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Aaron Nola or Michael Soroka

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola

SPPhiladelphia Phillies PHI
Michael Soroka

Michael Soroka

SPArizona Diamondbacks ARI
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Nola over Soroka

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Aaron Nola

Aaron Nola looks to find his footing after a rocky stretch and a brief paternity leave.

Nola recently returned from the paternity list but continues to battle consistency on the mound, posting a 7.20 ERA and 1.53 WHIP over his last 30 days. Despite his personal struggles, he remains a key part of the rotation for the second-place Phillies, who boast a solid 35-30 record. He is fully healthy and locked into his starting role.

Nola's current 6.06 ERA and 1.50 WHIP on the season are a far cry from his career standards, but underlying metrics suggest better days are ahead. Our models project a strong rest-of-season bounce-back, expecting him to finish with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Trust his elite durability and track record rather than cutting bait during this rough patch.

Nola is scheduled for one start this week on Saturday on the road against the first-place Brewers. He matches up against Shane Drohan, who sports a clean 3.11 ERA. Given Nola's ongoing ratio issues and a difficult opposing lineup, we recommend benching him in shallower formats this week. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Aaron Nola
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Soroka over Nola

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Michael Soroka

Michael Soroka's Desert Renaissance Continues to Pay Off for Fantasy Managers

Michael Soroka has been a revelation for the second-place Diamondbacks, posting a stellar 2.48 ERA and 0.88 WHIP over his last 30 days. The healthy right-hander has solidified his role in Arizona's starting rotation, especially with Corbin Burnes sidelined on the injured list. He enters the week riding high after yielding just one run over seven innings in his most recent outing.

While our rest-of-season models project some regression toward a 4.19 ERA and 1.28 WHIP, Soroka's improved command and 1.17 WHIP on the year show his step forward is legitimate. His 4.24 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 2026 is a massive leap from his career baselines, indicating that his current success is highly sustainable. Expect him to remain a productive mid-rotation fantasy asset.

Soroka is scheduled for a single road start on Saturday against the Reds, squaring off against Rhett Lowder, who carries a vulnerable 5.01 ERA. Cincinnati's hitter-friendly park poses some risk, but our weekly model projects a strong seven-inning performance with five strikeouts. Lock him into your lineups as a confident start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Michael Soroka
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Performance Aaron Nola
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.920-0001241.542
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.361-0001741.133
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Michael Soroka
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.461-1001230.922
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.322-1001530.843
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Aaron Nola
OWN
60%
+5.06 compared to last week
START
44%
+9.46 compared to last week
OWN/START Michael Soroka
OWN
88%
+3.43 compared to last week
START
61%
-6.65 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Aaron Nola
99th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Michael Soroka
93rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Aaron Nola

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 100th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 156th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is doing dreadful lately. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 158th in WHIP with 1.65
  • Currently ranked 163rd in ERA with 6.92
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 59th with 18
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 1.7 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: -3, WHIP: -0.096, ERA: -0.449, K's: +16, Walks: +6
Breakdown Michael Soroka

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 94th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 17th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Super human effort in the past 30 days. If he can keep it up, then keep him. . otherwise think trade.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 56th with 1.17
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 63rd with 3.74
  • Top 75 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 61st with 59
  • Top 15 in wins and is currently ranked 11th with 6
  • Top 50 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 38th with 64.0
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +5, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.021, ERA: -1.679, K's: +37, Walks: +10
Next Up Health Check
Injury Aaron Nola

No Injury Reported

Injury Michael Soroka

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Aaron Nola
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@TORCristopher SanchezW 2-5
Jun 09@TORDylan Cease
Jun 10@TORMax Scherzer
Jun 12@MILJacob Misiorowski
Jun 13@MILShane Drohan
Jun 14@MILKyle Harrison
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Michael Soroka
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09@MIAMax Meyer
Jun 10@MIARyan Gusto
Jun 11@MIATyler Phillips
Jun 12@CINNick Lodolo
Jun 13@CINRhett Lowder
Jun 14@CINAndrew Abbott
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Aaron Nola
9.52
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Michael Soroka
12.96
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Aaron Nola
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2015 PHI 13 77.2 1117 68 19 0 6-2 3.59 1.2 7.9 188
2016 PHI 20 111.0 1796 121 29 0 6-9 4.95 1.32 9.8 263
2017 PHI 27 168.0 2665 184 49 0 12-11 3.54 1.21 9.9 451
2018 PHI 33 210.0 3212 224 58 0 17-6 2.4 0.99 9.6 632
2019 PHI 34 200.0 3332 229 80 0 12-7 3.92 1.28 10.3 500
2020 PHI 11 65.1 1060 84 23 0 5-5 3.44 1.13 11.6 176
2021 PHI 32 182.1 2971 223 39 0 9-9 4.59 1.12 11 427
2022 PHI 35 219.0 3256 246 29 0 12-14 3.45 0.98 10.1 547
2023 PHI 36 212.0 3427 225 49 0 15-10 4.33 1.16 9.6 512
2024 PHI 34 202.0 3275 205 52 0 14-9 3.74 1.22 9.1 496
2025 PHI 18 96.1 1599 100 28 0 5-10 5.89 1.33 9.3 159
2026 PHI 13 66.0 1164 68 22 0 3-4 5.86 1.45 9.3 116
ON PACE 31 162 2857 166 54 0 7-9 5.86 1.45 9.3 284
3-YEAR AVG 29 169 2767 177 43 0 11-10 4.39 1.22 9.4 389
Career 306 1795.2 28874 1977 477 0 0-0 3.98 1.18 9.9
Career Michael Soroka
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 ATL 7 32.1 537 29 12 0 2-2 6.4 1.45 8.1 50
2024 CHW 25 77.1 1442 84 44 0 0-10 4.89 1.42 9.8 99
2025 WAS 24 89.0 1572 96 31 0 3-8 4.85 1.21 9.7 164
2026 ARI 13 74.0 1188 72 17 0 8-3 3.28 1.15 8.8 194
ON PACE 32 185 2960 179 42 0 19-7 3.28 1.15 8.8 482
3-YEAR AVG 19 65 1184 70 29 0 2-7 5.16 1.33 9.5 104
Career 69 270.1 4739 281 104 0 0-0 4.66 1.29 9.4
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Zac Gallen
Max Meyer
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Robert Gasser
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Brandon Eisert
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Logan Gilbert
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Nick Martinez
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Colin Rea
Tomoyuki Sugano
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST Chase Burns
Lucas Giolito
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Gerrit Cole
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Troy Melton
Taj Bradley
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Walbert Urena
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Nathan Eovaldi
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Paul Skenes
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Freddy Peralta
Dustin May
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Dylan Cease
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST Adrian Houser
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST