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Spencer Horwitz or Caleb Durbin

Who Should I Start? - Week 16 • Start New
Spencer Horwitz

Spencer Horwitz

1BPittsburgh Pirates PIT
Caleb Durbin

Caleb Durbin

3BBoston Red Sox BOS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Horwitz over Durbin

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Spencer Horwitz

Spencer Horwitz's outstanding plate discipline and secure everyday role make him a highly productive corner infield option.

Spencer Horwitz has fully established himself as an everyday starter in the Pirates' lineup, primarily anchoring the first base position. At age 28, Horwitz is entering his physical prime and has demonstrated exceptional growth, securing a regular role after bouncing around in previous seasons. His superb plate discipline and high-contact approach have made him a staple near the top of Pittsburgh's batting order, providing a reliable source of runs and on-base percentage in a developing offense.

From a category standpoint, Horwitz's greatest asset is his elite ability to get on base. While our projections expected a modest 9 home runs and 31 RBIs over a partial season, he has already displayed surprising pop by reaching double-digit home runs early in the year, well ahead of his career baselines. Fantasy managers shouldn't expect him to be a major speed asset, but his potential to hover around a .280 batting average and push for a .390-plus on-base percentage makes him an incredibly safe ratio stabilizer.

Ultimately, Horwitz offers immense value in points leagues and OBP-focused formats where his high walk rate and low strikeout numbers are amplified. While he lacks the towering 30-homer upside of elite fantasy first basemen, his secure role and high-floor production make him a fantastic corner infield target or utility option who consistently outperforms his draft-day value.

Updated 18 hrs ago

Latest News Spencer Horwitz
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Durbin over Horwitz

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Caleb Durbin

Caleb Durbin is catching fire at the perfect time as injuries open up regular playing time in Boston's lineup.

Durbin has been absolutely red-hot lately, batting .324 with four home runs and two stolen bases over his last 11 games for the fifth-place Red Sox. With both Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Nick Sogard sidelined on the injured list, Durbin is fully locked in as Boston's primary starting third baseman for the foreseeable future.

This recent power surge is a stark departure from his disappointing .215 average on the year, but his elite .444 on-base percentage over the last week shows improved plate discipline. While some regression from this hot streak is inevitable, his path to regular playing time makes his projected 16 stolen bases and solid contact skills highly valuable.

Boston's seven-game week begins with an extremely lucrative three-game road trip in Colorado against struggling starters Ryan Feltner, Sean Sullivan, and Kyle Freeland before returning home to face the Yankees. Given these highly favorable matchups in Coors Field and his secure lineup spot, he is an excellent plug-and-play option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 18 hrs ago

Latest News Caleb Durbin
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Performance Spencer Horwitz
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.316127.4580.57905
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.2732610.3960.477011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Caleb Durbin
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.476244.5000.90526
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.368478.4000.763211
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Spencer Horwitz
OWN
43%
+4.1 compared to last week
START
25%
-12.33 compared to last week
OWN/START Caleb Durbin
OWN
27%
+9.69 compared to last week
START
22%
+11.83 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Spencer Horwitz
33rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Caleb Durbin
35th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Spencer Horwitz

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 34th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 7th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would. Can he keep this up?
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 183rd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.303
  • Top 75 in batting average with 0.292 and is currently ranked 67th
  • Top 35 on base percentage and is currently ranked 27th with 0.396
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 88th with 0.481
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 52nd with 0.877
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 290th with 1
  • Top 50 in walks and is currently ranked 50th with 28
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 159th in RBI with 28
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 143rd in runs scored with 28
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.038, OBP: +0.078, HRs: +9, RBI: +24, Runs: +22, Wlks: +29, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Caleb Durbin

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 36th among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 15th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Miguel Vargas
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 341st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.252
  • Ranked 220th in batting average with 0.243
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 344th with 0.278
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 158th with 0.426
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 230th with 0.704
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 277th with 7
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 227th in RBI with 22
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 279th in runs scored with 18
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.013, OBP: -0.046, HRs: +2, RBI: +4, Runs: EVEN, Wlks: EVEN, Stls: +1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Spencer Horwitz

No Injury Reported

Injury Caleb Durbin

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Spencer Horwitz
DateOpponentResult
Jun 23VS SEAGeorge Kirby
Jun 24VS SEABryan Woo
Jun 25VS SEABryce Miller
Jun 26VS CINAndrew Abbott
Jun 27VS CINChase Burns
Jun 28VS CINBrady Singer
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.211041.3480.26306
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Caleb Durbin
DateOpponentResult
Jun 22@COLVictor VodnikL 3-2
Jun 23@COLSean Sullivan
Jun 24@COLKyle Freeland
Jun 25VS NYYCam Schlittler
Jun 26VS NYYWill Warren
Jun 27VS NYYGerrit Cole
Jun 28VS NYYCarlos Rodon
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.150010.1900.20006
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Spencer Horwitz
9.35
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Caleb Durbin
8.10
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Spencer Horwitz
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 TOR 15 10 1 5 7 0 4 .256 .341 .385 34
2024 TOR 95 87 12 46 40 0 41 .268 .358 .437 296
2025 PIT 106 99 11 55 51 0 42 .272 .350 .434 339
2026 PIT 72 68 10 36 33 1 39 .283 .394 .463 255
ON PACE 149 141 20 74 68 2 81 .283 .394 .463 529
3-YEAR AVG 72 65 8 35 33 0 29 .269 .353 .433 223
Career 288 264 34 142 131 1 126 .273 .364 .440
Career Caleb Durbin
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2025 MIL 138 122 11 62 54 21 28 .257 .329 .388 450
2026 BOS 66 47 5 25 29 7 13 .215 .269 .361 192
ON PACE 140 100 10 53 61 14 27 .215 .269 .361 409
3-YEAR AVG 69 61 6 31 27 11 14 .257 .329 .388 225
Career 204 169 16 87 83 28 41 .244 .310 .380
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @STL 07:45 EDT EST Eduardo Rodriguez
Kyle Leahy
ATH @SF 09:45 EDT EST Aaron Civale
Robbie Ray
ATL @SD 09:40 EDT EST JR Ritchie
Griffin Canning
BAL @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Shane Baz
Ryan Johnson
BOS @COL 08:40 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Sean Sullivan
CHC @NYM 07:10 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Kodai Senga
CHW vs CLE 07:40 EDT EST Sean Burke
Parker Messick
CIN vs MIL 07:10 EDT EST Nick Lodolo
Brandon Sproat
DET vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Casey Mize
Carlos Rodon
HOU @TOR 04:07 EDT EST Peter Lambert
Shane Bieber
KC @TB 06:40 EDT EST Luinder Avila
Shane McClanahan
LAD @MIN 07:40 EDT EST Justin Wrobleski
Kendry Rojas
MIA vs TEX 06:40 EDT EST Sandy Alcantara
Cal Quantrill
PHI @WAS 06:45 EDT EST Jesus Luzardo
Zack Littell
PIT vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST Mitch Keller
George Kirby
Matchup Time
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Matchup Time
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