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Josh Naylor or Nick Gonzales

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor

1BSeattle Mariners SEA
Nick Gonzales

Nick Gonzales

3BPittsburgh Pirates PIT
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Naylor over Gonzales

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor Looks to Shake Off Brief Slump as First-Place Mariners Head to Detroit

Josh Naylor has hit a minor speed bump over the last week, batting just .158, but his larger sample remains solid with a .286 average and eight stolen bases over his last 30 games. He continues to secure his role as Seattle's everyday first baseman, a critical anchor for a first-place Mariners squad (33-30) that is currently missing catcher Cal Raleigh to injury.

While his current .250 season average sits below his .272 rest-of-season projection, Naylor's speed has been a revelation with 12 steals already, putting him on pace to approach his career-high 32 swipes from 2025. Our models expect his current modest power pace (six homers) to pick up and align closer to his projected 20-homer season ceiling, making him a rare speed-and-power threat at first base.

With the week already underway, the Mariners have three games remaining in Detroit starting Friday. Naylor will face Framber Valdez (4.39 ERA), Keider Montero (3.69 ERA), and Jack Flaherty, who presents a highly favorable matchup due to his 5.53 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Keep him active in all formats. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Josh Naylor
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Gonzales over Naylor

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Nick Gonzales

Nick Gonzales is sizzling at the plate, making him a must-start despite a tough upcoming slate of pitchers.

Nick Gonzales has been absolutely sizzling over the last week, batting .455 with two home runs and eight runs scored to boost the second-place Pirates (33-29). Despite a brief scare with knee discomfort in late May, he has avoided the injured list and remains locked in as Pittsburgh's everyday third baseman.

Currently sporting a stellar .314 average on the year, Gonzales is vastly outperforming our model's projection of .259. While his recent power surge is likely to undergo some regression, his dramatically improved plate discipline this season suggests that his emergence as a high-average asset is entirely sustainable.

For the remainder of the week, the Pirates face a challenging road stretch against Houston and Atlanta. He will match up against Kai-Wei Teng (2.72 ERA) on Thursday before facing tough Braves starters like Martin Perez and Spencer Strider. Despite these difficult matchups, his elite current form makes him a mandatory option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Nick Gonzales
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Performance Josh Naylor
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.158111.2000.31605
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250136.2860.325010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Nick Gonzales
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.440279.4810.72006
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.2942811.3210.471013
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Josh Naylor
OWN
92%
-2.51 compared to last week
START
61%
-15.1 compared to last week
OWN/START Nick Gonzales
OWN
34%
+12.66 compared to last week
START
31%
+14.9 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Josh Naylor
9th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Nick Gonzales
34th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Josh Naylor

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 10th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 14th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 208th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.296
  • Ranked 105th in batting average with 0.275
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 171st with 0.333
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 188th with 0.394
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 183rd with 0.727
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 194th with 12
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 215th in RBI with 23
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 241st in runs scored with 21
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.039, OBP: -0.032, HRs: -1, RBI: -14, Runs: -9, Wlks: EVEN, Stls: +3,
Breakdown Nick Gonzales

    Overview

  • He is eligible to play multiple positions including: 3B 2B . However, he plays 3B most often.
  • Experts rank this player at 34th among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 10th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Jose Ramirez
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Top 50 in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.374 and is currently ranked 38th
  • Top 25 in batting average with 0.313 and is currently ranked 21st
  • Top 75 on base percentage and is currently ranked 71st with 0.365
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 197th with 0.390
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 142nd with 0.756
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 339th with 2
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 186th in RBI with 24
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 122nd in runs scored with 28
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.113, OBP: +0.167, HRs: +1, RBI: +27, Runs: +31, Wlks: +15, Stls: +3,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Josh Naylor

No Injury Reported

Injury Nick Gonzales

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Josh Naylor
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS NYMGabe SpeierW 3-2
Jun 02VS NYMLogan GilbertW 8-3
Jun 03VS NYMFreddy PeraltaL 1-7
Jun 05@DETFramber Valdez
Jun 06@DETKeider Montero
Jun 07@DETJack Flaherty
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.143111.1430.57102
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Nick Gonzales
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02@HOUBubba ChandlerW 6-10
Jun 03@HOUAJ BlubaughL 11-9
Jun 04@HOUJared JonesW 1-5
Jun 05@ATLMartin Perez
Jun 06@ATLSpencer Strider
Jun 07@ATLBryce Elder
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.462135.5000.76903
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Josh Naylor
12.83
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Nick Gonzales
9.22
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Josh Naylor
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2019 SD 92 63 8 29 31 1 24 .249 .314 .403 156
2020 SD 41 29 2 16 9 1 4 .279 .312 .413 68
2021 CLE 67 59 7 28 21 1 14 .258 .306 .406 181
2022 CLE 118 114 21 47 77 5 33 .260 .316 .463 412
2023 CLE 121 140 17 52 97 10 33 .310 .356 .491 477
2024 CLE 161 146 31 86 113 6 59 .242 .315 .444 584
2025 ARI 158 176 23 88 97 32 52 .298 .358 .471 648
2026 SEA 58 57 6 21 25 12 20 .250 .313 .351 195
ON PACE 149 146 15 54 64 30 51 .250 .313 .351 501
3-YEAR AVG 147 154 24 75 102 16 48 .281 .341 .467 570
Career 816 784 115 367 470 68 239 .271 .329 .445
Career Nick Gonzales
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2023 PIT 35 24 2 12 13 0 6 .209 .266 .348 70
2024 PIT 93 97 7 42 49 4 18 .270 .310 .398 279
2025 PIT 96 100 5 39 30 0 21 .262 .304 .365 252
2026 PIT 56 66 2 32 29 3 14 .313 .364 .389 180
ON PACE 144 169 5 82 74 7 36 .313 .364 .389 462
3-YEAR AVG 75 74 5 31 31 1 15 .258 .301 .377 200
Career 280 287 16 125 121 7 59 .269 .314 .379
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 09:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Foster Griffin
ATH @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Peter Lambert
ATL vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Mitch Keller
BAL @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Brandon Young
Trey Yesavage
BOS @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Ryan Weathers
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Robbie Ray
CHW @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Jesus Luzardo
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST Brady Singer
Kyle Leahy
CLE @TEX 08:15 EDT EST Parker Messick
Kumar Rocker
COL vs MIL 08:40 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Brandon Sproat
DET vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Bryan Woo
KC @MIN 08:15 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Zebby Matthews
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Reid Detmers
Roki Sasaki
MIA vs TB 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Drew Rasmussen
NYM @SD 09:40 EDT EST Christian Scott
Michael King
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled