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Trevor McDonald or Aaron Nola

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald

SPSan Francisco Giants SF
Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola

SPPhiladelphia Phillies PHI
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McDonald over Nola

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald Slated for High-Volume Two-Start Week Despite Tough Road Matchups

Trevor McDonald has experienced a mixed bag in his early MLB tenure, posting a high 8.71 ERA over his last 14 days, though his overall 30-day mark sits at a much more respectable 4.57 ERA. The fourth-place Giants, currently sitting at 23-36 in the standings, have locked the 25-year-old into the fourth starter role, particularly with Tyler Mahle currently sidelined on the injured list.

While McDonald's microscopic 1.12 WHIP over the last month demonstrates elite control, his ERA was heavily inflated by one recent blowup start. Our models project him to settle in with a 4.43 ERA and 1.38 WHIP rest of season, suggesting his strikeout rate of 27 strikeouts in 27.6 innings is a highly sustainable asset.

McDonald is lined up for a valuable two-start week on the road, beginning June 2 against Milwaukee's Kyle Harrison (1.57 ERA) and concluding June 7 against Chicago's Jameson Taillon (5.37 ERA). Despite the tough matchups, the two-start volume makes him an incredibly appealing fantasy target. Verdict: Two-Start Stream.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Trevor McDonald
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nola over McDonald

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola set for a lucrative two-start week at home following return from paternity list

Aaron Nola is set to return from the paternity list to boost a third-place Phillies (30-29) team that is currently monitoring J.T. Realmuto's wrist injury. Nola's last outing was a stellar six-inning, five-strikeout quality start with zero walks. He has begun righting the ship lately, carrying a clean 1.00 WHIP and a much-improved 4.91 ERA over his last 14 days of action.

While Nola's current 5.91 ERA and 1.50 WHIP through 11 starts look alarming, our models expect significant positive regression, projecting a 4.15 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 167.0 innings. His underlying metrics and elite control suggest these early-season ratio struggles are a fluke, and his high strikeout upside remains a major asset.

Nola is lined up for a lucrative two-start week at home, starting Tuesday against San Diego's Randy Vasquez (3.28 ERA) and concluding Sunday against Chicago's David Sandlin. With 11.0 projected innings and 10 strikeouts on the horizon, his volume and win potential make him an elite option this week. Verdict: Start.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Aaron Nola
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Performance Trevor McDonald
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100431.601
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.200-3001461.333
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Aaron Nola
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.600-000800.801
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.271-0001300.642
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Trevor McDonald
OWN
22%
-2 compared to last week
START
16%
-3.52 compared to last week
OWN/START Aaron Nola
OWN
58%
+7.06 compared to last week
START
36%
+3.41 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Trevor McDonald
125th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Aaron Nola
99th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Trevor McDonald

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 125th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 168th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is in a heck of a slump. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 59th with 1.20
  • Currently ranked 108th in ERA with 4.69
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +3, WHIP: +1.15, ERA: +4.5, K's: +31, Walks: +9
Breakdown Aaron Nola

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 99th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 143rd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is in a heck of a slump. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 138th in WHIP with 1.50
  • Currently ranked 158th in ERA with 6.28
  • Currently ranked 182nd in wins with 2
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: -3, WHIP: -0.136, ERA: -0.719, K's: +12, Walks: +2
Next Up Health Check
Injury Trevor McDonald

No Injury Reported

Injury Aaron Nola

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Trevor McDonald
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@MILChad PatrickL 16-2
Jun 02@MILKyle HarrisonL 8-3
Jun 03@MILLogan WebbW 0-1
Jun 04@MILColeman Crow
Jun 05@CHCBen Brown
Jun 06@CHCEdward Cabrera
Jun 07@CHCJameson Taillon
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100431.601
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Aaron Nola
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02VS SDJose AlvaradoW 3-2
Jun 03VS SDCristopher SanchezW 3-2
Jun 04VS SDLucas Giolito
Jun 05VS CHWAnthony Kay
Jun 06VS CHWSean Burke
Jun 07VS CHWDavid Sandlin
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.271-0001300.642
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Trevor McDonald
7.75
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Aaron Nola
9.91
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Trevor McDonald
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 SF 1 3.0 39 1 1 0 0-0 0 0.33 3 7
2025 SF 3 15.0 212 14 2 0 1-0 3.6 1.07 8.4 41
2026 SF 6 34.0 511 31 9 0 2-3 4.5 1.15 8.2 67
ON PACE 15 89 1335 81 23 0 5-7 4.5 1.15 8.2 173
3-YEAR AVG 2 9 126 8 2 0 1-0 3 1 8 24
Career 10 52.0 762 46 12 0 0-0 3.98 1.08 8
Career Aaron Nola
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2015 PHI 13 77.2 1117 68 19 0 6-2 3.59 1.2 7.9 188
2016 PHI 20 111.0 1796 121 29 0 6-9 4.95 1.32 9.8 263
2017 PHI 27 168.0 2665 184 49 0 12-11 3.54 1.21 9.9 451
2018 PHI 33 210.0 3212 224 58 0 17-6 2.4 0.99 9.6 632
2019 PHI 34 200.0 3332 229 80 0 12-7 3.92 1.28 10.3 500
2020 PHI 11 65.1 1060 84 23 0 5-5 3.44 1.13 11.6 176
2021 PHI 32 182.1 2971 223 39 0 9-9 4.59 1.12 11 427
2022 PHI 35 219.0 3256 246 29 0 12-14 3.45 0.98 10.1 547
2023 PHI 36 212.0 3427 225 49 0 15-10 4.33 1.16 9.6 512
2024 PHI 34 202.0 3275 205 52 0 14-9 3.74 1.22 9.1 496
2025 PHI 18 96.1 1599 100 28 0 5-10 5.89 1.33 9.3 159
2026 PHI 12 61.2 1066 64 18 0 3-4 5.55 1.39 9.3 113
ON PACE 31 163 2831 169 47 0 7-10 5.55 1.39 9.3 300
3-YEAR AVG 29 169 2767 177 43 0 11-10 4.39 1.22 9.4 389
Career 305 1791.1 28776 1973 473 0 0-0 3.97 1.17 9.9
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAD 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Justin Wrobleski
ATH @CHC 08:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Shota Imanaga
ATL vs TOR 07:15 EDT EST Chris Sale
Mason Fluharty
BAL @BOS 01:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brayan Bello
CLE @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Carlos Rodon
HOU vs PIT 08:10 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Jared Jones
KC @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Seth Lugo
Andrew Morris
MIL vs SF 02:10 EDT EST Coleman Crow
Adrian Houser
PHI vs SD 01:05 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Lucas Giolito
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST