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Paul Skenes or Eric Lauer

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

SPPittsburgh Pirates PIT
Eric Lauer

Eric Lauer

SPLos Angeles Dodgers LAD
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Skenes over Lauer

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes remains an elite, must-start staff anchor despite minor bumps in his recent WHIP ratios.

Our staff anchor has looked sharp lately, posting a 1.76 ERA with 10 strikeouts over his last 5.1 innings. Despite a minor bump to a 4.46 ERA over his last 14 days, Skenes continues to lead the rotation for the third-place Pirates (32-28), who are currently riding a three-game win streak.

While Skenes' current season ERA sits at 3.07, our models project him to positively regress toward his elite career mark of 1.99, with an expected rest-of-season ERA of 2.20. His stellar 0.89 WHIP this year confirms that his underlying metrics remain pristine, meaning any recent ratio inflation is a mere fluke.

Skenes has a single scheduled start this week on June 3rd on the road against Houston, squaring off against Spencer Arrighetti, who has a 1.34 ERA. Even with a tough matchup, our weekly model projects Skenes for a strong 7.1 innings and 6.5 strikeouts, making him a locked-in Start.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Paul Skenes
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lauer over Skenes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Eric Lauer

Eric Lauer joins a depleted Dodgers rotation, but high ratio risks make him a shaky weekly option.

After being traded from Toronto, Eric Lauer has slotted in as the number three starter for the first-place Dodgers, who lead the NL West at 38-21 despite a rotation ravaged by injuries to Tyler Glasnow and Blake Snell. Lauer looked sharp in his last outing, delivering a quality start with a 1.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP over six innings. However, his previous 30 days tell a different story, plagued by a 5.96 ERA.

While his latest start was excellent, Lauer's overall 2026 numbers are highly concerning, including a 6.09 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. This is a far cry from his strong 2025 season where he posted a 3.33 ERA. Our models project him to settle around a 4.35 ERA and 1.28 WHIP rest of the way, indicating his recent blowouts were somewhat fluky but warning that he remains a ratio risk.

Lauer is scheduled for a single start on June 2 on the road against the third-place Diamondbacks. He faces a tough matchup in Michael Soroka, who brings a solid 3.25 ERA and 1.20 WHIP into the contest. Given the challenging matchup and Lauer's overall instability, fantasy managers should leave him on the bench. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Eric Lauer
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Performance Paul Skenes
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.600-1001741.502
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.800-2001951.673
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Eric Lauer
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.290-000111.431
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.651-000521.082
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Paul Skenes
OWN
100%
-0.01 compared to last week
START
95%
+7.6 compared to last week
OWN/START Eric Lauer
OWN
14%
-2.06 compared to last week
START
 
10%
-1.48 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Paul Skenes
1st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Eric Lauer
125th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Paul Skenes

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 1st among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 9th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 4th with 0.85
  • Top 25 in ERA and is currently ranked 23rd with 2.70
  • Top 15 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 12th with 76
  • Top 20 in wins and is currently ranked 19th with 5
  • Top 50 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 44th with 64.1
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: -1, WHIP: +0.044, ERA: +1.135, K's: -3, Walks: -6
Breakdown Eric Lauer

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 125th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 353rd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 139th in WHIP with 1.51
  • Currently ranked 157th in ERA with 6.22
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 85th with 17
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 3.5 PPG. If you don't have the confidence he can keep it up, then trade him for a sure thing.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: +4, WHIP: +0.447, ERA: +3.34, K's: +9, Walks: +10
Next Up Health Check
Injury Paul Skenes

No Injury Reported

Injury Eric Lauer

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Paul Skenes
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02@HOUBubba ChandlerW 6-10
Jun 03@HOUAJ BlubaughL 11-9
Jun 04@HOUKai-Wei Teng
Jun 05@ATLMartin Perez
Jun 06@ATLSpencer Strider
Jun 07@ATLBryce Elder
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.430-000711.901
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Eric Lauer
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@ARITaylor ClarkeL 4-1
Jun 02@ARIBlake TreinenW 5-6
Jun 03@ARIShohei OhtaniW 0-7
Jun 04@ARIRyne Nelson
Jun 05VS LAAReid Detmers
Jun 06VS LAAJack Kochanowicz
Jun 07VS LAAJose Soriano
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.290-000111.431
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Paul Skenes
20.39
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Eric Lauer
7.39
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Paul Skenes
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 PIT 23 133.0 2125 170 32 0 11-3 1.96 0.95 11.5 429
2025 PIT 32 187.2 2997 216 42 0 10-10 1.97 0.95 10.4 526
2026 PIT 13 70.0 1145 82 13 0 6-5 3.21 0.93 10.5 185
ON PACE 33 183 2991 214 33 0 15-13 3.21 0.93 10.5 482
3-YEAR AVG 28 159 2561 193 37 0 11-7 1.98 0.95 10.9 478
Career 68 388.1 6267 468 87 0 0-0 2.2 0.95 10.9
Career Eric Lauer
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2018 SD 23 112.0 2026 100 46 0 6-7 4.34 1.54 8 225
2019 SD 30 147.1 2510 138 51 0 8-10 4.52 1.42 8.4 303
2020 SD 3 9.1 199 10 6 0 0-2 12.54 2.25 9.6 -1
2021 MIL 25 123.0 2030 119 43 0 7-5 3.07 1.13 8.7 286
2022 MIL 25 142.2 2352 139 47 0 9-6 3.28 1.16 8.8 340
2023 MIL 10 46.2 845 43 24 0 4-6 6.56 1.67 8.3 59
2025 TOR 33 108.2 1818 110 32 0 9-2 3.31 1.18 9.1 280
2026 TOR 10 47.0 768 31 18 0 2-5 5.74 1.38 5.9 51
ON PACE 26 123 2006 81 47 0 5-13 5.74 1.38 5.9 131
3-YEAR AVG 14 51 888 51 19 0 4-3 4.41 1.35 9 113
Career 159 729.2 12548 690 267 0 0-0 4.18 1.34 8.5
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAD 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Justin Wrobleski
ATH @CHC 08:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Shota Imanaga
ATL vs TOR 07:15 EDT EST Chris Sale
Mason Fluharty
BAL @BOS 01:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brayan Bello
CLE @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Carlos Rodon
HOU vs PIT 08:10 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Jared Jones
KC @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Seth Lugo
Andrew Morris
MIL vs SF 02:10 EDT EST Coleman Crow
Adrian Houser
PHI vs SD 01:05 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Lucas Giolito
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST