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Jake Bauers or Josh Naylor

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Jake Bauers

Jake Bauers

1BMilwaukee Brewers MIL
Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor

1BSeattle Mariners SEA
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Bauers over Naylor

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Jake Bauers

Jake Bauers holds down the primary first base role for the division-leading Brewers, offering massive power potential in an upcoming Coors Field trip.

Jake Bauers has established himself as the everyday first baseman for the first-place Brewers, who lead the division with a 37-22 record. Although his bat has cooled over the last 14 days with a .189 batting average, his 30-day sample is outstanding, yielding a .306 average, five home runs, and 17 RBI. Fully healthy and secure in his starting role, Bauers remains a key focal point of Milwaukee's offense.

Under the hood, some regression is expected, as our models project a .213 average and 12 home runs rest-of-season, aligning closer to his career .201 average in 2024. However, his current 2026 slash line of .270 with 10 home runs over 52 games suggests genuine growth. While his elevated strikeout rate over the last month hints at batting average volatility, his improved quality of contact validates his sustained power breakout.

The upcoming schedule offers an absolute dream scenario for Bauers, wrapping up a series against San Francisco's Adrian Houser (5.83 ERA) before heading to Colorado. The weekend series at Coors Field features matchups against Ryan Feltner (4.85 ERA), Tanner Gordon (6.37 ERA), and Kyle Freeland (8.06 ERA). Given these exceptionally favorable matchups and hitting environments, Bauers is an elite option. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Jake Bauers
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Naylor over Bauers

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Josh Naylor

Josh Naylor Looks to Shake Off Brief Slump as First-Place Mariners Head to Detroit

Josh Naylor has hit a minor speed bump over the last week, batting just .158, but his larger sample remains solid with a .286 average and eight stolen bases over his last 30 games. He continues to secure his role as Seattle's everyday first baseman, a critical anchor for a first-place Mariners squad (33-30) that is currently missing catcher Cal Raleigh to injury.

While his current .250 season average sits below his .272 rest-of-season projection, Naylor's speed has been a revelation with 12 steals already, putting him on pace to approach his career-high 32 swipes from 2025. Our models expect his current modest power pace (six homers) to pick up and align closer to his projected 20-homer season ceiling, making him a rare speed-and-power threat at first base.

With the week already underway, the Mariners have three games remaining in Detroit starting Friday. Naylor will face Framber Valdez (4.39 ERA), Keider Montero (3.69 ERA), and Jack Flaherty, who presents a highly favorable matchup due to his 5.53 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Keep him active in all formats. Verdict: Start.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Josh Naylor
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Performance Jake Bauers
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.136263.3450.40907
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.184375.3400.421012
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Josh Naylor
Fantasy Chart Loading...

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.158111.2000.31605
Season stats based on the past 7 days

AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.250136.2860.325010
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Jake Bauers
OWN
68%
+5.85 compared to last week
START
65%
+13.04 compared to last week
OWN/START Josh Naylor
OWN
92%
-2.51 compared to last week
START
61%
-15.1 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Jake Bauers
42nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Josh Naylor
9th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Jake Bauers

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 42nd among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 20th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is doing much better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 105th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.330
  • Top 100 in batting average with 0.280 and is currently ranked 89th
  • Top 75 on base percentage and is currently ranked 58th with 0.372
  • Top 75 in slugging percentage and is currently ranked 58th with 0.497
  • Top 50 in on base plus slugging and is currently ranked 46th with 0.869
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 207th with 2
  • Top 75 in RBI and is currently ranked 69th with 32
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 140th in runs scored with 26
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: +0.016, OBP: -0.006, HRs: +6, RBI: +20, Runs: +21, Wlks: +9, Stls: EVEN,
Breakdown Josh Naylor

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 10th among 1B's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 14th.
  • The current leader among 1B's is Nick Kurtz
  • He is putting up the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Batting Stats

  • Ranked 208th in BABIP (Batting Average on Balls In Play) with 0.296
  • Ranked 105th in batting average with 0.275
  • Not overly impressive with on base percentage currently ranked 171st with 0.333
  • Not too impressive with slugging percentage currently ranked 188th with 0.394
  • Not too impressive with on base plus slugging currently ranked 183rd with 0.727
  • Not very impressive in steals and is currently ranked 194th with 12
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 215th in RBI with 23
  • Not too impressive and is currently ranked 241st in runs scored with 21
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: AVG: -0.039, OBP: -0.032, HRs: -1, RBI: -14, Runs: -9, Wlks: EVEN, Stls: +3,
Next Up Health Check
Injury Jake Bauers

No Injury Reported

Injury Josh Naylor

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Jake Bauers
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS SFChad PatrickW 16-2
Jun 02VS SFKyle HarrisonW 8-3
Jun 03VS SFLogan WebbL 0-1
Jun 04VS SFSam HentgesL 9-12
Jun 05@COLRyan Feltner
Jun 06@COLTanner Gordon
Jun 07@COLKyle Freeland
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.091132.4120.36404
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Josh Naylor
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS NYMGabe SpeierW 3-2
Jun 02VS NYMLogan GilbertW 8-3
Jun 03VS NYMFreddy PeraltaL 1-7
Jun 05@DETFramber Valdez
Jun 06@DETKeider Montero
Jun 07@DETJack Flaherty
AVG HR RBI R OBP SLG SB GP
.143111.1430.57102
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Jake Bauers
10.11
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Josh Naylor
12.83
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Jake Bauers
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2018 TB 95 65 10 48 48 7 54 .201 .316 .375 233
2019 CLE 114 84 12 46 43 4 44 .226 .311 .371 222
2021 CLE 106 56 4 24 19 5 24 .206 .273 .276 180
2023 NYY 81 49 12 28 30 3 26 .202 .277 .413 176
2024 MIL 106 62 13 43 44 13 31 .201 .285 .370 235
2025 MIL 83 47 8 29 30 8 29 .240 .341 .413 197
2026 MIL 53 50 10 32 36 4 23 .269 .355 .484 194
ON PACE 143 135 27 86 97 10 62 .269 .355 .484 523
3-YEAR AVG 90 53 11 33 35 8 29 .212 .297 .395 203
Career 638 413 69 250 250 44 231 .217 .306 .379
Career Josh Naylor
YEAR TM GP H HR R RBI SB BB AVG OBP SLG PTS
2019 SD 92 63 8 29 31 1 24 .249 .314 .403 156
2020 SD 41 29 2 16 9 1 4 .279 .312 .413 68
2021 CLE 67 59 7 28 21 1 14 .258 .306 .406 181
2022 CLE 118 114 21 47 77 5 33 .260 .316 .463 412
2023 CLE 121 140 17 52 97 10 33 .310 .356 .491 477
2024 CLE 161 146 31 86 113 6 59 .242 .315 .444 584
2025 ARI 158 176 23 88 97 32 52 .298 .358 .471 648
2026 SEA 58 57 6 21 25 12 20 .250 .313 .351 195
ON PACE 149 146 15 54 64 30 51 .250 .313 .351 501
3-YEAR AVG 147 154 24 75 102 16 48 .281 .341 .467 570
Career 816 784 115 367 470 68 239 .271 .329 .445
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 09:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Foster Griffin
ATH @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Peter Lambert
ATL vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Mitch Keller
BAL @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Brandon Young
Trey Yesavage
BOS @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Ryan Weathers
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Robbie Ray
CHW @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Jesus Luzardo
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST Brady Singer
Kyle Leahy
CLE @TEX 08:15 EDT EST Parker Messick
Kumar Rocker
COL vs MIL 08:40 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Brandon Sproat
DET vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Bryan Woo
KC @MIN 08:15 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Zebby Matthews
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Reid Detmers
Roki Sasaki
MIA vs TB 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Drew Rasmussen
NYM @SD 09:40 EDT EST Christian Scott
Michael King
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled