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Josh Naylor or JJ Bleday

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor

1BSeattle Mariners SEA
JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday

LFCincinnati Reds CIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Naylor over Bleday

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor's Speed Surge Carries First-Place Mariners Into June

Naylor is hitting a clean .298 with eight stolen bases over his last 30 days, helping the first-place Mariners extend their six-game winning streak. He remains locked in as Seattle's everyday first baseman, especially with key teammate Cal Raleigh currently sidelined on the injured list. While his power has temporarily quieted with zero homers over his last 14 days, his high contact rate and surprising speed keep his fantasy floor incredibly high.

While Naylor's power has dipped compared to his career-high 31 home runs in 2024, his 12 steals in 56 games prove his 32-stolen-base breakout in 2025 was no fluke. Our models project him to finish the season with a solid .272 batting average and 20 home runs, suggesting a power rebound is right around the corner. Trust his secure workload and excellent contact profile to spark a return to form in the power columns.

Seattle plays six games this week, starting with three home matchups against the Mets before traveling to Detroit. Naylor will face some formidable opposing starters, including Freddy Peralta and Framber Valdez, but our projections expect a productive week with a .280 average and active base-running. He remains a must-start option in all default formats.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Josh Naylor
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bleday over Naylor

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook JJ Bleday

JJ Bleday is on an absolute tear, making him a must-start option for the upcoming week.

JJ Bleday has been on an absolute heater, slashing .417 with three home runs and six RBIs over his last six games to cement his everyday role as Cincinnati's starting left fielder. The fifth-place Reds (30-28) will lean heavily on his hot bat, especially with superstar shortstop Elly De La Cruz currently questionable due to a hamstring injury.

While Bleday's current .303 season average and nine home runs are spectacular, our models suggest regression is looming, projecting a .225 average for the rest of the year. However, his strong plate discipline and previous 20-homer campaign in Oakland suggest this breakout isn't entirely a fluke, meaning fantasy managers should continue riding his hot hand.

This week, the Reds play six total games, starting with three home matchups against Kansas City before heading to St. Louis. Bleday draws highly favorable early matchups against struggling pitchers like Luinder Avila (5.06 ERA) and Noah Cameron (4.61 ERA), making him an elite weekly play projected for nearly two home runs and five RBIs. Verdict: Start.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News JJ Bleday
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Performance Josh Naylor
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.158111.2000.31605
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250136.2860.325010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance JJ Bleday
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.348363.4000.82606
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.273475.3470.591011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Josh Naylor
OWN
92%
-3.15 compared to last week
START
60%
-15.73 compared to last week
OWN/START JJ Bleday
OWN
84%
+22.34 compared to last week
START
73%
+22.79 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Josh Naylor
9th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus JJ Bleday
44th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Josh Naylor

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 9th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 13th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 203rd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.296
  • Ranked 102nd in batting average with 0.276
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 156th with 0.336
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 188th with 0.393
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 175th with 0.729
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 186th with 12
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 214th in RBI with 23
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 236th in runs scored with 21
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.037, OBP: -0.031, HRs: -1, RBI: -12, Runs: -9, Wlks: EVEN, Stls: +3,
Breakdown JJ Bleday

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 45th among OF's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 44th.
  • The current leader among OF's is James Wood
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 187th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.301
  • Top 75 in batting average with 0.289 and is currently ranked 56th
  • Top 35 on base percentage and is currently ranked 33rd with 0.386
  • Among the best in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 6th with 0.620
  • Among the best in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 6th with 1.006
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 227th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 163rd in RBI with 27
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 264th in runs scored with 19
  • Top 100 in HRs and is currently ranked 92nd with 10
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.092, OBP: +0.097, HRs: +4, RBI: +9, Runs: -7, Wlks: -4, Stls: EVEN,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Josh Naylor

No Injury Reported

Injury JJ Bleday

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Josh Naylor
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS NYMGabe SpeierW 3-2
Jun 02VS NYMLogan GilbertW 8-3
Jun 03VS NYMFreddy PeraltaL 1-7
Jun 05@DETFramber Valdez
Jun 06@DETKeider Montero
Jun 07@DETJack Flaherty
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.143111.1430.57102
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups JJ Bleday
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS KCLuinder AvilaL 2-9
Jun 02VS KCBrock BurkeW 4-3
Jun 03VS KCDaniel Lynch IVL 2-5
Jun 05@STLKyle Leahy
Jun 06@STLMatthew Liberatore
Jun 07@STLMichael McGreevy
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.100111.1820.25005
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Josh Naylor
12.54
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating JJ Bleday
10.91
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Josh Naylor
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2019 SD 92 63 8 29 31 1 24 .249 .314 .403 156
2020 SD 41 29 2 16 9 1 4 .279 .312 .413 68
2021 CLE 67 59 7 28 21 1 14 .258 .306 .406 181
2022 CLE 118 114 21 47 77 5 33 .260 .316 .463 412
2023 CLE 121 140 17 52 97 10 33 .310 .356 .491 477
2024 CLE 161 146 31 86 113 6 59 .242 .315 .444 584
2025 ARI 158 176 23 88 97 32 52 .298 .358 .471 648
2026 SEA 58 57 6 21 25 12 20 .250 .313 .351 195
ON PACE 149 146 15 54 64 30 51 .250 .313 .351 501
3-YEAR AVG 147 154 24 75 102 16 48 .281 .341 .467 570
Career 816 784 115 367 470 68 239 .271 .329 .445
Career JJ Bleday
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2022 MIA 53 30 5 17 13 4 24 .172 .279 .328 109
2023 OAK 81 50 10 35 27 5 42 .195 .310 .355 214
2024 OAK 156 139 20 74 60 2 65 .243 .322 .437 484
2025 ATH 95 64 14 47 39 1 34 .208 .287 .401 249
2026 CIN 33 35 10 19 27 1 19 .289 .386 .620 147
ON PACE 87 92 26 50 71 2 50 .289 .386 .620 390
3-YEAR AVG 111 84 15 52 42 3 47 .223 .310 .409 316
Career 418 318 59 192 166 13 184 .222 .312 .417
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAD 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Justin Wrobleski
ATH @CHC 08:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Shota Imanaga
ATL vs TOR 07:15 EDT EST Chris Sale
Mason Fluharty
BAL @BOS 01:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brayan Bello
CLE @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Carlos Rodon
HOU vs PIT 08:10 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Jared Jones
KC @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Seth Lugo
Andrew Morris
MIL vs SF 02:10 EDT EST Coleman Crow
Adrian Houser
PHI vs SD 01:05 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Lucas Giolito
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST