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Connelly Early or Ian Seymour

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 • Start New
Connelly Early

Connelly Early

SPBoston Red Sox BOS
Ian Seymour

Ian Seymour

RPTampa Bay Rays TB
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Early over Seymour

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Connelly Early

Connelly Early looks to build on a strong rebound effort, but a tough matchup with the division-leading Yankees looms.

Connelly Early bounced back in his last outing on June 21, throwing six innings of one-run ball in a victory. It was a needed relief for the last-place Red Sox (31-44), especially with key starters like Garrett Crochet currently sidelined. Early remains firmly locked into the Boston rotation, slotting in as the team's number four starter.

While his 14-day ERA swelled to 5.63 due to a home-run surge, his season-long 3.75 ERA and 1.31 WHIP align closely with his career baseline. Our models project a 3.72 ERA and 1.21 WHIP the rest of the way, supported by a healthy strikeout rate of nearly one per inning. If he can curb the long ball, his underlying metrics suggest he will remain a viable fantasy asset.

Early has a single start scheduled at home on June 25 against the Yankees. He faces an incredibly tough matchup in Cam Schlittler, who boasts a dominant 1.71 ERA and 0.89 WHIP on the year. Given the challenging opponent and Early's vulnerability to power, fantasy managers should bench the rookie this week. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Connelly Early
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Seymour over Early

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ian Seymour

Ian Seymour steps into the starting rotation for the banged-up Rays, offering streaming potential.

The second-place Tampa Bay Rays (43-31) have leaned on Ian Seymour to cover crucial starting frames due to rotation injuries to Ryan Pepiot and Jesse Scholtens. While officially listed as a primary high-leverage setup option, Seymour has recently transitioned into a starting capacity, throwing five innings of three-run ball in his last outing. Over the last 14 days, he has posted a 4.46 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with 12 strikeouts across 12.1 innings, showing improved control compared to his rocky 5.26 ERA over the last 30 days.

Across 29 games this season, Seymour has struggled with a bloated 5.55 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. However, our season projection remains optimistic, forecasting him to log 107.0 innings with a significantly improved 3.95 ERA and 1.21 WHIP. Given his strong 10.41 K/9 rate this year, if he can harness his walk rate, a correction toward his career 3.88 ERA baseline from last season is highly likely.

Seymour is scheduled to start on Thursday, June 25, at home against the Royals and Seth Lugo, who carries a 3.69 ERA. Our weekly models project Seymour for 4.0 innings of work with a stellar 2.81 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP. Because he is still building up stamina in this hybrid role, his win upside is capped, but he remains a useful streaming option for managers needing cheap ratios and strikeouts. Verdict: Stream.

Updated 11 hrs ago

Latest News Ian Seymour
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Performance Connelly Early
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.501-000720.671
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.361-2001681.723
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Ian Seymour
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100401.401
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.460-1001241.163
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Connelly Early
OWN
65%
-10.11 compared to last week
START
39%
-18.37 compared to last week
OWN/START Ian Seymour
OWN
14%
-3.69 compared to last week
START
12%
-4.49 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Connelly Early
58th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Ian Seymour
79th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Connelly Early

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 59th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 44th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Jacob Misiorowski
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 78th
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 70th with 4.11
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 52nd with 18
  • Top 100 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 79th with 55
  • Top 35 in wins and is currently ranked 27th with 5
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +6, L: +5, WHIP: +1.31, ERA: +3.75, K's: +79, Walks: +31
Breakdown Ian Seymour

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 80th among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 27th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • He is performing amazing in the past 30 days. Will he keep it up?
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 117th in WHIP with 1.34
  • Currently ranked 171st in ERA with 4.33
  • Top 15 in walks and is currently ranked 15th with 16
  • Top 50 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 48th with 31
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 84th
  • Top 50 in saves and is currently ranked 46th with 2
  • Top 50 in holds and is currently ranked 41st with 6
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +1, WHIP: +0.37, ERA: +5.27, K's: +43, Walks: +17
Next Up Health Check
Injury Connelly Early

No Injury Reported

Injury Ian Seymour

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Connelly Early
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@COLRyan Feltner
Jun 23@COLSean Sullivan
Jun 24@COLKyle Freeland
Jun 25VS NYYCam Schlittler
Jun 26VS NYYWill Warren
Jun 27VS NYYGerrit Cole
Jun 28VS NYYCarlos Rodon
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.290-100431.571
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Ian Seymour
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22VS KCMichael Wacha
Jun 23VS KCLuinder Avila
Jun 24VS KCNoah Cameron
Jun 25VS KCSeth Lugo
Jun 26VS ARI
Jun 27VS ARIMerrill Kelly
Jun 28VS ARIEduardo Rodriguez
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Connelly Early
10.66
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Ian Seymour
8.73
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Connelly Early
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BOS 5 23.0 401 35 5 0 1-3 3.13 1.22 13.7 49
2026 BOS 15 79.1 1369 79 31 0 6-5 3.74 1.31 9 180
ON PACE 32 171 2957 170 66 0 12-10 3.74 1.31 9 389
3-YEAR AVG 5 22 401 35 5 0 1-3 3.13 1.22 13.7 49
Career 20 102.1 1770 114 36 0 0-0 3.61 1.29 10
Career Ian Seymour
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 TB 19 57.0 995 64 19 0 4-3 3.79 1.19 10.1 128
2026 TB 29 41.0 711 45 19 2 3-1 5.27 1.37 9.9 100
ON PACE 63 90 1556 98 41 4 6-2 5.27 1.37 9.9 218
3-YEAR AVG 19 56 995 64 19 0 4-3 3.79 1.19 10.1 128
Career 48 95.2 1706 109 38 0 0-0 4.52 1.3 10.3
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