Outlook Rhett Lowder
Rhett Lowder returns from the injured list to make a risky weekend start against Arizona.
Reds rookie Rhett Lowder is nearing a return to the rotation after throwing a simulated game and completing rehab following an injury that sidelined him in May. Cincinnati, currently sitting in fifth place in the NL Central and riding a four-game losing streak, desperately needs rotation stability. He is expected to join the active staff this weekend, immediately slotting into the back half of the starting rotation.
Before his injury, the 24-year-old was struggling with a 5.12 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over nine starts, showing significant regression from his stellar 2024 debut. Our models project a slightly improved rest-of-season path with a 4.44 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. However, until he curbs his high walk rates, he remains a volatile asset with a wide range of outcomes.
Lowder is projected to make just one start this week, scheduled for Saturday at home against the Diamondbacks. He will face Michael Soroka in a challenging matchup, and our projection expects a modest five-inning outing with elevated ratio risks. Given the threat of rust and a tough opponent, fantasy managers should leave him on the bench. Sit him.
Updated 1 day ago
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Outlook Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea shows signs of stabilization, but a tough matchup limits his weekly appeal
Manaea has settled down recently, posting a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over his last 12.0 innings. This is a big boost for the fifth-place Mets (29-36), who are navigating multiple rotation injuries. Currently slotting in as the number four starter in the rotation, Manaea's role is secure for now.
While his 3.12 ERA over the last 30 days is promising, regression is likely. Our models project Manaea for a 4.40 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over 133.0 innings this season. This is much closer to his career baselines, suggesting fantasy managers should remain cautious.
Looking ahead, Manaea has one scheduled start on June 12 against division rival Atlanta. He faces a tough opponent in Spencer Strider, who holds a 4.00 ERA. Our weekly model projects Manaea for 4.1 innings with a 3.46 ERA, making him a risky option. Verdict: Sit.
Updated 1 day ago
