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Matt Olson or Casey Schmitt

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Matt Olson

Matt Olson

1BAtlanta Braves ATL
Casey Schmitt

Casey Schmitt

1BSan Francisco Giants SF
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Olson over Schmitt

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Matt Olson

Power Surge Looming for Matt Olson Despite Recent Average Dip

Matt Olson continues to anchor the lineup as the everyday starter at first base for the first-place Braves, who lead the NL East with a 40-20 record. While Olson has struggled with a .208 batting average over his last 14 days, he still managed to blast two home runs over the past week. Atlanta's lineup is currently playing through some depth challenges with catchers Sean Murphy and Drake Baldwin sidelined on the injured list.

Despite hitting just .217 over the last 30 days, Olson's overall season baseline of 16 homers and a .261 average remains excellent. Our models project him to finish the year with 30 home runs and 97 RBIs, indicating that his recent batting average dip is a temporary slump rather than a long-term regression. Expect his power and run-producing metrics to normalize quickly given his elite career track record.

Atlanta hosts a six-game homestand this week, splitting series against Toronto and Pittsburgh. Olson will face tough matchups against Kevin Gausman (3.26 ERA) and Braxton Ashcraft (2.77 ERA), but he gets excellent bounce-back opportunities against Mitch Keller (4.35 ERA) and Bubba Chandler (5.02 ERA). He is an elite option for the week ahead, making him an absolute must-start.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Matt Olson
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Schmitt over Olson

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Casey Schmitt

Casey Schmitt's red-hot power surge and defensive versatility make him a must-start option.

Casey Schmitt is on an absolute tear, batting .288 with four home runs, 12 RBIs, and two stolen bases over his last 14 days. With outfielder Heliot Ramos sidelined due to a quad strain, Schmitt has grabbed everyday playing time as the primary left fielder for the fourth-place Giants (23-36), providing a crucial spark.

Schmitt has already clubbed 12 home runs in 2026, completely shattering our models' conservative eight-homer season projection. While his career average of .231 over his first three seasons suggests some regression is inevitable, his elite quality of contact and multi-position flexibility make this breakout highly sustainable.

The Giants have a seven-game road trip this week. While matchups against Milwaukee's Kyle Harrison (1.57 ERA) and Shane Drohan (2.63 ERA) are challenging, late-week dates against Cubs starters Ben Brown (1.92 ERA) and Jordan Wicks (15.63 ERA) offer immense fantasy upside. Our models project him for over two home runs this week. Start him.

Updated 3 days ago

Latest News Casey Schmitt
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Performance Matt Olson
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.385227.4070.69206
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.240348.2960.480012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Casey Schmitt
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.207021.2070.27616
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.2413116.2550.481212
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Matt Olson
OWN
100%
-0.01 compared to last week
START
98%
+1.6 compared to last week
OWN/START Casey Schmitt
OWN
92%
+5.51 compared to last week
START
87%
+11.74 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Matt Olson
2nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Casey Schmitt
28th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Matt Olson

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 3rd among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 2nd.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 245th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.283
  • Ranked 127th in batting average with 0.267
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 108th with 0.350
  • Top 20 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 18th with 0.552
  • Top 35 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 30th with 0.903
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 254th with 1
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 82nd with 26
  • Top 10 in RBI and is currently ranked 9th with 40
  • Top 15 in runs scored and is currently ranked 13th with 39
  • Top 15 in HRs and is currently ranked 13th with 15
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.036, OBP: +0.016, HRs: +5, RBI: +15, Runs: +11, Wlks: -5, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Casey Schmitt

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: DH 1B LF . However, he plays DH most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 28th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 16th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 198th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.299
  • Top 100 in batting average with 0.280 and is currently ranked 82nd
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 231st with 0.313
  • Top 25 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 25th with 0.540
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 55th with 0.853
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 149th with 4
  • Top 100 in RBI and is currently ranked 84th with 31
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 163rd in runs scored with 27
  • Top 75 in HRs and is currently ranked 51st with 12
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.084, OBP: +0.022, HRs: +12, RBI: +30, Runs: +25, Wlks: +2, Stls: +5,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Matt Olson

No Injury Reported

Injury Casey Schmitt

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Matt Olson
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02VS TORBryce ElderW 4-3
Jun 03VS TORGrant HolmesW 7-3
Jun 04VS TORMason Fluharty
Jun 05VS PITMitch Keller
Jun 06VS PITBraxton Ashcraft
Jun 07VS PITBubba Chandler
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.625114.6251.12502
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Casey Schmitt
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@MILChad PatrickL 16-2
Jun 02@MILKyle HarrisonL 8-3
Jun 03@MILLogan WebbW 0-1
Jun 04@MILColeman Crow
Jun 05@CHCBen Brown
Jun 06@CHCEdward Cabrera
Jun 07@CHCJameson Taillon
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.071000.0710.07103
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Matt Olson
21.60
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Casey Schmitt
11.06
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Matt Olson
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2016 OAK 10 2 0 2 0 0 6 .095 .296 .143 9
2017 OAK 56 49 24 32 44 0 20 .259 .346 .651 189
2018 OAK 160 143 29 85 84 2 70 .247 .335 .453 425
2019 OAK 127 130 36 73 91 0 50 .269 .352 .547 409
2020 OAK 67 44 15 31 42 1 39 .189 .308 .408 168
2021 OAK 153 150 39 99 109 4 87 .271 .373 .543 647
2022 ATL 155 145 34 85 104 0 80 .248 .340 .496 554
2023 ATL 166 176 54 128 139 1 105 .282 .387 .595 743
2024 ATL 164 149 29 78 98 0 71 .245 .330 .452 515
2025 ATL 162 170 29 98 95 1 91 .274 .369 .486 575
2026 ATL 62 66 17 45 46 1 28 .273 .351 .562 258
ON PACE 162 172 44 117 120 2 73 .273 .351 .562 674
3-YEAR AVG 164 165 37 101 111 1 89 .267 .363 .512 611
Career 1282 1224 306 756 852 10 647 .258 .352 .511
Career Casey Schmitt
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 SF 83 52 5 26 30 2 12 .206 .251 .325 172
2024 SF 37 27 6 11 15 0 3 .252 .277 .477 92
2025 SF 94 74 12 34 40 0 27 .237 .307 .401 237
2026 SF 54 59 12 27 33 5 7 .280 .318 .517 194
ON PACE 141 154 31 70 86 13 18 .280 .318 .517 506
3-YEAR AVG 71 51 8 24 28 1 14 .228 .281 .385 167
Career 268 212 35 98 118 7 49 .240 .290 .416
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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs LAD 09:40 EDT EST Ryne Nelson
Justin Wrobleski
ATH @CHC 08:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Shota Imanaga
ATL vs TOR 07:15 EDT EST Chris Sale
Mason Fluharty
BAL @BOS 01:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Brayan Bello
CLE @NYY 01:35 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Carlos Rodon
HOU vs PIT 08:10 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Jared Jones
KC @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Seth Lugo
Andrew Morris
MIL vs SF 02:10 EDT EST Coleman Crow
Adrian Houser
PHI vs SD 01:05 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Lucas Giolito
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
VGK @CAR 8:00 PM EST