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Payton Tolle or Carlos Rodon

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Payton Tolle

Payton Tolle

SPBoston Red Sox BOS
Carlos Rodon

Carlos Rodon

SPNew York Yankees NYY
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Tolle over Rodon

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Payton Tolle

Tolle's high-strikeout upside makes him a strong play as he anchors a depleted Boston rotation

Over the last 30 days, Tolle has been exceptional, posting a 2.98 ERA and a dominant 0.89 WHIP across five starts. The fifth-place Red Sox, sitting at 25-33, have relied heavily on the young southpaw as their rotation anchor with fellow starters Garrett Crochet and Tanner Houck sidelined on the injured list.

Tolle's current 3.12 season ERA and stellar 10.25 K/9 represent a massive leap forward from his brief, rocky 2025 debut. While our models project a minor regression toward a 4.00 ERA and 1.24 WHIP rest-of-season, his elite swing-and-miss stuff makes him a sustainable, high-upside asset in all formats.

Tolle is scheduled for a single start this Wednesday at home against Baltimore, squaring off against Chris Bassitt, who carries a vulnerable 5.06 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. Our models project Tolle to deliver a strong 3.18 ERA and over six strikeouts in this favorable matchup, making him a locked-in option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Payton Tolle
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Rodon over Tolle

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Carlos Rodon

Carlos Rodón Reclaims His Form as Yankees' Rotation Reaches Full Strength

After starting the season on the injured list, Carlos Rodón is quickly finding his groove, highlighted by a dominant one-run, six-inning quality start in his last outing. The left-handed veteran slots in as a mid-rotation staple for the second-place Yankees, who boast a strong 36-23 record. With fellow ace Gerrit Cole also back in action, Rodón is primed for a major role in a healthy rotation.

Rodón's recent form is highly encouraging, as he has posted a stellar 1.64 ERA and 1.09 WHIP over his last two outings. This represents a rapid return to his elite 2025 form when he registered a 3.40 ERA and 211 strikeouts. While our models project a conservative 4.10 ERA for the rest of the season, his elite strikeout capability suggests he can easily outperform that baseline.

Rodón is lined up for a single start on June 4th at home against the division-leading Guardians. He draws a highly favorable matchup against Slade Cecconi, who is struggling with a 5.25 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. Lock the veteran lefty into your lineups for this matchup. Verdict: Start.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Carlos Rodon
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Performance Payton Tolle
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.761-0001241.572
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.781-0002161.363
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Carlos Rodon
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.501-000321.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.641-1001051.092
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Payton Tolle
OWN
82%
-1.49 compared to last week
START
75%
+9.33 compared to last week
OWN/START Carlos Rodon
OWN
91%
+0.45 compared to last week
START
59%
+16.31 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Payton Tolle
27th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Carlos Rodon
40th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Payton Tolle

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 28th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 41st.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 20 in WHIP and is currently ranked 17th with 1.01
  • Top 25 in ERA and is currently ranked 25th with 2.72
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 87th
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +2, WHIP: +1, ERA: +2.68, K's: +51, Walks: +13
Breakdown Carlos Rodon

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 40th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 316th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 99th
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 53rd with 3.44
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -7, L: -1, WHIP: +0.377, ERA: +0.798, K's: -78, Walks: -14
Next Up Health Check
Injury Payton Tolle

No Injury Reported

Injury Carlos Rodon

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Payton Tolle
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02VS BALShane BazL 2-4
Jun 03VS BALPayton TolleW 8-1
Jun 04VS BALTrevor Rogers
Jun 05@NYYRyan Weathers
Jun 06@NYYWill Warren
Jun 07@NYYCam Schlittler
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.751-0001631.082
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Carlos Rodon
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02VS CLEColin HoldermanL 4-9
Jun 03VS CLEGavin WilliamsL 4-5
Jun 04VS CLESlade Cecconi
Jun 05VS BOSSonny Gray
Jun 06VS BOSRanger Suarez
Jun 07VS BOSConnelly Early
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Payton Tolle
11.68
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Carlos Rodon
11.16
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Payton Tolle
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BOS 8 16.2 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
2026 BOS 8 47.1 688 51 13 0 3-2 2.66 0.99 9.7 128
ON PACE 21 128 1857 137 35 0 8-5 2.66 0.99 9.7 346
3-YEAR AVG 8 16 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
Career 16 64.0 999 70 21 0 0-0 3.52 1.14 9.8
Career Carlos Rodon
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2015 CHW 26 137.0 2440 139 71 0 9-6 3.81 1.47 9.1 343
2016 CHW 28 162.2 2795 167 54 0 9-10 4.09 1.41 9.2 395
2017 CHW 12 67.0 1181 76 31 0 2-5 4.3 1.42 10.2 161
2018 CHW 20 118.1 1967 90 55 0 6-8 4.34 1.28 6.9 255
2019 CHW 7 34.2 696 46 17 0 3-2 5.19 1.44 11.9 91
2020 CHW 5 7.2 147 6 5 0 0-2 10.57 1.96 7 -1
2021 CHW 25 136.1 2275 188 38 0 14-6 2.44 0.97 12.4 423
2022 SF 30 175.0 2892 230 49 0 14-8 2.73 1.01 11.8 519
2023 NYY 14 62.0 1133 64 28 0 3-8 7.11 1.5 9.3 81
2024 NYY 36 188.0 3415 220 58 0 17-11 4.16 1.26 10.5 481
2025 NYY 35 201.1 3370 211 78 0 18-9 3.4 1.09 9.4 534
2026 NYY 4 19.0 354 20 13 0 1-2 3.32 1.32 9.5 37
ON PACE 10 51 940 53 34 0 2-5 3.32 1.32 9.5 96
3-YEAR AVG 28 150 2639 165 55 0 13-9 4.25 1.22 9.9 366
Career 242 1302.0 22665 1457 497 0 0-0 3.86 1.25 10.1
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAD 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Justin Wrobleski
ATH @CHC 08:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Shota Imanaga
ATL vs TOR 07:15 EDT EST Chris Sale
Mason Fluharty
BAL @BOS 01:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brayan Bello
CLE @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Carlos Rodon
HOU vs PIT 08:10 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Jared Jones
KC @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Seth Lugo
Andrew Morris
MIL vs SF 02:10 EDT EST Coleman Crow
Adrian Houser
PHI vs SD 01:05 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Lucas Giolito
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST