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Brandon Valenzuela or Spencer Arrighetti

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Brandon Valenzuela

Brandon Valenzuela

CToronto Blue Jays TOR
Spencer Arrighetti

Spencer Arrighetti

SPHouston Astros HOU
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Valenzuela over Arrighetti

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Brandon Valenzuela

Brandon Valenzuela is catching fire as Toronto's everyday starter, making him a highly coveted catcher option.

Valenzuela has been tearing the cover off the ball, hitting .400 with three home runs over his last seven days for the third-place Blue Jays, who are currently on a two-game winning streak. With Alejandro Kirk still sidelined on the injured list with a thumb fracture, Valenzuela has firmly secured his role as Toronto's everyday catcher.

While his 1.604 OPS over the last week is unsustainable, his overall season growth is highly encouraging. He is currently outperforming his career .256 batting average, but his excellent contact skills and strong underlying hard-hit data suggest he will remain a highly productive fantasy asset even when his hot streak cools down.

The Blue Jays have a six-game home stretch this week, though they face tough matchups against the Phillies and Yankees. While squaring off against elite arms like Zack Wheeler and Cristopher Sanchez caps his upside, Valenzuela's volume and red-hot bat make him a viable option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Brandon Valenzuela
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Arrighetti over Valenzuela

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Spencer Arrighetti

Spencer Arrighetti enters a lucrative two-start week looking to rebound from a brief hiccup after a historic May run.

Spencer Arrighetti had a historic May, earning AL Pitcher of the Month honors, but recently stumbled in a four-inning, four-run outing against the Pirates. Despite that hiccup, the 26-year-old holds a sterling 1.97 ERA over 50.3 innings this season. With multiple rotation injuries hitting the fourth-place Astros, Arrighetti is locked in as a vital number-two starter.

While Arrighetti's sub-2.00 ERA is incredible, our models expect regression toward his 4.60 projected ERA and 1.36 WHIP. His high career ratios (including a 5.05 ERA in 2024) suggest his current pace is unsustainable, but his solid strikeout rate keeps his fantasy floor high. Expect him to settle in as a reliable mid-rotation asset rather than a true front-line ace.

Arrighetti is primed for a lucrative two-start week on the road, beginning against the Angels and Grayson Rodriguez, who carries a 10.00 ERA. He closes the week on Sunday against the Royals and Stephen Kolek. Our weekly projection forecasts 12.0 innings with a stellar 2.52 ERA and 8.9 strikeouts, making him an easy start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Spencer Arrighetti
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Performance Brandon Valenzuela
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.353364.4211.00006
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.290365.3710.677010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Spencer Arrighetti
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.300-0001051.502
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.501-0001361.193
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Brandon Valenzuela
OWN
24%
+16.89 compared to last week
START
22%
+16.55 compared to last week
OWN/START Spencer Arrighetti
OWN
89%
+1.05 compared to last week
START
69%
+27.9 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Brandon Valenzuela
40th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Spencer Arrighetti
70th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Brandon Valenzuela

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 40th among C's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 12th.
  • The current leader among C's is Shea Langeliers
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would. Can he keep this up?
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 262nd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.278
  • Ranked 144th in batting average with 0.261
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 107th with 0.352
  • Top 75 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 62nd with 0.495
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 64th with 0.847
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 344th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 302nd in RBI with 16
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 282nd in runs scored with 17
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.252, OBP: +0.338, HRs: +7, RBI: +16, Runs: +17, Wlks: +16, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Spencer Arrighetti

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 70th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 13th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is performing amazing in the past 30 days. Will he keep it up?
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 58th with 1.19
  • Top 15 in ERA and is currently ranked 12th with 2.24
  • He walks a lot of batters and is currently ranked 2nd with 31
  • He wins a lot of games and is currently ranked 2nd with 7
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +6, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.202, ERA: -3.66, K's: +45, Walks: +26
Next Up Health Check
Injury Brandon Valenzuela

No Injury Reported

Injury Spencer Arrighetti

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Brandon Valenzuela
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08VS PHICristopher SanchezL 2-5
Jun 09VS PHIZack Wheeler
Jun 10VS PHIJesus Luzardo
Jun 12VS NYYRyan Weathers
Jun 13VS NYYCam Schlittler
Jun 14VS NYYWill Warren
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.231001.2140.23104
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Spencer Arrighetti
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@LAAJosh HaderW 4-5
Jun 09@LAAWalbert Urena
Jun 10@LAAReid Detmers
Jun 12@KCLuinder Avila
Jun 13@KCNoah Cameron
Jun 14@KCStephen Kolek
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.500-000741.331
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Brandon Valenzuela
6.55
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Spencer Arrighetti
11.96
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Brandon Valenzuela
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2026 TOR 41 30 7 17 16 1 16 .252 .338 .471 118
ON PACE 99 72 16 41 38 2 38 .252 .338 .471 285
3-YEAR AVG . . . 0
Career 41 30 7 17 16 1 16 .252 .338 .471
Career Spencer Arrighetti
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 HOU 29 142.2 2505 171 65 0 7-13 4.98 1.44 10.8 279
2025 HOU 7 35.1 618 31 20 0 1-5 5.35 1.42 7.9 42
2026 HOU 10 57.0 935 53 31 0 7-1 2.21 1.18 8.4 165
ON PACE 23 136 2227 126 73 0 16-2 2.21 1.18 8.4 391
3-YEAR AVG 18 87 1562 101 43 0 4-9 5.11 1.45 10.3 161
Career 46 232.2 4058 255 116 0 0-0 4.41 1.38 9.9
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Zac Gallen
Max Meyer
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Robert Gasser
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Brandon Eisert
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Logan Gilbert
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Nick Martinez
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Colin Rea
Tomoyuki Sugano
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST Chase Burns
Lucas Giolito
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Gerrit Cole
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Troy Melton
Taj Bradley
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Walbert Urena
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Nathan Eovaldi
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Paul Skenes
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Freddy Peralta
Dustin May
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Dylan Cease
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST Adrian Houser
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST