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Curtis Mead or Josh Naylor

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Curtis Mead

Curtis Mead

1BWashington Nationals WAS
Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor

1BSeattle Mariners SEA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Mead over Naylor

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Curtis Mead

Mead's Surging Power Outburst Secures Everyday Role in Washington

Curtis Mead is carving out a secure, everyday role in Washington's lineup, primarily serving as the starting third baseman while providing valuable defensive flexibility at first and second. At just 25 years old and entering his fourth big-league season, the young infielder has historically struggled with a low launch angle, but recent mechanical adjustments have unlocked a significant power surge. His development and solid defense have solidified his spot in the heart of the Nationals' batting order.

Our models project Mead for 10 home runs, 42 RBIs, and a .238/.307/.362 slash line over his remaining 80 projected at-bats. While his career average sits closer to .240, his improved plate discipline (highlighted by a projected .307 OBP) and neutral batting average profile make him a stabilizing presence rather than a risk. If he maintains his strong metrics against right-handed pitching, his run and RBI counting stats will continue to climb in a surprisingly productive Washington offense.

For fantasy managers, Mead represents an intriguing post-hype sleeper who has finally secured the volume required to be relevant in mixed leagues. He won't provide much in the speed category, but his potential to chip in double-digit home runs with dual-position eligibility makes him an excellent corner-infield target. He offers a very safe playing-time floor with room for significant ceiling if his newfound fly-ball revolution fully takes root.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Curtis Mead
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Naylor over Mead

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor Surges with Power and Surprising Speed for First-Place Mariners

Josh Naylor is locked in as the everyday starter at first base for the first-place Mariners, who lead the AL West with a 36-33 record. Over his last seven days, Naylor has been on fire, batting .360 with one home run and six RBIs, highlighted by a go-ahead grand slam on June 8th. He is carrying an even larger offensive burden right now with key teammates J.P. Crawford and Cal Raleigh currently sidelined on the injured list.

While Naylor's current season average sits at .261, his hot stretch aligns well with our rest-of-season projection of a .272 mark, 20 home runs, and 72 RBIs. His surprising speed is also entirely legitimate, as he has already swiped 13 bags this year after stolen-base success in 2025. Expect his robust across-the-board contributions to remain steady, making his current surge sustainable.

The Mariners face a highly favorable road schedule to close out the week, featuring matchups against Baltimore's Kyle Bradish (4.15 ERA) followed by Nationals starters Zack Littell (4.76 ERA) and Miles Mikolas (5.83 ERA). Given these generous opposing pitching ratios and Naylor's scorching form, he is an elite option for your lineups. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Josh Naylor
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Performance Curtis Mead
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.182233.2500.50006
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.220276.2890.415012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Josh Naylor
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.267275.3330.50017
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.245387.3020.469112
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Curtis Mead
OWN
39%
+1.81 compared to last week
START
29%
+1.95 compared to last week
OWN/START Josh Naylor
OWN
93%
+1.54 compared to last week
START
83%
+9.14 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Curtis Mead
24th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Josh Naylor
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Curtis Mead

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 1B 3B . However, he plays 1B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 25th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 25th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • Wow, would you look at that. The experts got it right on the money.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 391st in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.231
  • Ranked 268th in batting average with 0.231
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 160th with 0.337
  • Top 100 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 90th with 0.476
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 103rd with 0.813
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 338th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 189th in RBI with 24
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 162nd in runs scored with 27
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.021, OBP: +0.06, HRs: +7, RBI: +22, Runs: +24, Wlks: +18, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Josh Naylor

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 10th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 4th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up better numbers than the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 153rd in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.314
  • Top 50 in batting average with 0.300 and is currently ranked 48th
  • Top 100 on base percentage and is currently ranked 95th with 0.357
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 115th with 0.453
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 107th with 0.811
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 113th with 13
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 132nd in RBI with 30
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 193rd in runs scored with 25
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.046, OBP: -0.036, HRs: -1, RBI: -15, Runs: -7, Wlks: +1, Stls: +4,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Curtis Mead

No Injury Reported

Injury Josh Naylor

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Curtis Mead
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@SFClayton BeeterW 3-4
Jun 09@SFBrad LordW 3-6
Jun 10@SFReiver SanmartinL 11-10
Jun 12VS SEABryce MillerL 2-10
Jun 13VS SEALuis Castillo
Jun 14VS SEAEmerson Hancock
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.136233.1740.40907
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Josh Naylor
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@BALEmerson HancockW 3-6
Jun 09@BALJose A. FerrerW 5-6
Jun 10@BALBrandon YoungL 7-2
Jun 11@BALTyler WellsL 7-5
Jun 12@WASBryce MillerW 2-10
Jun 13@WASCade Cavalli
Jun 14@WASMiles Mikolas
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.238263.3040.52415
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Curtis Mead
9.12
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Josh Naylor
12.87
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Curtis Mead
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 TB 26 23 1 12 6 0 7 .258 .327 .348 59
2024 TB 38 29 1 10 7 2 6 .238 .282 .287 70
2025 TB 86 56 3 25 18 5 15 .233 .298 .321 168
2026 WAS 55 40 10 31 29 3 24 .238 .344 .476 191
ON PACE 127 92 23 71 67 6 55 .238 .344 .476 442
3-YEAR AVG 50 36 2 16 10 2 9 .239 .299 .317 99
Career 205 148 15 78 60 10 52 .239 .312 .360
Career Josh Naylor
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2019 SD 92 63 8 29 31 1 24 .249 .314 .403 156
2020 SD 41 29 2 16 9 1 4 .279 .312 .413 68
2021 CLE 67 59 7 28 21 1 14 .258 .306 .406 181
2022 CLE 118 114 21 47 77 5 33 .260 .316 .463 412
2023 CLE 121 140 17 52 97 10 33 .310 .356 .491 477
2024 CLE 161 146 31 86 113 6 59 .242 .315 .444 584
2025 ARI 158 176 23 88 97 32 52 .298 .358 .471 648
2026 SEA 66 67 8 27 32 13 23 .256 .321 .374 235
ON PACE 150 152 18 61 73 29 52 .256 .321 .374 536
3-YEAR AVG 147 154 24 75 102 16 48 .281 .341 .467 570
Career 824 794 117 373 477 69 242 .271 .330 .446
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @CIN 04:10 EDT EST Michael Soroka
Rhett Lowder
ATH vs COL 10:05 EDT EST Joey Estes
Kyle Freeland
ATL @NYM 04:10 EDT EST Martin Perez
Sean Manaea
BAL vs SD 04:05 EDT EST Trey Gibson
Randy Vasquez
BOS vs TEX 04:10 EDT EST Ranger Suarez
Jacob deGrom
CHC @SF 10:05 EDT EST Ben Brown
Trevor McDonald
CHW vs LAD 04:10 EDT EST Sean Burke
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
CLE vs DET 04:10 EDT EST Joey Cantillo
Tarik Skubal
HOU @KC 07:10 EDT EST Mike Burrows
Noah Cameron
LAA vs TB 10:07 EDT EST Jose Soriano
Griffin Jax
MIA @PIT 04:05 EDT EST Lake Bachar
Bubba Chandler
MIL vs PHI 07:10 EDT EST Shane Drohan
Aaron Nola
MIN vs STL 02:10 EDT EST Connor Prielipp
Matthew Liberatore
NYY @TOR 03:07 EDT EST Cam Schlittler
Kevin Gausman
SEA @WAS 04:05 EDT EST Luis Castillo
Cade Cavalli
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled