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Chase Burns or Payton Tolle

Who Should I Start? - Week 12 • Start New
Chase Burns

Chase Burns

SPCincinnati Reds CIN
Payton Tolle

Payton Tolle

SPBoston Red Sox BOS
OR
🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Burns over Tolle

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Chase Burns

Chase Burns continues historic dominance despite minor illness speedbump

Chase Burns shook off a June 1 illness scratch to deliver a strong quality start on June 3, striking out nine over six innings of two-run ball. He continues to headline the rotation for the fifth-place Reds (31-30), providing a massive boost to a pitching staff currently missing several key arms. His dominant active role is more critical than ever with superstar Elly De La Cruz recently sidelined with a hamstring injury.

Over his last 30 days, Burns has been virtually untouchable, posting a stellar 1.86 ERA and a microscopic 0.86 WHIP. While our season model expects some moderate regression toward a 3.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, his exceptional 10.50 K/9 rate proves that his elite swing-and-miss stuff is no fluke. Trust his high-strikeout baseline to keep him among the elite starters in fantasy.

Having just pitched on June 3, Burns will not make another appearance during the remaining weekend matchups of this week. With no starts left on the docket for this current scoring period, fantasy managers can safely bench him for the next few days. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Chase Burns
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🔓 EXPERT ANALYSIS

Owners starting Tolle over Burns

 
 
 
 
START BOTH START BENCH BOTH BN

Includes Detailed Projections

Outlook Payton Tolle

Rookie Southpaw Payton Tolle Dominates Rotation as Red Sox Anchor

The rookie sensation has been absolutely outstanding over his last 30 days, delivering a superb 3.08 ERA and 28 strikeouts across 29.2 innings. Tolle has firmly established himself as the staff anchor for a fifth-place Red Sox squad (26-34) that desperately needs rotation stability with teammate Garrett Crochet currently sidelined on the injured list.

Through 46.4 innings this year, Tolle has completely outperformed expectations with a stellar 2.72 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. While our projections anticipate some regression toward a 4.00 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over the rest of the season, his excellent 9.89 K/9 rate suggests his high-strikeout profile is highly sustainable.

Tolle already completed his scheduled start for this weekly period, earning a victory with six scoreless innings against Baltimore on June 3. Because he has no remaining appearances scheduled for the weekend series against the Yankees, fantasy managers can safely sit him for the rest of this matchup cycle. Verdict: Sit.

Updated 1 day ago

Latest News Payton Tolle
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Performance Chase Burns
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.000-000910.831
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.241-0001730.992
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Performance Payton Tolle
Fantasy Chart Loading...

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.001-000521.501
Season stats based on the past 7 days

ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
2.781-0002161.363
Season stats based on the past 14 days
Next Up Own/Start Comparison
OWN/START Chase Burns
OWN
99%
-0.02 compared to last week
START
73%
+0.69 compared to last week
OWN/START Payton Tolle
OWN
81%
+0.56 compared to last week
START
62%
-7.15 compared to last week
Next Up Consensus Rankings
Expert Consensus Chase Burns
12th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Expert Consensus Payton Tolle
25th
Average Ranking of Fantasy Experts
Next Up Player Breakdowns
Breakdown Chase Burns

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 12th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 3rd.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He is doing a better than most people thought he would.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 15 in WHIP and is currently ranked 13th with 0.98
  • Top 15 in ERA and is currently ranked 12th with 2.24
  • Top 75 in walks and is currently ranked 58th with 18
  • Top 20 in strikeouts and is currently ranked 18th with 74
  • He is among the best in wins and is currently ranked 9th with 6
  • Top 35 in innings pitched and is currently ranked 34th with 65.1
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.1 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +7, L: +1, WHIP: +0.96, ERA: +2.05, K's: +81, Walks: +21
Breakdown Payton Tolle

    Overview

  • Experts rank this player at 25th among SP's. Based on his stats from the past 60 days, he is currently ranked 40th.
  • The current leader among SP's is Cristopher Sanchez
  • He has been under achieving. Look for him to bounce back.
  • Trending Pitching Stats

  • Top 20 in WHIP and is currently ranked 18th with 1.01
  • Top 25 in ERA and is currently ranked 25th with 2.72
  • Top 100 in wins and is currently ranked 87th
  • His average points in the past two weeks have remained fairly consistant and rose slightly by 0.2 PPG.
  • At this point in the season his numbers compared to last years: W: +3, L: +2, WHIP: +1, ERA: +2.68, K's: +51, Walks: +13
Next Up Health Check
Injury Chase Burns

No Injury Reported

Injury Payton Tolle

No Injury Reported

Next Up Matchup Comparison
Matchups Chase Burns
DateOpponentResult
Jun 01VS KCLuinder AvilaL 2-9
Jun 02VS KCBrock BurkeW 4-3
Jun 03VS KCDaniel Lynch IVL 2-5
Jun 05@STLKyle Leahy
Jun 06@STLMatthew Liberatore
Jun 07@STLMichael McGreevy
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
3.000-000910.831
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Matchups Payton Tolle
DateOpponentResult
Jun 02VS BALShane BazL 2-4
Jun 03VS BALPayton TolleW 8-1
Jun 04VS BALTrevor RogersL 2-8
Jun 05@NYYRyan Weathers
Jun 06@NYYWill Warren
Jun 07@NYYCam Schlittler
ERA W-L HLD SV SO WLK WHIP GP
0.751-0001631.082
Season stats based on this weeks opponents
Next Up Ratings Comparison
Rating Chase Burns
18.54
FantasySP Player Rating
Rating Payton Tolle
11.76
FantasySP Player Rating
Next Up Career Comparison
Career Chase Burns
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 CIN 14 42.2 778 68 16 0 0-3 4.64 1.34 14.3 98
2026 CIN 12 70.1 1088 81 21 0 7-1 2.05 0.95 10.4 226
ON PACE 31 187 2889 215 55 0 18-2 2.05 0.95 10.4 600
3-YEAR AVG 14 42 778 68 16 0 0-3 4.64 1.34 14.3 98
Career 26 113.0 1866 149 37 0 0-0 3.03 1.1 11.9
Career Payton Tolle
YEAR TM APP INN PC K WLK SV W-L ERA WHIP K/9 PTS
2025 BOS 8 16.2 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
2026 BOS 8 47.1 688 51 13 0 3-2 2.66 0.99 9.7 128
ON PACE 21 126 1827 135 34 0 7-5 2.66 0.99 9.7 340
3-YEAR AVG 8 16 311 19 8 0 0-1 5.94 1.56 10.3 23
Career 16 64.0 999 70 21 0 0-0 3.52 1.14 9.8
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Matchups

Week 1
ARI @LAC
ATL @PIT
BAL @IND
BUF @HOU
CAR vs CHI
CIN vs TB
CLE @JAC
DAL @NYG
DEN @KC
DET vs NO
GB @MIN
LAR vs SF
LV vs MIA
NE @SEA
NYJ @TEN
PHI vs WAS
Matchup Time Pitchers
ARI vs WAS 09:40 EDT EST Merrill Kelly
Foster Griffin
ATH @HOU 08:10 EDT EST Jack Perkins
Peter Lambert
ATL vs PIT 07:15 EDT EST Martin Perez
Mitch Keller
BAL @TOR 07:07 EDT EST Brandon Young
Trey Yesavage
BOS @NYY 07:05 EDT EST Sonny Gray
Ryan Weathers
CHC vs SF 02:20 EDT EST Edward Cabrera
Robbie Ray
CHW @PHI 06:40 EDT EST Anthony Kay
Jesus Luzardo
CIN @STL 08:15 EDT EST Brady Singer
Kyle Leahy
CLE @TEX 08:15 EDT EST Parker Messick
Kumar Rocker
COL vs MIL 08:40 EDT EST Ryan Feltner
Brandon Sproat
DET vs SEA 06:40 EDT EST Framber Valdez
Bryan Woo
KC @MIN 08:15 EDT EST Michael Wacha
Zebby Matthews
LAA @LAD 10:10 EDT EST Reid Detmers
Roki Sasaki
MIA vs TB 07:10 EDT EST Ryan Gusto
Drew Rasmussen
NYM @SD 09:40 EDT EST Christian Scott
Michael King
Matchup Time
NY @SA 8:30 PM EST
Matchup Time
No games scheduled