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Robbie Ray or Trevor McDonald

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Robbie Ray

Robbie Ray

SPSan Francisco Giants SF
Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald

SPSan Francisco Giants SF
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Ray over McDonald

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Robbie Ray

Robbie Ray seeks to stabilize his control in a tough upcoming road matchup.

Ray slots in as the number two starter in the rotation, but his recent performance has been highly volatile. Over his last 30 days, he has struggled with a 7.26 ERA and a 2.06 WHIP, largely due to walking 17 batters in 22.3 innings. Fortunately, he is fully healthy and pitching without restriction following a minor comebacker scare in mid-May for the fourth-place Giants.

While his recent walk rate is highly concerning, our models project Ray to settle in closer to his career baselines. For the rest of the season, our projection expects a more stable 4.18 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP alongside 145 strikeouts. He has historically corrected his mechanics after rough stretches, suggesting this severe WHIP spike is a temporary fluke rather than a permanent decline.

Ray is scheduled for a single start this week on June 5th against the Cubs on the road. It is a tough draw against Chicago's Ben Brown, who is carrying a dominant 1.92 ERA and 0.93 WHIP. Given Ray's current control struggles and the opposing pitcher's elite form, fantasy managers should look elsewhere this week. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Robbie Ray
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting McDonald over Ray

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Trevor McDonald

Trevor McDonald's rookie magic fades amid recent ratio struggles, making him a risky option despite a two-start week.

McDonald has hit a rough patch, posting a 7.55 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over his last 14 days for the fourth-place Giants (24-38). Despite his struggles, he remains locked in as the number four starter in the rotation with teammate Tyler Mahle sidelined on the injured list. His latest outing on June 2 against Milwaukee resulted in a loss, yielding a 5.40 ERA over five innings.

While his recent 5.63 ERA over the last 30 days is concerning, McDonald's overall 4.69 ERA and 1.20 WHIP over 32.6 innings align closely with our season projection of a 4.43 ERA. His strikeout ability remains intact, but his walk rate has crept up recently, suggesting his current slump is a normal rookie adjustment period rather than a permanent regression.

As a two-start pitcher this week, McDonald has one remaining matchup on June 7 against the Cubs and Jameson Taillon, who enters with a vulnerable 5.13 ERA. Although the matchup is favorable on paper, McDonald's recent command issues and high ratio risk make him difficult to trust. Our verdict is to Sit him in standard formats until he stabilizes.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Trevor McDonald
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Performance Robbie Ray
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.250-000621.751
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.630-000992.002
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Trevor McDonald
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100431.601
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
7.200-3001461.333
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Robbie Ray
OWN
72%
-0.98 compared to last week
START
53%
+13.43 compared to last week
OWN/START Trevor McDonald
OWN
20%
-1.18 compared to last week
START
13%
-0.68 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Robbie Ray
70th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Trevor McDonald
122nd
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Robbie Ray

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 70th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 107th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is in a heck of a slump. You might be able to get him now for a discount.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Currently ranked 141st in WHIP with 1.52
  • Currently ranked 113th in ERA with 4.80
  • He walks a lot of batters and is currently ranked 4th with 28
  • Currently ranked 117th in wins with 2
  • Slight decline in numbers lately at 1.3 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: -5, L: +5, WHIP: +0.333, ERA: +2.039, K's: -28, Walks: EVEN
Breakdown Trevor McDonald

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 122nd among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 168th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is in a heck of a slump. If he is star player then he should rebound.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 75 in WHIP and is currently ranked 59th with 1.20
  • Currently ranked 110th in ERA with 4.69
  • Currently ranked 128th in wins with 2
  • Decline in numbers lately by 3.5 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +2, L: +3, WHIP: +1.15, ERA: +4.5, K's: +31, Walks: +9
Next Up Health Check
Injury Robbie Ray

No Injury Reported

Injury Trevor McDonald

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Robbie Ray
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@MILChad PatrickL 16-2
Jun 02@MILKyle HarrisonL 8-3
Jun 03@MILLogan WebbW 0-1
Jun 04@MILSam HentgesW 9-12
Jun 05@CHCEdward Cabrera
Jun 06@CHCBen Brown
Jun 07@CHCJameson Taillon
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
nan-nan0
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Trevor McDonald
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01@MILChad PatrickL 16-2
Jun 02@MILKyle HarrisonL 8-3
Jun 03@MILLogan WebbW 0-1
Jun 04@MILSam HentgesW 9-12
Jun 05@CHCEdward Cabrera
Jun 06@CHCBen Brown
Jun 07@CHCJameson Taillon
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
5.400-100431.601
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Robbie Ray
9.82
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Trevor McDonald
7.70
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Robbie Ray
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2014 DET 8 27.2 520 19 10 0 1-4 6.83 1.77 6.2 36
2015 ARI 23 125.1 2257 119 49 0 5-12 3.59 1.36 8.6 289
2016 ARI 32 172.0 3176 218 71 0 8-15 4.92 1.49 11.4 407
2017 ARI 28 157.1 2715 218 71 0 15-5 2.97 1.19 12.5 509
2018 ARI 24 121.1 2287 165 70 0 6-2 4.01 1.38 12.2 320
2019 ARI 33 172.0 3064 235 84 0 12-8 4.4 1.36 12.3 443
2020 ARI 14 59.0 1216 79 50 0 2-7 6.71 1.85 12.1 85
2021 TOR 32 194.1 3141 248 53 0 13-7 2.83 1.04 11.5 571
2022 SEA 33 182.0 2923 207 62 0 10-13 4.1 1.23 10.2 405
2023 SEA 1 3.1 92 3 5 0 0-1 13.5 2.7 8.1 -5
2024 SF 7 30.2 568 43 15 0 3-2 4.7 1.14 12.6 82
2025 SF 32 180.0 3069 186 73 0 11-8 3.7 1.23 9.3 434
2026 SF 12 62.2 1140 59 31 0 3-6 4.45 1.4 8.5 106
ON PACE 30 160 2931 151 79 0 7-15 4.45 1.4 8.5 273
3-YEAR AVG 13 71 1243 77 31 0 5-4 4 1.22 9.6 170
Career 279 1471.1 26168 1799 644 0 0-0 4.09 1.33 11
Career Trevor McDonald
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2024 SF 1 3.0 39 1 1 0 0-0 0 0.33 3 7
2025 SF 3 15.0 212 14 2 0 1-0 3.6 1.07 8.4 41
2026 SF 6 34.0 511 31 9 0 2-3 4.5 1.15 8.2 67
ON PACE 15 88 1314 79 23 0 5-7 4.5 1.15 8.2 171
3-YEAR AVG 2 9 126 8 2 0 1-0 3 1 8 24
Career 10 52.0 762 46 12 0 0-0 3.98 1.08 8
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RECENT DECISIONS

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Player News

Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 09:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Foster Griffin
ATH @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Peter Lambert
ATL vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Mitch Keller
BAL @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Brandon Young
Trey Yesavage
BOS @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Ryan Weathers
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Robbie Ray
CHW @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Jesus Luzardo
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST Brady Singer
Kyle Leahy
CLE @TEX 08:15 EDT EST Parker Messick
Kumar Rocker
COL vs MIL 08:40 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Brandon Sproat
DET vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Bryan Woo
KC @MIN 08:15 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Zebby Matthews
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Reid Detmers
Roki Sasaki
MIA vs TB 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Drew Rasmussen
NYM @SD 09:40 EDT EST Christian Scott
Michael King
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled