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Brad Lord or Kevin Kelly

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Brad Lord

Brad Lord

RPWashington Nationals WAS
Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly

RPTampa Bay Rays TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lord over Kelly

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brad Lord

Brad Lord dominates in relief, but lacks the high-leverage role needed for fantasy relevance.

Lord has been sensational recently, boasting a 0.98 ERA and 0.87 WHIP over his last 30 days. Despite a brief ankle scare, the primary long reliever is healthy for a 40-38 Nationals squad sitting fourth in the NL East. With rotation injuries piling up, he continues to provide stable, multi-inning support.

His current 2.46 ERA is a massive improvement over his 4.48 mark from last year, but our models predict regression toward a 4.40 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Without securing a full-time closing or setup role, Lord's fantasy upside remains capped.

Washington has a packed seven-game slate this week against division rivals Philadelphia and Baltimore. Because Lord's long-relief outings are difficult to predict, he remains tough to trust for weekly lineups. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Brad Lord
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Kelly over Lord

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Kevin Kelly

Kevin Kelly is a reliable setup asset for deep holds leagues

Kevin Kelly slots in as a crucial setup man and high-leverage arm for the Tampa Bay Rays bullpen. After a strong bounce-back season, Kelly has established himself as one of the primary bridge-makers to the ninth inning. While he does not hold the undisputed closer role, his stability and consistent usage make him an important piece of the Rays' relief core, especially with several of his bullpen colleagues currently sidelined on the injured list.

From a categorical perspective, Kelly relies on elite control and groundball generation rather than overwhelming strikeout stuff. Our models project him to log a 3.89 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 44 innings, which aligns well with his career baselines. Expect a modest strikeout rate of around 30 punchouts, but his ability to limit walks and secure holds provides a stable floor for fantasy managers searching for ratio preservation and setup stats.

Ultimately, Kelly is a highly valuable specialist in leagues that reward holds, while remaining a solid ratio stabilizer in deeper standard formats. He doesn't carry the high-strikeout upside of some elite setup men, but his durable role and track record of run prevention make him a safe, low-cost investment on draft day.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Kevin Kelly
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Performance Brad Lord
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.001-010710.832
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.762-0101041.084
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Kevin Kelly
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.000-111312.003
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.901-131711.296
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Brad Lord
OWN
12%
+3.05 compared to last week
START
12%
+3.02 compared to last week
OWN/START Kevin Kelly
OWN
31%
+0.35 compared to last week
START
29%
-0.79 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Brad Lord
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Kevin Kelly
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Brad Lord

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 9th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 35 in WHIP and is currently ranked 28th with 0.97
  • Top 15 in ERA and is currently ranked 15th with 1.17
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 83rd with 10
  • Top 75 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 52nd with 31
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 57th with 4
  • Not too impressive in saves and is currently ranked 132nd with 1
  • Top 100 in holds and is currently ranked 78th with 4
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: -5, WHIP: -0.321, ERA: -1.247, K's: -3, Walks: -6
Breakdown Kevin Kelly

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 64th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 50 in WHIP and is currently ranked 38th with 1.02
  • Top 35 in ERA and is currently ranked 33rd with 1.67
  • Not too impressive with strikeouts and is currently ranked 240th with 19
  • Currently ranked 201st in wins with 2
  • Not too impressive in saves and is currently ranked 128th with 1
  • He holds a lot of games and is currently ranked 2nd with 13
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +4, L: +3, WHIP: -0.127, ERA: -0.719, K's: +17, Walks: +5
Next Up Health Check
Injury Brad Lord

No Injury Reported

Injury Kevin Kelly

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Brad Lord
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS PHI
Jun 23VS PHIJesus Luzardo
Jun 24VS PHIAaron Nola
Jun 25VS PHICristopher Sanchez
Jun 26@BALTrevor Rogers
Jun 27@BALBrandon Young
Jun 28@BALKyle Bradish
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-010510.752
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Kevin Kelly
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS KCMichael Wacha
Jun 23VS KCLuinder Avila
Jun 24VS KCNoah Cameron
Jun 25VS KCSeth Lugo
Jun 26VS ARI
Jun 27VS ARIMerrill Kelly
Jun 28VS ARIEduardo Rodriguez
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Brad Lord
7.64
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Kevin Kelly
8.57
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Brad Lord
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 WAS 48 128.1 2128 108 43 0 5-10 4.42 1.32 7.6 212
2026 WAS 23 48.2 838 44 14 1 5-0 2.4 1.05 8.1 137
ON PACE 47 101 1740 91 29 2 10-0 2.4 1.05 8.1 285
3-YEAR AVG 48 127 2128 108 43 0 5-10 4.42 1.32 7.6 212
Career 71 174.2 2966 152 57 0 0-0 3.92 1.26 7.8
Career Kevin Kelly
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 TB 57 57.2 1066 56 15 2 5-2 3.75 1.2 8.7 157
2024 TB 68 61.1 1033 63 9 1 5-2 3.08 1.11 9.2 169
2025 TB 41 35.0 588 35 9 0 2-5 6.69 1.54 9 46
2026 TB 33 30.0 501 28 7 3 4-3 3 1.03 8.4 92
ON PACE 72 66 1096 61 15 6 8-6 3 1.03 8.4 201
3-YEAR AVG 55 50 896 51 11 1 4-3 4.26 1.26 9.1 124
Career 199 181.2 3188 182 40 0 0-0 4.01 1.22 9
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @STL 07:45 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Andre Pallante
ATL @SD 10:10 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Michael King
BAL @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Sam Aldegheri
BOS @COL 08:40 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Ryan Feltner
CHC @NYM 07:10 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Kodai Senga
CHW vs CLE 07:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
CIN vs MIL 07:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Brandon Woodruff
DET vs NYY 06:10 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Gerrit Cole
HOU @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Hunter Brown
Shane Bieber
KC @TB 06:40 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Drew Rasmussen
LAD @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Zebby Matthews
MIA vs TEX 06:40 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kumar Rocker
PHI @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
Foster Griffin
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
No games scheduled