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Spencer Arrighetti or Paul Skenes

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Spencer Arrighetti

Spencer Arrighetti

SPHouston Astros HOU
Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

SPPittsburgh Pirates PIT
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Arrighetti over Skenes

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Spencer Arrighetti

Spencer Arrighetti's magical run hits a bump, but his rotation role remains secure

After being named the AL Pitcher of the Month for May, Spencer Arrighetti stumbled on June 3rd, allowing four earned runs in four innings against the Pirates. Despite the hiccup, the 26-year-old slots in as the number two starter in a heavily depleted Houston rotation that is missing key arms like Hunter Brown and Cristian Javier. The fourth-place Astros will continue to lean heavily on him as they look to climb out of their 28-35 hole in the AL West.

While his current 1.97 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the season are elite, our models expect some regression toward a 4.60 ERA and 1.36 WHIP over 90.0 projected innings. His previous career marks, including a 5.05 ERA in 2024, suggest his current sub-2.00 mark is a bit of a mirage driven by a low hits-allowed rate. However, his strong strikeout potential of 100 Ks over 90.0 projected innings makes him a highly valuable asset even with expected ratio correction.

Because Arrighetti already took the mound on June 3rd, he has no remaining scheduled starts for the rest of this matchup period. Fantasy managers can safely bench him for the remainder of the week as the Astros wrap up series against the Pirates and Athletics. He is a Sit for the rest of the week, but remains an absolute hold for his next turn in the rotation.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Spencer Arrighetti
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Skenes over Arrighetti

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Paul Skenes

Skenes navigates a minor bump in the road but remains an elite, must-start fantasy anchor

Skenes has hit a brief bump in the road, posting a 5.03 ERA and 1.75 WHIP over his last three starts, which includes a tough loss on June 3rd. Despite the recent ratio swelling, he remains the undisputed staff anchor for a solid Pirates squad sitting at 33-29 in the NL Central. His strikeout upside remains completely intact, evidenced by 19 punchouts over his last 14.1 innings.

While his recent metrics show some vulnerability, Skenes' career 1.97 ERA and elite raw stuff confirm this stretch is a fluke rather than a trend. He still carries a sparkling 0.95 WHIP and 82 strikeouts through 68.6 innings this season, matching his history of elite run prevention. Our models maintain full belief in his talent, projecting a dominant 2.20 ERA and 235 strikeouts for the rest of the year.

Because Skenes already took the mound for his single scheduled start of the week on Wednesday, he will not pitch in the upcoming series against the Braves. With no remaining matchups this week, his immediate volume is capped, but he is an absolute must-start option whenever he is active. Lock him into your lineups as a premier starter and prepare for his next turn.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Paul Skenes
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Performance Spencer Arrighetti
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
9.000-000311.751
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.002-0001161.133
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Paul Skenes
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.430-000711.901
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
4.800-2001951.673
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Spencer Arrighetti
OWN
86%
-2.3 compared to last week
START
62%
-10.78 compared to last week
OWN/START Paul Skenes
OWN
100%
-0.01 compared to last week
START
83%
-7.98 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Spencer Arrighetti
68th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Paul Skenes
1st
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Spencer Arrighetti

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 69th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 25th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • You have to be impressed by how much better he is performing. Can he keep this up or is it a fluke?
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 52nd with 1.17
  • ERA is among the best in the league currently ranked 8th with 1.97
  • Top 10 in walks and is currently ranked 10th with 27
  • He wins a lot of games and is currently ranked 3rd with 7
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.4 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +6, L: EVEN, WHIP: +0.182, ERA: -3.93, K's: +38, Walks: +22
Breakdown Paul Skenes

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 1st among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 9th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is putting up close to the kind of numbers the experts expected him to.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • WHIP is among the best in the league currently ranked 6th with 0.85
  • Top 25 in ERA and is currently ranked 24th with 2.70
  • Top 15 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 14th with 76
  • Top 35 in wins and is currently ranked 27th with 5
  • Top 50 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 43rd with 64.1
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.6 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: -1, WHIP: +0.044, ERA: +1.135, K's: -3, Walks: -6
Next Up Health Check
Injury Spencer Arrighetti

No Injury Reported

Injury Paul Skenes

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Spencer Arrighetti
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02VS PITBubba ChandlerL 6-10
Jun 03VS PITAJ BlubaughW 11-9
Jun 04VS PITJared JonesL 1-5
Jun 05VS ATHJack Perkins
Jun 06VS ATHKade Morris
Jun 07VS ATHGage Jump
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
9.000-000311.751
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Paul Skenes
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02@HOUBubba ChandlerW 6-10
Jun 03@HOUAJ BlubaughL 11-9
Jun 04@HOUJared JonesW 1-5
Jun 05@ATLMartin Perez
Jun 06@ATLSpencer Strider
Jun 07@ATLBryce Elder
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
6.430-000711.901
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Spencer Arrighetti
11.89
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Paul Skenes
20.43
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Spencer Arrighetti
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 HOU 29 142.2 2505 171 65 0 7-13 4.98 1.44 10.8 279
2025 HOU 7 35.1 618 31 20 0 1-5 5.35 1.42 7.9 42
2026 HOU 9 51.0 840 46 27 0 7-1 1.94 1.16 8.1 150
ON PACE 22 130 2126 116 68 0 17-2 1.94 1.16 8.1 378
3-YEAR AVG 18 87 1562 101 43 0 4-9 5.11 1.45 10.3 161
Career 45 226.2 3963 248 112 0 0-0 4.41 1.39 9.9
Career Paul Skenes
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 PIT 23 133.0 2125 170 32 0 11-3 1.96 0.95 11.5 429
2025 PIT 32 187.2 2997 216 42 0 10-10 1.97 0.95 10.4 526
2026 PIT 13 70.0 1145 82 13 0 6-5 3.21 0.93 10.5 185
ON PACE 33 180 2944 210 33 0 15-12 3.21 0.93 10.5 474
3-YEAR AVG 28 159 2561 193 37 0 11-7 1.98 0.95 10.9 478
Career 68 388.1 6267 468 87 0 0-0 2.2 0.95 10.9
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 09:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Foster Griffin
ATH @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Peter Lambert
ATL vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Mitch Keller
BAL @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Brandon Young
Trey Yesavage
BOS @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Ryan Weathers
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Robbie Ray
CHW @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Jesus Luzardo
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST Brady Singer
Kyle Leahy
CLE @TEX 08:15 EDT EST Parker Messick
Kumar Rocker
COL vs MIL 08:40 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Brandon Sproat
DET vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Bryan Woo
KC @MIN 08:15 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Zebby Matthews
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Reid Detmers
Roki Sasaki
MIA vs TB 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Drew Rasmussen
NYM @SD 09:40 EDT EST Christian Scott
Michael King
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled