Jun 23@TORTrey Yesavage
Jun 24@TORKevin Gausman
Jun 25@DETTroy Melton
Jun 26@DETKeider Montero
Jun 27@DETFramber Valdez
Jun 28@DETCasey Mize
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.500-002401.002
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Payton Tolle
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@COLRyan Feltner
Jun 23@COLSean Sullivan
Jun 24@COLKyle Freeland
Jun 25VS NYYCam Schlittler
Jun 26VS NYYWill Warren
Jun 27VS NYYGerrit Cole
Jun 28VS NYYCarlos Rodon
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.500-0001110.671
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Josh Hader
13.71
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Payton Tolle
10.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Josh Hader
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2017 MIL 35 43.0 779 68 22 0 2-3 2.3 1.09 14.2 137
2018 MIL 55 74.1 1316 143 30 12 6-1 2.66 0.89 17.3 358
2019 MIL 62 72.0 1211 140 21 37 3-6 3 0.89 17.5 496
2020 MIL 23 21.1 413 35 10 14 1-2 3.38 0.89 14.8 156
2021 MIL 59 59.1 950 101 24 32 4-3 1.37 0.83 15.3 348
2022 MIL 55 51.0 930 85 20 36 2-4 3.88 1.08 15 306
2023 SD 61 54.0 1042 85 30 33 2-3 1.33 1.15 14.2 319
2024 HOU 73 71.0 1216 105 27 34 8-8 3.93 1.04 13.3 354
2025 HOU 48 52.2 847 76 16 28 6-2 2.05 0.85 13 307
2026 HOU 8 8.0 121 13 1 5 1-0 1.13 0.38 14.6 57
ON PACE 16 17 248 26 2 10 2-0 1.13 0.38 14.6 115
3-YEAR AVG 61 58 1035 89 24 32 5-4 2.58 1.01 13.5 326
Career 479 499.2 8825 851 201 0 0-0 2.67 0.97 15.3
Career Payton Tolle
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BOS 8 16.2 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
2026 BOS 11 64.1 951 62 18 0 3-5 3.36 1.1 8.7 139
ON PACE 23 139 2054 133 38 0 6-10 3.36 1.1 8.7 300
3-YEAR AVG 8 16 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
Career 19 81.0 1262 81 26 0 0-0 3.89 1.2 9
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @STL 07:45 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Andre Pallante
ATL @SD 10:10 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Michael King
BAL @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Sam Aldegheri
BOS @COL 08:40 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Ryan Feltner
CHC @NYM 07:10 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Kodai Senga
CHW vs CLE 07:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
CIN vs MIL 07:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Brandon Woodruff
DET vs NYY 06:10 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Gerrit Cole
HOU @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Hunter Brown
Shane Bieber
KC @TB 06:40 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Drew Rasmussen
LAD @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Zebby Matthews
MIA vs TEX 06:40 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kumar Rocker
PHI @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
Foster Griffin
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