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Rhett Lowder or Connor Prielipp

Who Should I Start? - Week 13 • Start New
Rhett Lowder

Rhett Lowder

SPCincinnati Reds CIN
Connor Prielipp

Connor Prielipp

SPMinnesota Twins MIN
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Lowder over Prielipp

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Rhett Lowder

Rhett Lowder returns from the injured list to make a risky weekend start against Arizona.

Reds rookie Rhett Lowder is nearing a return to the rotation after throwing a simulated game and completing rehab following an injury that sidelined him in May. Cincinnati, currently sitting in fifth place in the NL Central and riding a four-game losing streak, desperately needs rotation stability. He is expected to join the active staff this weekend, immediately slotting into the back half of the starting rotation.

Before his injury, the 24-year-old was struggling with a 5.12 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over nine starts, showing significant regression from his stellar 2024 debut. Our models project a slightly improved rest-of-season path with a 4.44 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. However, until he curbs his high walk rates, he remains a volatile asset with a wide range of outcomes.

Lowder is projected to make just one start this week, scheduled for Saturday at home against the Diamondbacks. He will face Michael Soroka in a challenging matchup, and our projection expects a modest five-inning outing with elevated ratio risks. Given the threat of rust and a tough opponent, fantasy managers should leave him on the bench. Sit him.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Rhett Lowder
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Prielipp over Lowder

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Connor Prielipp

Prielipp's Elite Strikeout Upside Offsets Recent Ratio Speedbumps

The third-place Twins are on a two-game losing streak, but rookie Connor Prielipp remains secure as the number two starter in the rotation. Over his last three starts, the young lefty has struggled with a 7.61 ERA and 1.69 WHIP, though he continues to flash elite upside with 19 strikeouts in 14.2 innings. Minnesota will manage his workload cautiously due to his minor-league injury history, but his role is safe.

While his recent ratios are bloated, Prielipp's underlying talent suggests better days are ahead. Our models project a 4.26 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over the rest of the season, which aligns with his career 1.34 WHIP. The elite strikeout rate of over 10 K/9 is entirely sustainable, meaning his recent run of bad luck is a temporary fluke rather than a long-term trend.

Prielipp has one scheduled start on June 13th at home against the Cardinals. He is slated to face Matthew Liberatore, who carries a vulnerable 4.48 ERA and 1.51 WHIP, making this a prime matchup to exploit for strikeout upside. Verdict: Stream.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Connor Prielipp
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Performance Rhett Lowder
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000452.001
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000452.001
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Connor Prielipp
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.351-1001431.292
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.611-2001961.693
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Rhett Lowder
OWN
11%
+4.37 compared to last week
START
 
7%
+6.08 compared to last week
OWN/START Connor Prielipp
OWN
15%
+3.38 compared to last week
START
 
7%
-2.7 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Rhett Lowder
114th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Connor Prielipp
103rd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Rhett Lowder

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 114th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 309th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 164th in WHIP with 1.70
  • Currently ranked 156th in ERA with 6.43
  • Top 50 in walks and is currently ranked 44th with 19
  • Currently ranked 121st in wins with 2
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +3, WHIP: +1.46, ERA: +5.04, K's: +31, Walks: +23
Breakdown Connor Prielipp

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 103rd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 115th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He should be doing a bit better than this. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 100 in WHIP and is currently ranked 90th
  • Currently ranked 130th in ERA with 5.21
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 62nd with 18
  • Currently ranked 163rd in wins with 2
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +4, WHIP: +1.34, ERA: +5.21, K's: +49, Walks: +18
Next Up Health Check
Injury Rhett Lowder

No Injury Reported

Injury Connor Prielipp

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Rhett Lowder
DateOpponentResult
Jun 08@SDAdrian MorejonL 6-2
Jun 09@SDLucas Giolito
Jun 10@SDMichael King
Jun 12VS ARIEduardo Rodriguez
Jun 13VS ARIMichael Soroka
Jun 14VS ARIZac Gallen
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Connor Prielipp
DateOpponentResult
Jun 09@DETTroy Melton
Jun 10@DETFramber Valdez
Jun 11@DETKeider Montero
Jun 12VS STLKyle Leahy
Jun 13VS STLMatthew Liberatore
Jun 14VS STLMichael McGreevy
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Rhett Lowder
6.81
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Connor Prielipp
8.48
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Rhett Lowder
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 CIN 6 30.2 498 22 14 0 2-2 1.17 1.27 6.5 63
2026 CIN 9 41.1 721 31 23 0 3-3 5.01 1.45 6.8 70
ON PACE 22 103 1796 77 57 0 7-7 5.01 1.45 6.8 173
3-YEAR AVG 6 30 498 22 14 0 2-2 1.17 1.27 6.5 63
Career 15 72.0 1219 53 37 0 0-0 3.38 1.38 6.6
Career Connor Prielipp
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2026 MIN 9 43.2 785 49 18 0 2-4 5.15 1.33 10.1 75
ON PACE 21 105 1898 118 43 0 4-9 5.15 1.33 10.1 182
3-YEAR AVG 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 NAN NAN NAN 0
Career 9 43.2 785 49 18 0 0-0 5.15 1.33 10.1
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI @MIA 06:40 EDT EST Zac Gallen
Max Meyer
ATH vs MIL 10:05 EDT EST J.T. Ginn
Robert Gasser
ATL @CHW 07:40 EDT EST Grant Holmes
Brandon Eisert
BAL vs SEA 06:35 EDT EST Trevor Rogers
Logan Gilbert
BOS @TB 06:40 EDT EST Payton Tolle
Nick Martinez
CHC @COL 08:40 EDT EST Colin Rea
Tomoyuki Sugano
CIN @SD 09:40 EDT EST Chase Burns
Lucas Giolito
CLE vs NYY 06:40 EDT EST Slade Cecconi
Gerrit Cole
DET vs MIN 06:40 EDT EST Troy Melton
Taj Bradley
HOU @LAA 09:38 EDT EST Kai-Wei Teng
Walbert Urena
KC vs TEX 07:40 EDT EST Stephen Kolek
Nathan Eovaldi
LAD @PIT 06:40 EDT EST Eric Lauer
Paul Skenes
NYM vs STL 07:10 EDT EST Freddy Peralta
Dustin May
PHI @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Zack Wheeler
Dylan Cease
SF vs WAS 09:45 EDT EST Adrian Houser
Andrew Alvarez
Matchup Time
No games scheduled
Matchup Time
CAR @VGK 8:00 PM EST