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Carter Jensen or Matt McLain

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Carter Jensen

Carter Jensen

CKansas City Royals KC
Matt McLain

Matt McLain

2BCincinnati Reds CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Jensen over McLain

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Carter Jensen

Jensen Mired in Deep June Slump as Royals Prepare for Six-Game Homestand

The fourth-place Royals are riding a two-game win streak but find themselves at 27-39 on the year. Their young catcher, Carter Jensen, is currently mired in a deep slump, batting just .115 with 12 strikeouts over his last seven days, though he remains the team's primary starter behind the plate. With star shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. currently questionable with knee soreness, the Kansas City lineup around Jensen is feeling the strain.

Jensen's recent cold spell has dragged his season average down to .213, a far cry from the .300 mark he teased in a brief 20-game sample last season. However, our models suggest patience is warranted; his overall season projection of a .242 batting average and 14 home runs aligns with his strong walk rate and raw power, indicating his current .152 clip over the last fortnight is a temporary rookie wall rather than a permanent regression.

Kansas City hosts a six-game homestand starting Tuesday with matchups against Texas and Houston. Jensen will face a mixed bag of arms, including manageable matchups against Tatsuya Imai (5.24 ERA) and Mike Burrows (5.77 ERA), though Spencer Arrighetti (1.94 ERA) looms on Sunday. Given his current contact issues and a projected .205 average for the week, it is best to leave him on the bench. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Carter Jensen
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McLain over Jensen

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matt McLain

Matt McLain's recent power surge makes him a must-start middle infield option

McLain has been absolutely sizzling over the last seven days, batting .333 with three home runs and a massive 1.000 slugging percentage. His power surge is a vital lift for the fifth-place Reds (31-33), who are looking to break out of a four-game losing streak. With fellow infielder Elly De La Cruz sidelined on the injured list with a hamstring strain, McLain's role as the everyday second baseman is locked down and more critical than ever.

While McLain's season-long batting average sits at a cold .201, his recent tear shows flashes of his high-upside career baseline. Our models project him to finish with a .239 average, 12 home runs, and 12 stolen bases over 485 at-bats. While his current 1.412 weekly OPS will inevitably regress, his combination of pop and speed is highly sustainable as his overall ratios normalize.

The Reds have a six-game slate this week, starting on the road against San Diego where McLain gets look at Walker Buehler (4.53 ERA) and Lucas Giolito (4.86 ERA), followed by a home series against Arizona featuring a highly favorable matchup against Zac Gallen (5.74 ERA). Driven by his elite current form and secure volume, our model projects him for nearly 20 fantasy points this week. Start him.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Matt McLain
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Performance Carter Jensen
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.143153.1430.33305
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.158286.1790.342010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Matt McLain
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.462345.5331.23104
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.333356.4400.85709
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Carter Jensen
OWN
46%
-1.85 compared to last week
START
36%
-3.51 compared to last week
OWN/START Matt McLain
OWN
38%
+12.33 compared to last week
START
31%
+18.49 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Carter Jensen
15th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Matt McLain
26th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Carter Jensen

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: C DH . However, he plays C most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 16th among C's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 14th.
  • The current leader among C's is Shea Langeliers
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 241st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.286
  • Ranked 332nd in batting average with 0.211
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 295th with 0.292
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 278th with 0.349
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 294th with 0.641
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 154th in RBI with 25
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 239th in runs scored with 21
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.213, OBP: +0.292, HRs: +8, RBI: +31, Runs: +26, Wlks: +21, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Matt McLain

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 2B SS . However, he plays 2B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 27th among 2B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 15th.
  • The current leader among 2B's is Brice Turang
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 397th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.224
  • Ranked 350th in batting average with 0.205
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 290th with 0.293
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 195th with 0.398
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 224th with 0.690
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 304th with 5
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 231st in RBI with 22
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 239th in runs scored with 21
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.025, OBP: +0.028, HRs: +1, RBI: +3, Runs: EVEN, Wlks: +4, Stls: -4,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Carter Jensen

No Injury Reported

Injury Matt McLain

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Carter Jensen
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09VS TEXNathan Eovaldi
Jun 10VS TEXMacKenzie Gore
Jun 11VS TEXKumar Rocker
Jun 12VS HOUTatsuya Imai
Jun 13VS HOUMike Burrows
Jun 14VS HOUSpencer Arrighetti
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.333132.3330.66702
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Matt McLain
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@SDAdrian MorejonL 6-2
Jun 09@SDLucas Giolito
Jun 10@SDMichael King
Jun 12VS ARIEduardo Rodriguez
Jun 13VS ARIMichael Soroka
Jun 14VS ARIZac Gallen
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.667000.7501.00001
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Carter Jensen
9.58
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Matt McLain
9.26
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Carter Jensen
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 KC 19 18 3 12 13 0 8 .300 .382 .550 73
2026 KC 60 42 8 26 31 0 21 .213 .292 .381 145
ON PACE 147 103 19 63 76 0 51 .213 .292 .381 355
3-YEAR AVG 6 6 1 4 4 0 3 .300 .382 .550 24
Career 79 60 11 38 44 0 29 .233 .314 .420
Career Matt McLain
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 CIN 88 106 16 65 50 14 31 .291 .358 .508 332
2025 CIN 145 113 15 73 49 18 55 .221 .301 .346 365
2026 CIN 58 44 8 27 25 6 27 .208 .302 .373 171
ON PACE 144 109 19 67 62 14 67 .208 .302 .373 426
3-YEAR AVG 78 73 10 46 33 11 29 .250 .324 .414 232
Career 291 263 39 165 124 38 113 .242 .320 .406
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Ryan Gusto
ATH vs MIL 09:05 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Brandon Sproat
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Chris Sale
Erick Fedde
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Brandon Young
George Kirby
BOS @TB 01:10 EDT EST
Drew Rasmussen
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Shota Imanaga
Michael Lorenzen
CIN @SD 04:10 EDT EST Brady Singer
Michael King
CLE vs NYY 01:10 EDT EST Parker Messick
Carlos Rodon
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Peter Lambert
Reid Detmers
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Seth Lugo
MacKenzie Gore
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Shohei Ohtani
Jared Jones
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Christian Scott
Andre Pallante
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Jesus Luzardo
Max Scherzer
SF vs WAS 03:45 EDT EST Robbie Ray
Foster Griffin
Matchup Time
NY vs SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled