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Luis Castillo or Cade Cavalli

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Luis Castillo

Luis Castillo

SPSeattle Mariners SEA
Cade Cavalli

Cade Cavalli

SPWashington Nationals WAS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Castillo over Cavalli

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Luis Castillo

Luis Castillo Finds His Groove with Dominant Stretch Ahead of Washington Matchup

Luis Castillo is locked in, boasting a stellar 1.27 ERA and 0.77 WHIP over his last 14.2 innings. Despite earlier frustration with Seattle's piggyback pitching strategy, the veteran right-hander remains a key cog for the first-place Mariners, who lead the division with a 34-32 record. He continues to deliver high-quality frames even as the team manages injuries to key players like catcher Cal Raleigh.

While Castillo's overall 2026 stats show a bloated 5.35 ERA and 1.39 WHIP, his recent surge is a clear indicator of regression toward his career norms. Our models project him to stabilize with a 3.76 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over 177.0 projected innings this season. His 30 strikeouts over his last 25.5 innings demonstrate that his swing-and-miss stuff has fully returned, making his early-season struggles a thing of the past.

Castillo is scheduled for a single start this week on June 13th on the road against the Nationals. He matches up against Cade Cavalli, who enters the contest with a beatable 3.88 ERA and a high 1.44 WHIP. Armed with excellent recent form and a highly favorable matchup, Castillo should be locked into all lineups. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Luis Castillo
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Cavalli over Castillo

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Cade Cavalli

Cavalli settling in as Washington's staff anchor with strong strikeout upside

Serving as the staff anchor for the third-place Nationals (33-33), Cavalli has taken on a heavy burden with rotation mates Josiah Gray and Jake Irvin currently on the injured list. Over his last 30 days, the young right-hander has excelled with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP, showcasing frontline capability despite a minor speed bump in his most recent outing.

While our models project a 4.20 ERA and 1.34 WHIP over 137.0 innings for the season, Cavalli's underlying progress is highly encouraging. His strikeout upside is very real, supported by 36 strikeouts over his last 34.1 innings, suggesting his recent success is a sustainable step forward rather than a flash in the pan.

Cavalli is slated for a single home start this week on June 13 against Seattle. He draws a highly favorable matchup against Mariners starter Luis Castillo, who has struggled to a 5.53 ERA and 1.43 WHIP over 53.7 innings. Given the soft matchup and his elite strikeout potential, he is an excellent fantasy option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Cade Cavalli
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Performance Luis Castillo
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.730-000510.581
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.761-000830.692
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Cade Cavalli
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.200-100211.601
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.941-1001561.443
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Luis Castillo
OWN
67%
+14.87 compared to last week
START
53%
+15.88 compared to last week
OWN/START Cade Cavalli
OWN
54%
-15.21 compared to last week
START
37%
-20.27 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Luis Castillo
104th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Cade Cavalli
81st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Luis Castillo

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 105th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 116th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 111th in WHIP with 1.43
  • Currently ranked 141st in ERA with 5.79
  • Top 50 in walks and is currently ranked 40th with 20
  • Currently ranked 134th in wins with 2
  • His average points in the past two weeks have increased by 2.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -2, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.04, ERA: +1.836, K's: +1, Walks: EVEN
Breakdown Cade Cavalli

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 82nd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 54th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would. Can he keep this up?
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 119th in WHIP with 1.45
  • Top 100 in ERA and is currently ranked 87th
  • Top 100 in walks and is currently ranked 85th with 16
  • Top 50 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 43rd with 65
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 91st
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +4, WHIP: +1.45, ERA: +3.9, K's: +76, Walks: +25
Next Up Health Check
Injury Luis Castillo

No Injury Reported

Injury Cade Cavalli

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Luis Castillo
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@BALEmerson HancockW 3-6
Jun 09@BALTrevor Rogers
Jun 10@BALBrandon Young
Jun 11@BALKyle Bradish
Jun 12@WASZack Littell
Jun 13@WASCade Cavalli
Jun 14@WASMiles Mikolas
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Cade Cavalli
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@SFClayton BeeterW 3-4
Jun 09@SFAdrian Houser
Jun 10@SFRobbie Ray
Jun 12VS SEABryce Miller
Jun 13VS SEALuis Castillo
Jun 14VS SEAEmerson Hancock
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.250-000501.751
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Luis Castillo
9.81
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Cade Cavalli
9.68
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Luis Castillo
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2017 NYM 15 89.1 1484 98 32 0 3-7 3.12 1.07 9.9 234
2018 CIN 31 165.0 2778 165 49 0 10-12 4.42 1.25 9 393
2019 CIN 32 188.1 3158 226 79 0 15-8 3.49 1.16 10.8 524
2020 CIN 14 81.1 1349 104 27 0 5-7 3.32 1.25 11.5 214
2021 CIN 31 177.2 2964 178 70 0 7-16 4.1 1.34 9 339
2022 CIN 27 152.0 2524 163 41 0 9-6 2.66 1.05 9.7 407
2023 SEA 33 197.0 3207 219 56 0 14-9 3.38 1.1 10 506
2024 SEA 30 173.0 2859 175 47 0 11-12 3.69 1.18 9.1 401
2025 SEA 35 189.0 3136 167 51 0 12-9 3.52 1.19 8 428
2026 SEA 13 61.0 1146 61 23 0 2-4 5.16 1.34 9 100
ON PACE 31 148 2770 147 55 0 4-9 5.16 1.34 9 241
3-YEAR AVG 33 185 3067 187 51 0 12-10 3.54 1.16 9.1 445
Career 261 1464.1 24605 1556 475 0 0-0 3.66 1.19 9.6
Career Cade Cavalli
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2022 WAS 1 5.0 99 6 2 0 0-1 12.6 1.6 10.8 -1
2025 WAS 10 48.2 788 40 15 0 3-1 4.25 1.48 7.4 94
2026 WAS 14 69.2 1188 76 25 0 3-4 3.88 1.44 9.8 145
ON PACE 33 168 2872 183 60 0 7-9 3.88 1.44 9.8 351
3-YEAR AVG 3 16 263 13 5 0 1-0 4.41 1.47 7.2 31
Career 25 121.0 2075 122 42 0 0-0 4.46 1.49 9.1
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Zac Gallen
Max Meyer
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Robert Gasser
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Brandon Eisert
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Logan Gilbert
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Nick Martinez
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Colin Rea
Tomoyuki Sugano
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST Chase Burns
Lucas Giolito
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Gerrit Cole
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Troy Melton
Taj Bradley
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Walbert Urena
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Nathan Eovaldi
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Paul Skenes
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Freddy Peralta
Dustin May
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Dylan Cease
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST Adrian Houser
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST