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Ildemaro Vargas or Jake Bauers

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Ildemaro Vargas

Ildemaro Vargas

1BArizona Diamondbacks ARI
Jake Bauers

Jake Bauers

1BMilwaukee Brewers MIL
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Vargas over Bauers

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Ildemaro Vargas

Vargas Cold Spell Deepens Following Scary Collision

Ildemaro Vargas has gone completely ice-cold, failing to record a hit in his last eight at-bats and batting just .100 over his last 14 days. This slump closely followed a scary June 4th collision that left him with rib and thigh bruises, though he has managed to avoid the injured list. With Carlos Santana sidelined, Vargas remains the primary everyday starter at first base for the third-place Diamondbacks.

While Vargas was the talk of baseball following his historic 27-game hitting streak and April Player of the Month honors, regression has hit him hard. He is still batting a solid .275 on the year, but our models project him to hit closer to .246 over the rest of the season. Expect his elite early-season average to continue normalizing toward his career baselines, meaning his current slump is a harsh correction rather than a permanent collapse.

Arizona finishes the week with four road games, including matchups against vulnerable Cincinnati starters Nick Lodolo and Rhett Lowder, who both carry ERAs over 5.00. Despite these highly favorable matchups, Vargas's active slump and virtually non-existent walk rate make him too risky to start right now. Bench him until he shows signs of snapping out of his current funk. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Ildemaro Vargas
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bauers over Vargas

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jake Bauers

Jake Bauers continues his spectacular breakout campaign as a must-start corner infielder.

Playing as the everyday first baseman for the first-place Brewers (41-25), Bauers is enjoying a monster stretch, hitting .353 with two home runs and nine walks over his last six games. His incredible June surge has even sparked an intense All-Star voting push in Milwaukee, cementing his status as an indispensable lineup mainstay.

While his YTD .277 average and 12 home runs far exceed his sub-.210 career marks, his elite YTD .376 on-base percentage and vastly improved plate clarity suggest this breakout has staying power. Our models project a more conservative .213 average rest-of-season, but his locked-in everyday role keeps his fantasy floor high.

Looking at the remainder of the week, the Brewers host a three-game weekend set against Philadelphia. Bauers gets two highly favorable matchups against Andrew Painter (6.21 ERA) and Aaron Nola (5.86 ERA) before a tough Sunday finale against Cristopher Sanchez, making him an excellent option to insert into weekly lineups. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Jake Bauers
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Performance Ildemaro Vargas
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.000001.1820.00004
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.107001.2190.107011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Jake Bauers
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.286375.5450.92915
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.26351511.4620.711112
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Ildemaro Vargas
OWN
46%
-18.34 compared to last week
START
30%
+1.55 compared to last week
OWN/START Jake Bauers
OWN
87%
+17.3 compared to last week
START
81%
+15.24 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Ildemaro Vargas
33rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Jake Bauers
31st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Ildemaro Vargas

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B 2B . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 33rd among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 18th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is doing better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 359th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.247
  • Ranked 194th in batting average with 0.250
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 326th with 0.286
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 216th with 0.388
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 252nd with 0.675
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 507th with 1
  • Top 100 in RBI and is currently ranked 77th with 32
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 189th in runs scored with 24
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.9 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.16, OBP: +0.197, HRs: +7, RBI: +36, Runs: +30, Wlks: +10, Stls: +1,
Breakdown Jake Bauers

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B LF . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 32nd among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 12th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 75 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.358 and is currently ranked 64th
  • Top 75 in batting average with 0.294 and is currently ranked 55th
  • Top 25 on base percentage and is currently ranked 22nd with 0.399
  • Top 35 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 33rd with 0.531
  • Top 20 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 16th with 0.930
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 136th with 3
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 85th with 26
  • Top 50 in RBI and is currently ranked 43rd with 34
  • Top 100 in runs scored and is currently ranked 93rd with 31
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.048, OBP: +0.052, HRs: +7, RBI: +25, Runs: +27, Wlks: +16, Stls: +1,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Ildemaro Vargas

No Injury Reported

Injury Jake Bauers

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Ildemaro Vargas
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09@MIAPete FairbanksL 10-6
Jun 10@MIAWilliam KempnerL 8-0
Jun 11@MIATyler PhillipsL 2-0
Jun 12@CINKevin GinkelW 2-5
Jun 13@CINRhett Lowder
Jun 14@CINAndrew Abbott
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.000001.2220.00002
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Jake Bauers
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@ATHAbner UribeW 14-15
Jun 09@ATHJ.T. GinnL 7-5
Jun 10@ATHScott BarlowL 4-3
Jun 12VS PHIJacob MisiorowskiW 6-0
Jun 13VS PHIAaron Nola
Jun 14VS PHICristopher Sanchez
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.231263.4120.69204
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Ildemaro Vargas
9.46
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Jake Bauers
11.70
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Ildemaro Vargas
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2017 ARI 9 4 0 4 4 0 0 .308 .308 .385 12
2018 ARI 13 4 1 2 4 1 1 .211 .250 .368 14
2019 ARI 81 54 6 25 24 1 9 .269 .299 .413 131
2020 ARI 20 10 1 5 3 0 2 .196 .222 .314 21
2021 CHC 34 12 0 7 7 1 6 .156 .217 .221 56
2022 CHC 51 46 3 14 19 3 8 .274 .311 .405 146
2023 WAS 80 65 4 29 30 1 17 .252 .296 .364 228
2024 WAS 88 67 1 21 29 9 18 .246 .290 .316 229
2025 ARI 36 31 3 12 19 0 2 .274 .291 .389 100
2026 ARI 59 60 7 31 37 1 10 .271 .305 .425 211
ON PACE 138 140 16 72 86 2 23 .271 .305 .425 495
3-YEAR AVG 68 54 3 21 26 3 12 .253 .293 .348 186
Career 471 353 26 150 176 17 73 .253 .290 .369
Career Jake Bauers
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2018 TB 95 65 10 48 48 7 54 .201 .316 .375 233
2019 CLE 114 84 12 46 43 4 44 .226 .311 .371 222
2021 CLE 106 56 4 24 19 5 24 .206 .273 .276 180
2023 NYY 81 49 12 28 30 3 26 .202 .277 .413 176
2024 MIL 106 62 13 43 44 13 31 .201 .285 .370 235
2025 MIL 83 47 8 29 30 8 29 .240 .341 .413 197
2026 MIL 59 57 13 40 46 5 31 .278 .378 .527 237
ON PACE 142 137 31 96 111 12 74 .278 .378 .527 573
3-YEAR AVG 90 53 11 33 35 8 29 .212 .297 .395 203
Career 644 420 72 258 260 45 239 .219 .309 .384
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST Michael Soroka
Rhett Lowder
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST Joey Estes
Kyle Freeland
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST Martin Perez
Sean Manaea
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST Trey Gibson
Randy Vasquez
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Jacob deGrom
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST Ben Brown
Trevor McDonald
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST Sean Burke
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST Joey Cantillo
Tarik Skubal
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST Mike Burrows
Noah Cameron
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST Jose Soriano
Griffin Jax
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST Lake Bachar
Bubba Chandler
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST Shane Drohan
Aaron Nola
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST Connor Prielipp
Matthew Liberatore
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Cam Schlittler
Kevin Gausman
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST Luis Castillo
Cade Cavalli
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled