Outlook Peter Lambert
Lambert Navigates Traffic as Depleted Astros Lean on Back-End Arms
Peter Lambert has settled in as a back-end starter for the fourth-place Astros (27-34), who are looking to bounce back after a recent loss. Over his last 30 days, Lambert has posted a solid 3.90 ERA over 30.0 innings, though his last 14 days have seen some regression with a 4.50 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. Despite the traffic, he remains a key part of the rotation with Houston's pitching staff heavily depleted by injuries to key arms like Cristian Javier, Lance McCullers Jr., and Hunter Brown.
Lambert's current 3.79 ERA on the season is a massive step forward from his career baseline, which includes a 6.09 ERA in 2024. Our models project him to finish with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP, suggesting some minor regression is coming. While his 1.20 WHIP over the last month is manageable, his walk rate (14 walks in his last 30 innings) is a red flag that could lead to trouble if his strand rate drops.
Lambert has a single scheduled start this week on June 5th at home against the Athletics. He will face J.T. Ginn, who has pitched well with a 2.87 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Given the single-start week and Oakland's capable matchup, Lambert is a risky option for shallow formats but remains a viable deep-league play if you need rotation volume. Verdict: Stream.
Updated 3 days ago
Latest News Peter Lambert
Outlook Shane Baz
Shane Baz Hits His Stride as a High-Upside Two-Start Pitcher
Shane Baz has completely turned his season around, posting a stellar 1.38 ERA and 15 strikeouts over his last two starts. He slots in as a solid mid-rotation staple for the fourth-place Orioles, whose starting depth is currently tested by injuries to Zach Eflin and Cade Povich. With his recent dominant nine-strikeout performance against the Rays, Baz is finally pitching like the front-line starter Baltimore expected.
While his early-season struggles left him with a 4.50 ERA on the year, our models project a much stronger rest-of-season run with a 4.13 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. His recent surge is backed by improved fastball command and the addition of a sinker, suggesting his current hot streak is sustainable. Expect him to comfortably outpace his previous career ratios as his control continues to sharpen.
Fantasy managers get a major boost this week as Baz is lined up for two starts, beginning Tuesday at Boston against Connelly Early before heading to Toronto on Sunday to duel Kevin Gausman. Though both AL East opponents present tough road matchups, our data projects him to register over 11 strikeouts across 13.1 innings this week. Fire him up with confidence as a premium option. Verdict: Start.
Updated 3 days ago
