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Parker Messick or Paul Skenes

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Parker Messick

Parker Messick

SPCleveland Guardians CLE
Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

SPPittsburgh Pirates PIT
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Messick over Skenes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Parker Messick

Rookie southpaw Parker Messick remains a highly viable fantasy asset as he heads into a favorable division matchup.

The first-place Guardians, currently sitting at 41-37, have leaned heavily on rookie southpaw Parker Messick, who slots in as a back-end starter in the rotation. Over his last 30 days, the young left-hander has posted a solid 3.38 ERA with 27 strikeouts across 26.6 innings. Even with key hitters like Jose Ramirez currently on the injured list, Messick continues to provide steady production.

Messick's current 2.81 season ERA and 1.14 WHIP are outstanding, though our models project some slight regression toward a 4.08 ERA and 1.30 WHIP over the full campaign. However, his impressive 9.82 K/9 rate and 91 strikeouts over 83.4 innings suggest his swing-and-miss stuff is entirely real, keeping him firmly in the circle of trust.

Messick has a single scheduled outing this week on June 23rd on the road against the division-rival White Sox. He will match up against Sean Burke, who holds a 3.89 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Given the favorable matchup against a struggling Chicago lineup, Messick is a highly recommended play. Start.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Parker Messick
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Skenes over Messick

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes remains an elite fantasy anchor ahead of a favorable division matchup

Paul Skenes continues to look like a true staff anchor, posting a 3.00 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP with 25 strikeouts over his last 18 innings. He fronts the rotation for the fourth-place Pirates, who are sitting at an even 39-39 record on the season. Skenes remains completely healthy and is locked in as Pittsburgh's top starting option.

While his current 2.91 ERA is slightly higher than his elite sub-2.00 career marks, his 0.95 season WHIP and 107 strikeouts in 86.6 innings confirm his underlying dominance. Our projection expects a highly sustainable rest-of-season run, highlighted by a projected 2.20 ERA and a stellar 1.00 WHIP. Expect elite ratios and high strikeout volume to continue as he remains a premium fantasy asset.

Skenes is scheduled for a single home start this week on June 26th against the Reds. He will face Andrew Abbott, who carries a mediocre 1.41 WHIP and a 3.72 ERA, making this a highly favorable home matchup for the Pirates' young ace. Start Skenes with absolute confidence in all formats.

Updated 12 hrs ago

Latest News Paul Skenes
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Performance Parker Messick
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.001-000931.171
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.821-1001361.342
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Paul Skenes
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.000-100821.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.000-2002551.063
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Parker Messick
OWN
99%
-0.4 compared to last week
START
60%
+10.8 compared to last week
OWN/START Paul Skenes
OWN
100%
-0.02 compared to last week
START
74%
-19.87 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Parker Messick
29th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Paul Skenes
2nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Parker Messick

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 29th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 42nd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 71st with 1.28
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 44th with 3.38
  • Top 50 in walks and is currently ranked 42nd with 20
  • Top 50 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 44th with 62
  • Top 50 in wins and is currently ranked 49th with 4
  • Top 100 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 95th with 53.2
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +7, L: +3, WHIP: +1.13, ERA: +2.78, K's: +91, Walks: +28
Breakdown Paul Skenes

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 2nd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 13th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 8th with 0.95
  • Top 25 in ERA and is currently ranked 23rd with 2.76
  • Top 10 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 7th with 84
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 85th
  • Top 35 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 31st with 66.0
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +1, WHIP: +0.035, ERA: +0.981, K's: +1, Walks: -9
Next Up Health Check
Injury Parker Messick

No Injury Reported

Injury Paul Skenes

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Parker Messick
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@CHWAnthony Kay
Jun 23@CHWSean Burke
Jun 24@CHWErick Fedde
Jun 26VS SEA
Jun 27VS SEA
Jun 28VS SEA
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Paul Skenes
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23VS SEAGeorge Kirby
Jun 24VS SEABryan Woo
Jun 25VS SEABryce Miller
Jun 26VS CINAndrew Abbott
Jun 27VS CINChase Burns
Jun 28VS CINBrady Singer
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.801-000521.001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Parker Messick
12.95
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Paul Skenes
20.51
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Parker Messick
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 CLE 7 39.2 625 38 6 0 3-1 2.72 1.31 8.6 101
2026 CLE 15 84.1 1366 91 28 0 7-3 2.77 1.13 9.7 226
ON PACE 31 175 2837 189 58 0 14-6 2.77 1.13 9.7 468
3-YEAR AVG 7 39 625 38 6 0 3-1 2.72 1.31 8.6 101
Career 22 124.0 1991 129 34 0 0-0 2.76 1.19 9.4
Career Paul Skenes
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 PIT 23 133.0 2125 170 32 0 11-3 1.96 0.95 11.5 429
2025 PIT 32 187.2 2997 216 42 0 10-10 1.97 0.95 10.4 526
2026 PIT 16 88.0 1456 107 18 0 6-7 2.86 0.93 10.9 229
ON PACE 33 183 3024 222 37 0 12-14 2.86 0.93 10.9 475
3-YEAR AVG 28 159 2561 193 37 0 11-7 1.98 0.95 10.9 478
Career 71 406.1 6578 493 92 0 0-0 2.17 0.95 10.9
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Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @STL 07:45 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Andre Pallante
ATL @SD 10:10 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Michael King
BAL @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kyle Bradish
Sam Aldegheri
BOS @COL 08:40 EDT EST Jake Bennett
Ryan Feltner
CHC @NYM 07:10 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Kodai Senga
CHW vs CLE 07:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Gavin Williams
CIN vs MIL 07:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Brandon Woodruff
DET vs NYY 06:10 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Gerrit Cole
HOU @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Hunter Brown
Shane Bieber
KC @TB 06:40 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Drew Rasmussen
LAD @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Zebby Matthews
MIA vs TEX 06:40 EDT EST Tyler Phillips
Kumar Rocker
PHI @WAS 06:45 EDT EST
Foster Griffin
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