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Chad Patrick or Troy Melton

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Chad Patrick

Chad Patrick

SPMilwaukee Brewers MIL
Troy Melton

Troy Melton

SPDetroit Tigers DET
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Patrick over Melton

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Chad Patrick

Chad Patrick shines in a flexible swingman role for the first-place Brewers but carries limited weekly fantasy value.

The 27-year-old right-hander has been outstanding out of the Milwaukee bullpen, posting a minuscule 0.49 ERA and 0.82 WHIP over his last 18.2 innings. Despite listing as a back-end option on the depth chart, he is currently deployed in a flexible swingman role for the first-place Brewers. With rotation pieces like Brandon Woodruff working back from injuries, Patrick's path to consistent starts remains temporarily blocked.

While Patrick's 2.41 ERA on the season is impressive, his 1.23 WHIP and low 7.04 K/9 suggest regression is coming. Our models project a 4.30 ERA and 1.28 WHIP rest-of-season, indicating his current hot streak is an outlier. Without a secure starting role, his microscopic ratios over the last month are bound to normalize.

Having already thrown five innings across two relief outings this week, Patrick is unlikely to see major volume in the remaining games against San Francisco and Colorado. Because he is currently restricted to shorter relief bursts, he lacks the volume to help your team. He is a clear Sit for the week ahead.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Chad Patrick
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Melton over Patrick

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Troy Melton

Troy Melton Shines Since Return, Cementing Mid-Rotation Role in Detroit's Depleted Staff

Melton has been absolutely stellar since returning from the injured list, compiling a brilliant 1.78 ERA and 0.89 WHIP over his first 20.2 innings. He has stepped up beautifully for a fourth-place Tigers team (25-38) that is riding a three-game win streak but navigating a heavily depleted rotation with Tarik Skubal, Casey Mize, and Reese Olson all sidelined. Melton now slots in as a crucial mid-rotation starter.

While his sub-2.00 ERA is a small-sample-size hot streak, his strong performance is backed by his excellent 2025 debut where he registered a 3.34 ERA. Our models project him to maintain a solid 3.69 ERA and 1.19 WHIP over 78.0 innings this year, proving his high-90s velocity and deep arsenal are sustainable long-term.

Melton dominated yesterday in a career-best eight-inning victory against Tampa Bay, meaning his work is finished for the current weekly matchup. With Detroit hosting Seattle for the weekend, you can safely slide him to your bench for the remaining days before starting him with confidence next week. Verdict: Hold.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Troy Melton
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Performance Chad Patrick
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000521.002
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.891-001931.094
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Troy Melton
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.801-000630.872
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
1.782-000960.893
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Chad Patrick
OWN
13%
-2.34 compared to last week
START
11%
-0.06 compared to last week
OWN/START Troy Melton
OWN
39%
+8.16 compared to last week
START
22%
-1.14 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Chad Patrick
117th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Troy Melton
35th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Chad Patrick

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 117th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 94th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 174th in wins with 2
  • Top 75 in saves and is currently ranked 59th with 2
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: EVEN, L: -2, WHIP: -0.075, ERA: -0.789, K's: -19, Walks: +2
Breakdown Troy Melton

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 35th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 143rd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 8th with 0.89
  • ERA is among the best in the league currently ranked 7th with 1.78
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.89, ERA: +1.78, K's: +9, Walks: +6
Next Up Health Check
Injury Chad Patrick

No Injury Reported

Injury Troy Melton

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Chad Patrick
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS SFChad PatrickW 16-2
Jun 02VS SFKyle HarrisonW 8-3
Jun 03VS SFLogan WebbL 0-1
Jun 04VS SFSam HentgesL 9-12
Jun 05@COLRyan Feltner
Jun 06@COLTanner Gordon
Jun 07@COLKyle Freeland
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000521.002
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Troy Melton
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@TBTyler HoltonW 9-10
Jun 02@TBJack FlahertyW 0-8
Jun 03@TBTroy MeltonW 2-7
Jun 05VS SEABryan Woo
Jun 06VS SEABryce Miller
Jun 07VS SEALuis Castillo
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.251-000520.751
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Chad Patrick
7.89
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Troy Melton
10.17
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Chad Patrick
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 MIL 33 124.0 2138 138 41 0 3-9 3.56 1.27 10 253
2026 MIL 15 50.0 790 38 20 2 3-2 2.34 1.2 6.8 113
ON PACE 40 135 2133 102 54 5 8-5 2.34 1.2 6.8 305
3-YEAR AVG 33 123 2138 138 41 0 3-9 3.56 1.27 10 253
Career 48 174.0 2928 176 61 0 0-0 3.21 1.25 9.1
Career Troy Melton
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 DET 20 51.2 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
2026 DET 3 20.2 262 9 6 0 2-0 1.74 0.87 3.9 53
ON PACE 7 52 673 23 15 0 5-0 1.74 0.87 3.9 137
3-YEAR AVG 20 51 779 44 19 0 4-3 3.31 1.12 7.7 112
Career 23 72.1 1041 53 25 0 0-0 2.86 1.05 6.6
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 09:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Foster Griffin
ATH @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Peter Lambert
ATL vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Mitch Keller
BAL @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Brandon Young
Trey Yesavage
BOS @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Ryan Weathers
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Robbie Ray
CHW @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Jesus Luzardo
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST Brady Singer
Kyle Leahy
CLE @TEX 08:15 EDT EST Parker Messick
Kumar Rocker
COL vs MIL 08:40 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Brandon Sproat
DET vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Bryan Woo
KC @MIN 08:15 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Zebby Matthews
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Reid Detmers
Roki Sasaki
MIA vs TB 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Drew Rasmussen
NYM @SD 09:40 EDT EST Christian Scott
Michael King
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled