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Edwin Arroyo or Curtis Mead

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Edwin Arroyo

Edwin Arroyo

SSCincinnati Reds CIN
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead

1BWashington Nationals WAS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Arroyo over Mead

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Edwin Arroyo

Sizzling Prospect Knocks on the Door as Injuries Loom in Cincinnati

Edwin Arroyo is making a loud statement at Triple-A Louisville, recently smashing his 11th home run of the year while boasting a stellar .349 batting average. The highly-regarded switch-hitter does not currently occupy an active spot on the major-league roster, sitting behind Elly De La Cruz and Matt McLain. However, with the fifth-place Reds navigating a tight division race and De La Cruz recently popping up on the injury report with a hamstring issue, Arroyo's path to a big-league debut is rapidly clearing.

Our current projections are highly conservative, estimating a brief cup of coffee with a .226 batting average and modest counting stats. However, his underlying tools tell a far more exciting story. After missing significant time in the past, the 22-year-old has displayed a massive power surge this spring, including a sequence where he hit five home runs in six games. When combined with his natural defensive pedigree and solid speed, his potential production far exceeds his baseline projections if he secures regular playing time.

For fantasy managers, Arroyo represents a high-upside stash rather than an immediate redraft contributor. His elite contact skills and newly unlocked pull-side power make him an incredibly appealing target in dynasty and deep keeper leagues. If you have an empty bench spot, grabbing him now before the official call-up could yield a massive dividend down the stretch.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Edwin Arroyo
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mead over Arroyo

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead's power surge makes him a must-start infielder this week

Curtis Mead is on fire, hitting .286 with three home runs and eight RBIs over his last seven days. The second-place Nationals are currently riding a two-game winning streak with a 31-29 record. Mead has secured a regular role in the lineup, functioning as the team's primary starting third baseman while providing depth at first base.

This hot streak highlights a major breakout season for the 25-year-old, who has already blasted eight home runs over 45 games in 2026 after hitting just five combined over his first three MLB seasons. Our models project him to keep hitting for power, with an expectation of 10 more home runs over his remaining projected at-bats. His strong .359 on-base percentage suggests this breakout is sustainable.

The week ahead features a six-game slate split between home matchups against Miami and a road trip to Arizona. He faces some vulnerable pitching, including Sandy Alcantara and Merrill Kelly, who both carry ERAs over 4.70, though tougher matchups against Eduardo Rodriguez and Max Meyer loom. Our projection expects a .268 average and another home run this week, making him a strong fantasy option. Start him with confidence.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Curtis Mead
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Performance Edwin Arroyo
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.125001.1250.12503
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.125001.1250.12503
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Curtis Mead
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.286163.3480.47606
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.2614107.3200.543012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Edwin Arroyo
OWN
26%
+14.18 compared to last week
START
 
9%
+9.18 compared to last week
OWN/START Curtis Mead
OWN
38%
+23.48 compared to last week
START
30%
+18.63 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Edwin Arroyo
Not Ranked
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Curtis Mead
28th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Edwin Arroyo

    Overview

  • Experts don't even rank him among SS's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 51st.
  • The current leader among SS's is Bobby Witt Jr.
  • In the past two weeks he has had an awful lot of time off. Either he isn't an every day player or he is coming back from an injury of some sort. I suggest checking out his news page to get a closer look.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 916th in RBI with 0
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 585th in runs scored with 1
  • On second thought, he hasn't played in quite enough games for me to calculate a reliable analysis for you. Expect his rating to evolve over the next few days.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.125, OBP: +0.125, HRs: EVEN, RBI: EVEN, Runs: +1, Wlks: EVEN, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Curtis Mead

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B 3B . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 34th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 21st.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 311th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.263
  • Ranked 188th in batting average with 0.250
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 84th with 0.358
  • Top 75 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 62nd with 0.493
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 63rd with 0.851
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 181st with 3
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 167th in RBI with 26
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 183rd in runs scored with 26
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.029, OBP: +0.067, HRs: +5, RBI: +19, Runs: +19, Wlks: +16, Stls: +1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Edwin Arroyo

No Injury Reported

Injury Curtis Mead

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Edwin Arroyo
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS KCLuinder AvilaL 2-9
Jun 02VS KCBrock BurkeW 4-3
Jun 03VS KCDaniel Lynch IVL 2-5
Jun 05@STLKyle Leahy
Jun 06@STLMatthew Liberatore
Jun 07@STLMichael McGreevy
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.125001.1250.12503
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Curtis Mead
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS MIASandy AlcantaraL 3-7
Jun 02VS MIAJohn KingL 3-7
Jun 03VS MIAMax MeyerL 1-4
Jun 05@ARIMerrill Kelly
Jun 06@ARIEduardo Rodriguez
Jun 07@ARIMichael Soroka
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.267011.3530.33305
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Edwin Arroyo
8.37
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Curtis Mead
9.24
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Edwin Arroyo
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 CIN 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 .125 .125 .125 -1
ON PACE 7 2 0 2 0 0 0 .125 .125 .125 -3
3-YEAR AVG 0 . . . 0
Career 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 .125 .125 .125
Career Curtis Mead
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 TB 26 23 1 12 6 0 7 .258 .327 .348 59
2024 TB 38 29 1 10 7 2 6 .238 .282 .287 70
2025 TB 86 56 3 25 18 5 15 .233 .298 .321 168
2026 WAS 48 35 8 26 26 3 22 .243 .351 .472 166
ON PACE 123 90 20 66 66 7 56 .243 .351 .472 426
3-YEAR AVG 50 36 2 16 10 2 9 .239 .299 .317 99
Career 198 143 13 73 57 10 50 .240 .313 .355
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAD 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Justin Wrobleski
ATH @CHC 08:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Shota Imanaga
ATL vs TOR 07:15 EDT EST Chris Sale
Mason Fluharty
BAL @BOS 01:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brayan Bello
CLE @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Carlos Rodon
HOU vs PIT 08:10 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Jared Jones
KC @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Seth Lugo
Andrew Morris
MIL vs SF 02:10 EDT EST Coleman Crow
Adrian Houser
PHI vs SD 01:05 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Lucas Giolito
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST