NFL Christmas Day Prop Bets: Dak Prescott, Jared Goff, CeeDee Lamb, and More

Merry Christmas! We have three football games on Thursday to fill the day around food, family, and presents. While the NBA had a monopoly on Christmas for years, the NFL has now made a habit of overshadowing their competition, and with the waning popularity of the NBA regular season, it really is for the better.

For those trying to stay involved in football with the fantasy season coming to an end, betting is a natural next step. Betting the game lines and point totals is more popular, but prop bets can sometimes bring more value.

Let's look at four prop bets from Thursday's games that stand out. The lines given are from our prop bet tool, which uses multiple sportsbooks to find the best numbers. Most stats are from NFL.com.

Use FantasySP's prop bet tool to find the players projected to beat their prop numbers each week!

CeeDee Lamb OVER/UNDER 5.5 receptions

Lamb has appeared in 11 games this season in which he played at least 10 snaps, and in those contests, he averaged 6.3 catches and 93.4 yards. He reached at least six receptions in eight of those 11.

Washington has allowed more yards per pass attempt than any other team and the eighth-highest completion percentage. When these teams played back in October, Lamb caught five of eight targets for 110 yards and a touchdown.

The biggest issue might come if Dallas doesn't need to throw the ball much. The Commanders are starting Josh Johnson, their third quarterback of the season, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see the Cowboys get an easy victory. If the team builds a lead early, they could focus on the run.

Dallas throws as much as any team in the league, though: Dak Prescott leads the league in pass attempts and has 30 more completions than any other player. This is a fantastic matchup, and Lamb is in line for a big performance against a Washington team that is running on fumes.

Advice: Bet Lamb OVER 5.5 receptions.

Dak Prescott OVER/UNDER 2.5 rush attempts

Speaking of Prescott, he is likely in for a big game throwing the ball; betting his passing overs is probably a good strategy (though the same blowout worry exists). Let's instead look at his rushing volume here, though.

Prescott is averaging 3.1 rush attempts per game. He has recorded at least three carries in nine of 15 games. In the first matchup between these teams, Prescott ran the ball five times, two of which were kneel-downs at the end of the game.

That last point is important because those knees count the same as any rush attempt. If we think that Dallas will probably win, then Prescott might pick up an extra carry or two at the end while running out the clock. It's not a guarantee, even if the Cowboys do win, but it's one more thing on our side.

Advice: Bet Prescott OVER 2.5 rush attempts.

Jared Goff OVER/UNDER 1.5 passing touchdowns

Time is running out for Detroit if they want to make the postseason. They lost what was close to a must-win game last week against Pittsburgh and now sit a game and a half back of Green Bay for the final spot with two games remaining. One Lions loss or Packers win will eliminate Detroit.

That means the Lions will be going full force, and with J.J. McCarthy out and undrafted rookie Max Brosmer set to start, Detroit could end up with a statement win as they make their last gasp. Their efficient quarterback is sure to be a big part of the game plan.

Goff has thrown 32 touchdowns in 15 games, an average of 2.1. He reached double-digit passing TDs in 10 of those contests. It seems pretty straightforward that he is in line to beat this number, right?

Back to the same worries we had about the Dallas passing game, if Detroit does indeed beat up on Minnesota, the Lions might rely on their fantastic running game, limiting Goff's stats. Touchdowns are also random; even if the team scores a lot, those TDs might come on the ground, particularly if they are running up the score.

I still like Goff's chances of throwing for a few scores. The Vikings beat the Lions back in early November, so they'll be looking for a little revenge on top of their postseason push. Goff had two touchdowns in that game, and he looks set to reach that number again.

Advice: Bet Goff OVER 1.5 passing touchdowns.

RJ Harvey OVER/UNDER 53.5 rushing yards

Harvey has been the top man in Denver's backfield since J.K. Dobbins was hurt in Week 10. Harvey has played five games without the veteran, averaging 13.4 carries, 51 rushing yards, 3.2 receptions, and 28.6 receiving yards with five total touchdowns.

The Broncos play a depleted Chiefs team that lost Patrick Mahomes a few weeks back. Gardner Minshew followed him onto IR last week, and Kansas City has also lost Rashee Rice, both starting tackles, and a slew of defensive players. For a Denver team holding the top seed in the AFC and coming off a loss, they are likely to put a hurting on the Chiefs.

In this case, a blowout would help our cause. The Broncos getting ahead early and running the ball often would let Harvey build up volume and easily top the required number. When these teams played in Week 11 (the first game without Dobbins), Harvey ran 11 times for just 30 yards, as Denver won by three points.

The Chiefs have allowed the sixth-fewest yards per rush attempt, succeeding in stopping the ground game. This is going to be a different KC team over the final few weeks, though. Last week against Tennessee, Tony Pollard ran for 102 yards, and Tyjae Spears had 52 of his own.

There are still successful players in the lineup, like Chris Jones, but it wouldn't be a surprise to see some of the veteran guys play fewer snaps with the competitive season over. With Denver needing to win and Kansas City looking nothing like the team we have known recently, there's a good chance that Harvey gets plenty of touches and reaches at least 54 yards.

Advice: Bet Harvey OVER 53.5 rushing yards.