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Nolan Arenado or Daniel Palencia

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado

3BArizona Diamondbacks ARI
Daniel Palencia

Daniel Palencia

RPChicago Cubs CHC
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Arenado over Palencia

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Nolan Arenado

Nolan Arenado returns from groin scare to anchor Diamondbacks lineup

Nolan Arenado remains the everyday third baseman for the third-place Diamondbacks, who currently hold a 32-29 record in the NL West. After a brief lineup scratch due to groin tightness, he returned to hit a crucial go-ahead home run on June 1st. While his 14-day batting average sits at a cold .200, his physical health has stabilized and his starting role remains completely secure.

Under the hood, Arenado's recent slump (.188 average over the last week) contrasts with an excellent .389 on-base percentage over the past month. Our models project a .251 average and 12 home runs for the rest of the season. Given his career baseline and strong plate discipline, expect his batting average to rise toward his career norms soon.

Arizona's remaining four games this week include a tough matchup today against Justin Wrobleski (2.87 ERA) before a favorable series against Washington, featuring a matchup with Zack Littell (5.01 ERA). With his groin injury behind him and favorable pitching on the horizon, he is an easy recommendation. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Nolan Arenado
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Palencia over Arenado

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Daniel Palencia

"La Gasolina" is firing on all cylinders as the Cubs' locked-in primary closer.

Daniel Palencia has reclaimed his role as the Cubs' primary closer after returning from an oblique injury. Over the last seven days, he has secured three saves and a win over three scoreless frames with a 0.67 WHIP. His resurgence is a massive boost for a fourth-place Chicago squad (32-30) looking to snap a three-game losing streak with key relievers Porter Hodge and Hunter Harvey on the injured list.

This hot stretch is no fluke, aligning with his 22-save breakout last year. While his 1.36 WHIP on the season shows occasional control issues, his 2.16 ERA and 0.75 WHIP over the past two weeks prove he is dialing in his triple-digit fastball. Our models expect a strong rest of the season, projecting him for 28 saves and a solid 3.82 ERA.

For the remainder of the week, the Cubs face Oakland today before hosting San Francisco for three games. The Giants' projected starters Robbie Ray and Landen Roupp hold ERAs above 4.20, giving Chicago ample opportunity to create late-game save situations. Lock him into your lineups as a high-upside closer. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Daniel Palencia
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Performance Nolan Arenado
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.200132.2730.40006
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.222154.3170.389011
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Daniel Palencia
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000200.673
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.250-000300.754
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Nolan Arenado
OWN
47%
-2.21 compared to last week
START
43%
+21.13 compared to last week
OWN/START Daniel Palencia
OWN
69%
-3.37 compared to last week
START
64%
-2.17 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Nolan Arenado
22nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Daniel Palencia
10th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Nolan Arenado

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 22nd among 3B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 5th.
  • The current leader among 3B's is Jose Ramirez
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 167th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.308
  • Top 100 in batting average with 0.276 and is currently ranked 97th
  • Top 75 on base percentage and is currently ranked 65th with 0.369
  • Top 75 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 57th with 0.497
  • Top 75 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 52nd with 0.866
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 314th with 1
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 117th in RBI with 30
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 156th in runs scored with 27
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.039, OBP: +0.054, HRs: +1, RBI: -1, Runs: +2, Wlks: -1, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Daniel Palencia

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 10th among RP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 118th.
  • The current leader among RP's is Cade Smith
  • Can't be doing much worse than he is right now. Failing to live up to expectations is one thing, but playing this bad is another.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 115th in WHIP with 1.33
  • Top 75 in ERA and is currently ranked 71st with 2.57
  • Top 50 in saves and is currently ranked 42nd with 3
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +1, L: -1, WHIP: +0.469, ERA: +0.204, K's: -8, Walks: -3
Next Up Health Check
Injury Nolan Arenado

No Injury Reported

Injury Daniel Palencia

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Nolan Arenado
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS LADTaylor ClarkeW 4-1
Jun 02VS LADBlake TreinenL 5-6
Jun 03VS LADShohei OhtaniL 0-7
Jun 04VS LADPaul SewaldW 3-2
Jun 05VS WASFoster Griffin
Jun 06VS WASZack Littell
Jun 07VS WASCade Cavalli
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.154132.1850.30807
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Daniel Palencia
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02VS ATHGage JumpL 1-2
Jun 03VS ATHHogan HarrisL 4-5
Jun 04VS ATHRyan RolisonW 7-6
Jun 05VS SFRobbie Ray
Jun 06VS SFLanden Roupp
Jun 07VS SFTrevor McDonald
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.000-000200.002
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Nolan Arenado
9.31
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Daniel Palencia
10.91
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Nolan Arenado
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2013 COL 131 130 10 49 52 2 23 .267 .299 .405 289
2014 COL 101 115 15 53 55 2 25 .292 .333 .503 308
2015 COL 157 177 42 97 130 2 34 .287 .323 .575 564
2016 COL 160 181 41 116 133 2 68 .293 .361 .568 621
2017 COL 159 186 37 100 130 3 62 .307 .372 .583 598
2018 COL 155 174 38 104 110 2 73 .295 .371 .559 560
2019 COL 154 184 41 102 118 3 61 .313 .376 .582 583
2020 COL 48 46 8 23 26 0 15 .253 .303 .434 133
2021 STL 156 151 34 80 105 2 49 .256 .313 .497 591
2022 STL 139 153 29 69 97 2 49 .291 .356 .535 568
2023 STL 144 150 26 71 93 3 41 .269 .319 .463 512
2024 STL 151 154 16 70 71 2 44 .268 .322 .390 474
2025 STL 106 93 12 48 52 3 28 .232 .286 .372 340
2026 ARI 57 50 8 29 30 1 19 .263 .346 .453 181
ON PACE 148 130 20 75 78 2 49 .263 .346 .453 472
3-YEAR AVG 134 132 18 63 72 3 38 .259 .311 .412 442
Career 1818 1944 357 1011 1202 29 591 .281 .338 .505
Career Daniel Palencia
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2023 CHC 27 26.0 494 33 14 0 5-3 4.85 1.38 11.4 68
2024 CHC 10 14.2 263 16 12 1 0-1 6.14 1.77 9.8 22
2025 CHC 60 58.0 940 64 18 22 4-6 3.1 1.16 9.9 231
2026 CHC 15 13.2 216 14 4 3 1-0 1.98 1.24 9.2 50
ON PACE 38 34 555 36 10 7 2-0 1.98 1.24 9.2 128
3-YEAR AVG 32 32 566 38 15 8 3-3 4.09 1.3 10.4 107
Career 112 107.2 1913 127 48 0 0-0 3.93 1.36 10.6
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RECENT DECISIONS

Latest from FSP

Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 09:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Foster Griffin
ATH @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Peter Lambert
ATL vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Mitch Keller
BAL @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Brandon Young
Trey Yesavage
BOS @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Ryan Weathers
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Robbie Ray
CHW @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Jesus Luzardo
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST Brady Singer
Kyle Leahy
CLE @TEX 08:15 EDT EST Parker Messick
Kumar Rocker
COL vs MIL 08:40 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Brandon Sproat
DET vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Bryan Woo
KC @MIN 08:15 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Zebby Matthews
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Reid Detmers
Roki Sasaki
MIA vs TB 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Drew Rasmussen
NYM @SD 09:40 EDT EST Christian Scott
Michael King
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled