KANSAS CITY, MO - NOVEMBER 20: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws from the pocket in the second quarter of an NFL football game between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs on Nov 20, 2023 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO. (Photo by Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire)
Best Week 12 Player Prop Bets
Please remember to “prop shop” and make sure you are looking at all the sportsbooks in your state to get the best value.
The Steelers ran wild on the Browns last weekend, which may have surprised many people. Denver's offense has improved greatly in the past few weeks since their disastrous game against Miami. One of their top offensive players is Williams who is starting to look way more confident running the football. Denver head coach Sean Payton is going to want to control the time of possession as much as possible and not let his defense get exposed which means I would expect a lot of short passes and a lot of running plays. This should lead to an OVER especially if Williams can break off one big run.
Gabe Davis, Buffalo Bills | OVER 35.3 receiving yards (FantasySP projects 47.9)
What most people don't realize is that Davis has his big games when Buffalo has a big game as a team. I like Buffalo this week as I think this could be a letdown game for Philadelphia after last week’s huge win against Kansas City. The Eagles' secondary has also been one of the weakest in the league this season and I expect Josh Allen to take advantage and find Davis for at least four or five receptions which should lead to about 45 to 55 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs | OVER 1.5 passing TDs (FantasySP projects 2)
Mahomes has to be frustrated because his receivers dropped a ton of passes against Philadelphia. I don't think that lightning will strike twice. Against Las Vegas, the Kansas City receivers will do a much better job with their concentration. Travis Kelce might have two TDs by himself and I would be comfortable betting this prop up to three TDs.
Robert Woods, Houston Texans | OVER 2.5 receptions (FantasySP projects 3.3)
This prop is predicated on Noah Brown missing another game. Brown hasn't practiced thus far and Houston insiders seem to feel that he will miss one more game. It's tough to attack Jacksonville by running the football, so I expect Stroud to come out throwing. Woods was utilized by Stroud extensively earlier in the season but has been much less utilized since he's returned from injury. I think that changes a bit and Woods has about four or five receptions especially if the Texans end up playing from behind.
