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Freddy Peralta or Troy Melton

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Freddy Peralta

Freddy Peralta

SPNew York Mets NYM
Troy Melton

Troy Melton

SPDetroit Tigers DET
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Peralta over Melton

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Freddy Peralta

Two-Start Week Offers Prime Opportunity for Mets' Staff Anchor

Freddy Peralta is rolling into the week on the heels of a strong quality start, holding a 2.65 ERA and 11 strikeouts over his last 14 days. He remains healthy and locked in as the staff anchor for a fifth-place Mets squad that is trying to climb out of a 29-36 hole in the NL East. With the rotation currently missing Kodai Senga, Peralta's presence at the top of the rotation is vital.

While his recent 1.57 WHIP over the past two weeks highlights some traffic struggles, our models remain bullish on his season-long outlook. Peralta's current 3.48 ERA on the year is highly sustainable when compared to our projection of a 3.54 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. His signature strikeout stuff is fully intact, suggesting his excellent career baseline will maintain.

Fantasy managers get a massive boost this week as Peralta is lined up as a two-start pitcher, both at home. He will face the Cardinals and Dustin May on Tuesday, before wrapping up the week on Sunday against the Braves and Grant Holmes. With two favorable matchups on the docket and our projection targeting 11.5 strikeouts and a 2.73 ERA across 12.2 innings, he is an absolute must-play. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Freddy Peralta
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Melton over Peralta

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Troy Melton

Melton set for highly anticipated two-start week after dominant stretch

Melton has been sensational since returning from the injured list, highlighted by a brilliant eight-inning, two-run gem on June 3. Over his last three starts spanning 20.2 innings, he has registered a pristine 1.78 ERA and 0.89 WHIP. He is locked in as a mid-rotation staple for a fifth-place Tigers team (27-39) currently missing injured starters Tarik Skubal and Casey Mize.

While his current 1.78 ERA is outstanding, his strikeout rate during this stretch is a drop from his career average last season. Our models expect some natural ratio regression to a 3.69 ERA and 1.19 WHIP for the rest of the season. However, his elite high-90s velocity suggests his strikeout numbers will bounce back once he fully finds his rhythm.

Melton is lined up for a highly productive two-start week, beginning Tuesday at home against Minnesota and Taj Bradley (3.56 ERA) and concluding Sunday in Cleveland against Gavin Williams (3.20 ERA). Given his current form and the extra volume on the mound, he is an essential fantasy option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Troy Melton
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Performance Freddy Peralta
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.501-000621.331
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.651-0001131.572
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Troy Melton
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.251-000520.751
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.801-000630.872
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Freddy Peralta
OWN
98%
-1.33 compared to last week
START
79%
-1.08 compared to last week
OWN/START Troy Melton
OWN
55%
+20 compared to last week
START
45%
+18.78 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Freddy Peralta
22nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Troy Melton
35th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Freddy Peralta

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 23rd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 48th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He should be doing much better than this. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 98th
  • Top 50 in ERA and is currently ranked 39th with 3.08
  • Top 20 in walks and is currently ranked 16th with 25
  • Top 75 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 70th with 55
  • Top 75 in wins and is currently ranked 71st with 3
  • Top 100 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 93rd with 57.0
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -1, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.144, ERA: +0.667, K's: -4, Walks: -1
Breakdown Troy Melton

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 35th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 143rd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 15 in WHIP and is currently ranked 11th with 0.89
  • ERA is among the best in the league currently ranked 8th with 1.78
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.89, ERA: +1.78, K's: +9, Walks: +6
Next Up Health Check
Injury Freddy Peralta

No Injury Reported

Injury Troy Melton

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Freddy Peralta
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09VS STLDustin May
Jun 10VS STLAndre Pallante
Jun 11VS STLHunter Dobbins
Jun 12VS ATLSpencer Strider
Jun 13VS ATLBryce Elder
Jun 14VS ATLGrant Holmes
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.760-000720.981
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Troy Melton
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09VS MINTaj Bradley
Jun 10VS MIN
Jun 11VS MINZebby Matthews
Jun 12@CLETanner Bibee
Jun 13@CLEJoey Cantillo
Jun 14@CLEGavin Williams
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Freddy Peralta
13.74
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Troy Melton
9.62
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Freddy Peralta
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2018 MIL 16 78.1 1382 96 40 0 6-4 4.25 1.14 11 213
2019 MIL 39 80.1 1599 115 37 1 7-3 5.6 1.54 12.9 208
2020 MIL 16 30.1 571 48 12 0 3-1 4.15 1.15 14.2 86
2021 MIL 29 149.0 2413 200 57 0 10-5 2.72 0.97 12.1 447
2022 MIL 17 73.1 1279 83 27 0 4-4 3.68 1.08 10.2 171
2023 MIL 31 168.1 2924 215 56 0 12-11 4.01 1.13 11.5 439
2024 MIL 34 176.1 3147 205 69 0 11-9 3.78 1.21 10.5 424
2025 MIL 36 192.0 3362 223 72 0 18-8 2.86 1.08 10.5 531
2026 NYM 13 72.0 1241 74 30 0 4-4 3.38 1.31 9.3 156
ON PACE 32 180 3092 184 74 0 9-9 3.38 1.31 9.3 388
3-YEAR AVG 34 178 3144 214 66 0 14-9 3.51 1.14 10.7 465
Career 231 1010.2 17918 1259 400 0 0-0 3.68 1.16 11.2
Career Troy Melton
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 DET 20 51.2 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
2026 DET 3 20.2 262 9 6 0 2-0 1.74 0.87 3.9 53
ON PACE 7 50 643 22 14 0 4-0 1.74 0.87 3.9 130
3-YEAR AVG 20 51 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
Career 23 72.1 1041 53 25 0 0-0 2.86 1.05 6.6
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Ryan Gusto
ATH vs MIL 09:05 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Brandon Sproat
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Chris Sale
Erick Fedde
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Brandon Young
George Kirby
BOS @TB 01:10 EDT EST
Drew Rasmussen
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Michael Lorenzen
CIN @SD 04:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Michael King
CLE vs NYY 01:10 EDT EST Parker Messick
Carlos Rodon
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Peter Lambert
Reid Detmers
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Seth Lugo
MacKenzie Gore
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Jared Jones
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Christian Scott
Andre Pallante
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Jesus Luzardo
Max Scherzer
SF vs WAS 03:45 EDT EST Robbie Ray
Foster Griffin
Matchup Time
NY vs SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
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